{"id":654096,"date":"2026-03-26T12:15:39","date_gmt":"2026-03-26T11:15:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/?p=654096"},"modified":"2026-03-26T12:15:44","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T11:15:44","slug":"ufc-seattle-ignacio-bahamondes-vs-tofiq-musayev-predictions-odds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-seattle-ignacio-bahamondes-vs-tofiq-musayev-predictions-odds\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Seattle: Ignacio Bahamondes vs Tofiq Musayev \u2013 Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch"},"content":{"rendered":"

UFC Seattle’s prelim card features a lightweight clash between Chilean knockout artist Ignacio Bahamondes and Azerbaijani veteran Tofiq Musayev. This 3-round prelim bout pits one of the most dangerous strikers on the undercard against a seasoned 22-fight professional at 155 lbs at the Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, United States.<\/p>

Bahamondes opens as a -300<\/a> favorite, with Musayev at +240<\/a> as the underdog. Here’s how we’re betting UFC Seattle: Bahamondes vs Musayev, including our UFC predictions<\/a>, best bet, key props and an expert final verdict.<\/p>

Mini Fight Info Strip<\/strong><\/h3>

Event:<\/strong> UFC Seattle <\/p>

Weight class:<\/strong> UFC Lightweight bout <\/p>

Fight length:<\/strong> 3-round prelim bout <\/p>

Date & time:<\/strong> March 29, 2026 – Prelims start: 02:00 pm ET, walk time ~04:40 p.m. ET <\/p>

Venue:<\/strong> Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, United States<\/p>

Best Bet Card<\/strong><\/h3>

Best Bet: Bahamondes by KO\/TKO (+170)<\/strong> <\/p>

Book: Best price at FanDuel<\/a><\/strong><\/p>

Our best bet for this lightweight prelim bout is Ignacio Bahamondes by KO\/TKO at +170<\/a>. Below, we’ll break down the matchup and key props.<\/p>

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Ignacio Bahamondes vs Tofiq Musayev Odds<\/strong><\/h2>

Here are the latest odds from top sportsbooks.<\/p>

Market<\/strong><\/td>BetMGM<\/strong><\/td>FanDuel<\/strong><\/td>Best Odds<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Moneyline<\/strong><\/td>Bahamondes -300 \/ Musayev +240<\/td>Bahamondes -310 \/ Musayev +230<\/td>Musayev +240 <\/a>(BetMGM)<\/td><\/tr>
Fight Goes Distance<\/strong><\/td>Yes +175 \/ No -250<\/td>Yes +180 \/ No -235<\/td>Yes +180<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Total Rounds O\/U 1.5<\/strong><\/td>O -160 \/ U +128<\/td>O -160 \/ U +128<\/td>U +128<\/a> (Both)<\/td><\/tr>
Bahamondes by KO\/TKO<\/strong><\/td>+125<\/td>+170<\/td>+170<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Bahamondes by Decision<\/strong><\/td>+275<\/td>+310<\/td>+310 <\/a>(FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Bahamondes by Submission<\/strong><\/td>+400<\/td>+460<\/td>+460 <\/a>(FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Musayev by KO\/TKO<\/strong><\/td>+450<\/td>+470<\/td>+470<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Musayev by Decision<\/strong><\/td>+750<\/td>+650<\/td>+650<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Musayev by Submission<\/strong><\/td>+2500<\/td>+2200<\/td>+2200<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>

Odds updated: March 26, 2026 – 06:30 AM ET. Lines may move before fight night, especially after weigh-ins.<\/em><\/p>

Tale of the Tape – Key Stats to Know<\/strong><\/h2>

Before we get into the matchup, here’s a Tale of the Tape for Bahamondes vs Musayev.<\/p>

