{"id":77780,"date":"2025-08-01T14:13:11","date_gmt":"2025-08-01T13:13:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/?p=77780"},"modified":"2025-08-01T14:13:19","modified_gmt":"2025-08-01T13:13:19","slug":"andrey-rublev-vs-lorenzo-sonego-h2h-prediction-betting-odds-atp-national-bank-open-2025-r32","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/andrey-rublev-vs-lorenzo-sonego-h2h-prediction-betting-odds-atp-national-bank-open-2025-r32\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrey Rublev vs. Lorenzo Sonego Head-to-Head, Prediction, and Betting Odds for ATP National Bank Open 2025 Round of 32"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Sixth seed Andrey Rublev takes on 28th seed Lorenzo Sonego in the third round of the National Bank Open in Toronto. Both players received byes and opened their campaigns with straight-set wins. Rublev eased past Hugo Gaston, while Sonego dispatched Yunchaokete Bu.<\/p><p>Rublev started the year strong, winning the Doha title after a gritty three-set final against Jack Draper. He also made the semifinals in Open Occitanie and the quarterfinals in Rotterdam. But since then, it&rsquo;s been a shaky stretch. He made the final in Hamburg but fell flat against Flavio Cobolli and followed that up with a semifinal finish in Los Cabos. Statistically, Rublev has been solid with 307 aces, 76% first serve points won, 30% first serve return points won, and a 35% break point conversion from 301 chances.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The milestone man &#11088;&#65039; <br><br>Last year's runner-up <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AndreyRublev97?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>@AndreyRublev97<\/a> records his 250th hard-court win in emphatic fashion! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NBOtoronto?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>@NBOtoronto<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/NBO25?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>#NBO25<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/g5gVeJMM3f\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/g5gVeJMM3f<\/a><\/p>&mdash; ATP Tour (@atptour) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/atptour\/status\/1950601999386357824?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>July 30, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>Sonego has had a quieter season, with his best results being quarterfinals in Melbourne and Open 13 and a fourth-round run at Wimbledon. Otherwise, it&rsquo;s been early exits. Still, the Italian brings consistency on paper with 199 aces, 73% first serve points won, 26% return points won on first serves, and a 40% break point conversion across 183 opportunities.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"it\" dir=\"ltr\">Lorenzo Sonego debutta cos&igrave; a Toronto &#128293; <br><br>&#128284;  Al prossimo turno trover&agrave; Rublev<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BMWItalia?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>@bmwitalia<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Ngf127io1Z\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/Ngf127io1Z<\/a><\/p>&mdash; SuperTennis TV (@SuperTennisTv) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/SuperTennisTv\/status\/1950618199579365623?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>July 30, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Andrey Rublev vs. Lorenzo Sonego Head-to-Head Record<\/h2><p>Andrey Rublev and Lorenzo Sonego are tied at 2-2 in their official ATP head-to-head. It began in 2020, when Rublev claimed a convincing straight-sets win in Vienna. But Sonego hit back, first on home soil in Rome in 2021, then on the red clay of Roland Garros in 2023, seizing control of the rivalry.<\/p><p>Rublev responded last year in Metz, edging Sonego in a tight contest to even the score once more. Interestingly, their first-ever meeting came way back in 2016 at the now-discontinued ATP Challenger event in Cortina, where a teenage Rublev had a straight-sets win.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Year<\/th><th>Event<\/th><th>Round<\/th><th>Winner<\/th><th>Score<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>2024<\/td><td>Metz<\/td><td>Round of 16<\/td><td>Andrey Rublev<\/td><td>7&ndash;6(3), 7&ndash;5<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2023<\/td><td>Roland Garros<\/td><td>Round of 32<\/td><td>Lorenzo Sonego<\/td><td>5&ndash;7, 0&ndash;6, 6&ndash;3, 7&ndash;6(5), 6&ndash;3<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2021<\/td><td>Rome<\/td><td>Quarterfinal<\/td><td>Lorenzo Sonego<\/td><td>3&ndash;6, 6&ndash;4, 6&ndash;3<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2020<\/td><td>Vienna<\/td><td>Final<\/td><td>Andrey Rublev<\/td><td>6&ndash;4, 6&ndash;4<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Lorenzo Sonego vs Andrey Rublev | Vienna 2020 Final Highlights\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/C5q3xX-WCY8?