{"id":71470,"date":"2025-07-05T14:47:27","date_gmt":"2025-07-05T13:47:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/?p=71470"},"modified":"2025-07-05T14:47:37","modified_gmt":"2025-07-05T13:47:37","slug":"carlos-alcaraz-vs-andrey-rublev-h2h-prediction-betting-odds-wimbledon-2025-r16","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/carlos-alcaraz-vs-andrey-rublev-h2h-prediction-betting-odds-wimbledon-2025-r16\/","title":{"rendered":"Carlos Alcaraz vs. Andrey Rublev Head-to-Head, Prediction and Betting Odds for Wimbledon 2025 Round of 16"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Defending champion and second seed Carlos Alcaraz will face 14th seed Andrey Rublev in the fourth round of Wimbledon 2025. The Spaniard survived a five-set battle against Fabio Fognini in the opener, followed by more composed wins over Oliver Tarvet and Jan-Lennard Struff. Rublev, meanwhile, dropped a set to Laslo Djere and Lloyd Harris but breezed past Adrian Mannarino in straight sets.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">A fourth consecutive 4R at <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Wimbledon?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>#Wimbledon<\/a> awaits Carlos Alcaraz &#128079;<br><br>The defending champion defeats Jan-Lennard Struff 6-1, 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 &#127466;&#127480; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/sRdINzTkPW\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/sRdINzTkPW<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Wimbledon (@Wimbledon) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Wimbledon\/status\/1941206415672000868?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>July 4, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>Alcaraz is in red-hot form this season, already lifting five titles, including Rotterdam, Monte Carlo, Rome, Roland Garros, and Queen&rsquo;s, and reaching the Barcelona final. Statistically, he&rsquo;s been sharp: 221 aces, 72% first-serve points won, 36% return points won, and 45% break-point conversion across 444 chances.<\/p><p>Rublev&rsquo;s year has been a mixed bag. He won the title in Qatar and made the final in Hamburg but has struggled for consistency. With 231 aces, a 75% first-serve win rate, 30% return points won, and 35% break-point success, the Russian has the tools but will need to be at his best to challenge the defending champ.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Finding his rhythm &#128588;<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AndreyRublev97?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>@AndreyRublev97<\/a> defeats Mannarino 7-5 6-2 6-3 to make the round of 16 at Wimbledon for the third time <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Wimbledon?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>#Wimbledon<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/PfKGK56sp2\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/PfKGK56sp2<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Tennis TV (@TennisTV) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TennisTV\/status\/1941145054757994701?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>July 4, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Carlos Alcaraz vs. Andrey Rublev Head-to-Head Record<\/h2><p>Carlos Alcaraz holds a 2-1 edge in his head-to-head against Andrey Rublev. Their rivalry began at the 2023 ATP Finals, where Alcaraz claimed a straight-sets win. Rublev responded in style at the 2024 Madrid Masters quarterfinals, rallying for a comeback victory. However, later that year, Alcaraz reasserted control with another straight-sets win at the ATP Finals, reclaiming the lead in their growing rivalry.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Year<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Event<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Round<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Winner<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2024<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Nitto ATP Finals<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Round Robin<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Carlos Alcaraz<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6&ndash;3, 7&ndash;6(8)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2024<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Madrid<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Quarterfinal<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Andrey Rublev<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4&ndash;6, 6&ndash;3, 6&ndash;2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2023<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Nitto ATP Finals<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Round Robin<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Carlos Alcaraz<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7&ndash;5, 6&ndash;2<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev Entertaining Match Highlights | Nitto ATP Finals 2024\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/dZEOi0_z5Zg?start=1&amp;feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Carlos Alcaraz vs. Andrey Rublev Comparison&nbsp;<\/h2><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Carlos Alcaraz&nbsp;<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Category<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Andrey Rublev<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2<\/td><td>Current Ranking<\/td><td>14<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>251-61<\/td><td>Career W-L<\/td><td>353-198<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>42-5<\/td><td>YTD W-L<\/td><td>18-14<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>21<\/td><td>Career Titles<\/td><td>17<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>5<\/td><td>Grand Slams<\/td><td>0<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>5<\/td><td>YTD Titles<\/td><td>1<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Carlos Alcaraz vs. Andrey Rublev Prediction<\/h2><p>Alcaraz comes into this match with form, confidence, and momentum on his side. With five titles already this season and a strong showing at Wimbledon so far, the defending champion looks poised to overpower Rublev, whose inconsistency could prove costly against such a relentless opponent.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Shining on Centre &#10024;<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Wimbledon?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>#Wimbledon<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/carlosalcaraz?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>@carlosalcaraz<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/g5i4Il0FBG\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/g5i4Il0FBG<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Wimbledon (@Wimbledon) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Wimbledon\/status\/1941212206655471693?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>July 4, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p><strong>Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz in straight sets<\/strong><\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Carlos Alcaraz vs. Andrey Rublev Wimbledon 2025 Betting Odds<\/h2><p>At 1\/12, Alcaraz is the overwhelming favorite, reflecting both his dominance this season and Rublev&rsquo;s patchy form. Rublev at 13\/2 offers long-shot value, but the gap in consistency and Grand Slam performance makes an upset highly unlikely.&nbsp;<\/p><p>Here are the betting odds according to <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-BetMGM\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}' rel=\"nofollow\">BetMGM<\/a>:&nbsp;<\/p><p><strong>Carlos Alcaraz: 1\/12<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>Andrey Rublev: 13\/2<\/strong><\/p><p>Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-BetMGM\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}' rel=\"nofollow\">BetMGM<\/a>):&nbsp;<\/p><p><strong>Total Games Over 34.5: 10\/11<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>Total Games Under 34.5: 17\/20<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>Total Games won by Alcaraz Over 19.5: 41\/50<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>Total Games won by Rublev Over 14.5: 19\/20<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>Total Sets Over 3.5: Evens<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>Total Sets Under 3.5: 10\/13&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p><p>(According to <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-BetMGM\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}' rel=\"nofollow\">BetMGM<\/a>: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)<\/p><p><em>Mandatory Image Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images<\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"mm-layout mm-layout-type-post mm-layout-slot4\">\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Alcaraz brings championship form into a high-stakes Round of 16 battle with the unpredictable Andrey Rublev.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":71472,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_mux_skip_reasons":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[4770,6290],"tags":[5021,4948,8208],"class_list":["post-71470","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tennis","category-tennis-predictions","tag-andrey-rublev","tag-carlos-alcaraz","tag-wimbledon-2025"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Carlos Alcaraz vs. Andrey Rublev Head-to-Head, Prediction and Betting Odds for Wimbledon 2025 Round of 16 - 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