Tale of the Tape<\/strong><\/td>Ignacio Bahamondes<\/strong><\/td>Tofiq Musayev<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Record<\/strong><\/td>17-6-0<\/td>22-6-0<\/td><\/tr>
Age<\/strong><\/td>28<\/td>36<\/td><\/tr>
Height<\/strong><\/td>6’3″<\/td>5’9″<\/td><\/tr>
Reach<\/strong><\/td>75″<\/td>69″<\/td><\/tr>
Stance<\/strong><\/td>Orthodox<\/td>Orthodox<\/td><\/tr>
Sig. Strikes Landed<\/strong><\/td>6.55<\/td>0.44<\/td><\/tr>
Striking Accuracy<\/strong><\/td>45%<\/td>33%<\/td><\/tr>
Strikes Absorbed<\/strong><\/td>4.33<\/td>0.44<\/td><\/tr>
Striking Defense<\/strong><\/td>56%<\/td>71%<\/td><\/tr>
Takedowns<\/strong><\/td>0.00<\/td>0.00<\/td><\/tr>
Takedown Accuracy<\/strong><\/td>0%<\/td>0%<\/td><\/tr>
Takedown Defense<\/strong><\/td>75%<\/td>40%<\/td><\/tr>
Submission Avg.<\/strong><\/td>0.4<\/td>0.0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>

Musayev’s striking numbers are the most unusual on the entire UFC Seattle card. A 0.44 significant strikes per minute landed and absorbed figure across a 22-fight career raises significant questions about the nature and level of his competition rather than reflecting genuine defensive brilliance. Bahamondes counters with 6.55 strikes per minute at 45% accuracy and a six-inch height and reach advantage that creates structural problems for any orthodox fighter at 155 lbs.<\/p>

Fighter Breakdown – Ignacio Bahamondes Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>

Bahamondes comes in with a 17-6-0 record as one of the most physically imposing and strike-heavy lightweights on the UFC prelim circuit. The 28 year old orthodox Chilean has built his UFC career on explosive, high-volume output from an elite physical frame that gives him structural advantages.<\/p>

Strengths:<\/strong> Elite 6.55 significant strikes per minute at 45% accuracy. His 6’3″ frame and 75″ reach creates a six-inch reach advantage. Solid 56% striking defense and 75% takedown defense give him strong defensive fundamentals against a fighter who has recorded zero takedown attempts in his professional career. At 28 years old in the prime athletic window.<\/p>

Weaknesses:<\/strong> His 4.33 strikes absorbed per minute is the higher number in this matchup, and his 0% takedown average means the fight is entirely decided on the feet. 17-6 record includes losses that have come when opponents land clean and early.<\/p>

Betting Angles:<\/strong> Bahamondes by KO\/TKO (+170<\/a>) is our primary play, offering plus money on the most structurally dominant finishing path.<\/p>

Fighter Breakdown – Tofiq Musayev Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>

Musayev comes in with a 22-6-0 record as a veteran whose statistical profile is unlike any other fighter on this card. The 36-year-old orthodox has a profoundly defensive, clinch-based fighting style.<\/p>

Strengths:<\/strong> His 71% striking defense is the superior number in this matchup. His 22-fight professional record reflects a fighter with deep experience navigating different styles. Compact 5’9″ frame gives him the kind of low center of gravity that makes him naturally difficult to move and control in the clinch.<\/p>

Weaknesses:<\/strong> His 0.44 significant strikes per minute is the lowest offensive output number on the entire UFC Seattle card. His 40% takedown defense against a fighter with a 0.4 submission average is a secondary vulnerability. Age factor at 36 years old.<\/p>

Betting Angles:<\/strong> Musayev by Decision (+650<\/a>) is the only realistic upset path if his defensive discipline frustrates Bahomondes. His +240 <\/a>moneyline is longshot territory.<\/p>

Best Bets For Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev<\/strong><\/h2>

Best Bet: Bahamondes by KO\/TKO (+170<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

Bahamondes’s 6.55 significant strikes per minute at 45% accuracy against a fighter whose entire statistical profile suggests limited ability to generate meaningful offense creates finishing conditions on the feet in virtually every round. His six-inch reach advantage from a 6’3″ frame means Musayev must close dangerous distance to engage, and every step forward is a targeting opportunity for one of the most active strikers on the prelim card.<\/p>

At +170<\/a> (implied 37%), we project this outcome closer to 48-52%, making it outstanding plus-money value on the most structurally dominant finishing path.<\/p>

Value Prop: Fight Does Not Go Distance (-235<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

Bahamondes’s 6.55 strikes per minute output against Musayev’s 71% striking defense creates the central tension in this matchup. But even if Musayev’s defense holds better than expected, Bahamondes’s 0.4 submission average gives him a secondary finishing path. The finish conditions exist from multiple angles regardless of which phase the fight settles into.<\/p>