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Andrey Rublev vs. Lorenzo Sonego Comparison&nbsp;<\/h2><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Andrey Rublev<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Category<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Lorenzo Sonego<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11<\/td><td>Current Ranking<\/td><td>38<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>358-201<\/td><td>Career W-L<\/td><td>156-173<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>23-17<\/td><td>YTD W-L<\/td><td>14-18<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>17<\/td><td>Career Titles<\/td><td>4<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>0<\/td><td>Grand Slams<\/td><td>0<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>1<\/td><td>YTD Titles<\/td><td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Andrey Rublev vs. Lorenzo Sonego Prediction<\/h2><p>Rublev may have wavered mid-season, but his recent semifinal run in Los Cabos and superior hard-court experience give him the edge.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">A SPECIAL forehand on the run &#127939;&zwj;&#9794;&#65039;<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NBOtoronto?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>@NBOtoronto<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/NBO25?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>#NBO25<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AndreyRublev97?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>@AndreyRublev97<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/hBuNGdiOwI\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/hBuNGdiOwI<\/a><\/p>&mdash; ATP Tour (@atptour) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/atptour\/status\/1950593410949165416?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>July 30, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p><strong>Prediction: Andrey Rublev in straight sets<\/strong><\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Andrey Rublev vs. Lorenzo Sonego ATP National Bank Open 2025 Betting Odds<\/h2><p>At 1\/3, the odds favor Rublev heavily, suggesting a 75% implied probability. While Sonego at 9\/4 offers value, the gap in consistency and stats on hard courts leans this matchup toward the Russian.<\/p><p>Here are the betting odds according to <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-BetMGM\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}' rel=\"nofollow\">BetMGM<\/a>:&nbsp;<\/p><p><strong>Andrey Rublev: 1\/3<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>Lorenzo Sonego: 9\/4<\/strong><\/p><p>Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-BetMGM\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}' rel=\"nofollow\">BetMGM<\/a>):&nbsp;<\/p><p><strong>Total Games Over 21.5: 1\/2<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>Total Games Under 21.5: 29\/20<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>Total Sets Over 2.5: 11\/20<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>Total Sets Under 2.5: 7\/5<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>Rublev to win: Set 1 &ndash; 11\/25<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>Sonego to win: Set 1 &ndash; 9\/5<\/strong><\/p><p>(According to <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-BetMGM\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}' rel=\"nofollow\">BetMGM<\/a>: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)<\/p><p><em>Mandatory Image Credit: John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images<\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"mm-layout mm-layout-type-post mm-layout-slot4\">\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rublev and Sonego Set for an H2H Decider in Toronto\u2019s Third Round<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":77781,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_mux_skip_reasons":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[4770,6290],"tags":[5021,7918,8801],"class_list":["post-77780","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tennis","category-tennis-predictions","tag-andrey-rublev","tag-lorenzo-sonego","tag-national-bank-open-2025"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Andrey Rublev vs. Lorenzo Sonego Head-to-Head, Prediction, and Betting Odds for ATP National Bank Open 2025 Round of 32 - The Playoffs<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Head-to-Head, Prediction and Betting Odds for Andrey Rublev vs. Lorenzo Sonego at the ATP National Bank Open 2025 Round of 32 and more!!\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/andrey-rublev-vs-lorenzo-sonego-h2h-prediction-betting-odds-atp-national-bank-open-2025-r32\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Andrey Rublev vs. Lorenzo Sonego Head-to-Head, Prediction, and Betting Odds for ATP National Bank Open 2025 Round of 32 - 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