At -235<\/a> (implied 70.1%), this is solid value as a parlay anchor on a prelim card that has multiple finish-heavy matchups feeding into it.<\/p>

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Longshot Flier: Musayev by KO\/TKO (+470<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

Small stake only. Bahamondes absorbs 4.33 strikes per minute and his 56% striking defense leaves a genuine window for a clean shot in any exchange where he overcommits on offense. Musayev’s 22-fight professional record suggests he has navigated dangerous opponents before, and if he lands clean during a Bahamondes combination attempt, his experience gives him the composure to follow up. <\/p>

At +470<\/a> (implied 17.5%), a very small stake acknowledges the knockout ceiling that exists in any fight Bahamondes is in. Keep stakes at 0.25 units maximum.<\/p>

Prediction – Final Verdict<\/strong><\/h2>

Official Pick: Ignacio Bahamondes by KO\/TKO<\/strong><\/p>

We are backing Bahamondes to use his elite striking volume, six-inch physical advantages, and finishing instincts to stop Musayev on the feet before the championship rounds. Musayev’s defensive numbers and veteran experience will make him a more difficult assignment than the statistical mismatch suggests, but 6.55 strikes per minute from a 6’3″ orthodox striker against a 5’9″ opponent with no recorded offensive output is a combination that produces stoppages at any level of the sport. <\/p>

With this win, Bahamondes moves to 18-6 with a finish that keeps him firmly in the lightweight contender conversation.<\/p>

How to Watch UFC Seattle: Tips for This Card<\/strong><\/h2>

Card Tips:<\/strong><\/h3>
    \n
  • Musayev’s 0.44 strikes per minute is the most unusual statistical profile on the card.<\/li>\n<\/ul>
      \n
    • The McKinney vs Nelson lightweight matchup on the main card features the highest submission ceiling on the entire card.<\/li>\n<\/ul>
        \n
      • Adesanya vs Pyfer closes the card at middleweight with the most technically compelling stylistic contrast of the evening — a former two-time champion’s precision striking game against one of the most dangerous finishers in the division.<\/li>\n<\/ul>

        UFC Seattle Fight Card<\/strong><\/h2>

        Main Card (05:00 p.m. ET –Paramout+)<\/strong><\/p>

        Israel Adesanya vs Joe Pyfer — Middleweight bout, 5 rounds<\/p>

        Alexa Grasso vs Maycee Barber — Women’s Flyweight bout, 5 rounds<\/p>

        Michael Chiesa vs Niko Price — Welterweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Julian Erosa vs Lerryan Douglas — Featherweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Yousri Belgaroui — Middleweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Terrance McKinney vs Kyle Nelson — Lightweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Prelims (02:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)<\/strong><\/p>

        Ignacio Bahamondes vs Tofiq Musayev — Lightweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Chase Hooper vs Lance Gibson Jr. — Lightweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Marcin Tybura vs Tyrell Fortune — Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Casey O’Neill vs Gabriella Fernandes — Women’s Flyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Navajo Stirling vs Bruno Lopes — Light Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Ricky Simon vs Adrian Yanez — Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Alexia Thainara vs Bruna Brasil — Women’s Strawweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Odds current as of March 26, 2026.<\/em><\/p>

        (Image Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie – Imagn Images)<\/strong><\/p>\n

        \n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        UFC Seattle’s prelim card features a lightweight clash between Chilean knockout artist Ignacio Bahamondes and Azerbaijani veteran Tofiq Musayev. This 3-round prelim bout pits one of the most dangerous strikers on the undercard against a seasoned 22-fight professional at 155 lbs at the Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, United States. Bahamondes opens as a -300 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":654098,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_mux_skip_reasons":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[1783,4513],"tags":[4115,7944,11490],"class_list":["post-654096","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mma","category-ufc-predictions","tag-ignacio-bahamondes","tag-tofiq-musayev","tag-ufc-seattle"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nUFC Seattle: Ignacio Bahamondes vs Tofiq Musayev – Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch - The Playoffs<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get to know our UFC Seattle Ignacio Bahamondes vs Tofiq Musayev fight predictions, preview, analysis, props and best bets.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-seattle-ignacio-bahamondes-vs-tofiq-musayev-predictions-odds\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"UFC Seattle: Ignacio Bahamondes vs Tofiq Musayev – Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch - 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