{"id":654081,"date":"2026-03-26T08:05:21","date_gmt":"2026-03-26T07:05:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/?p=654081"},"modified":"2026-03-26T08:05:26","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T07:05:26","slug":"ufc-seattle-mansur-abdul-malik-vs-yousri-belgaroui-predictions-odds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-seattle-mansur-abdul-malik-vs-yousri-belgaroui-predictions-odds\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Seattle: Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Yousri Belgaroui \u2013 Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch"},"content":{"rendered":"

UFC Seattle’s main card showcases a middleweight clash between unbeaten American prospect Mansur Abdul-Malik and Dutch-Tunisian veteran Yousri Belgaroui. This 3-round main card bout pits one of the most promising undefeated middleweights on the UFC roster against a seasoned and technically refined striker with elite accuracy numbers at 185 lbs at the Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, United States.<\/p>

The odds sit at near pick’em territory, with Abdul-Malik at -115<\/a> and Belgaroui at -105<\/a>. Here’s how we’re betting UFC Seattle: Abdul-Malik vs Belgaroui, including our UFC predictions<\/a>, best bet, key props and an expert final verdict.<\/p>

Mini Fight Info Strip<\/strong><\/h3>

Event:<\/strong> UFC Seattle <\/p>

Weight class:<\/strong> UFC Middleweight bout <\/p>

Fight length:<\/strong> 3-round main card bout <\/p>

Date & time:<\/strong> March 29, 2026 – Main card start: 05:00 pm ET, walk time ~05:30 p.m. ET <\/p>

Venue:<\/strong> Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, United States<\/p>

Best Bet Card<\/strong><\/h3>

Best Bet: Abdul-Malik by KO\/TKO (+260)<\/strong> <\/p>

Book: Best price at FanDuel<\/a><\/strong><\/p>

Our best bet for this middleweight main card bout is Mansur Abdul-Malik by KO\/TKO at +260<\/a>. Below, we’ll break down the matchup and key props.<\/p>

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Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Yousri Belgaroui Odds<\/strong><\/h2>

Here are the latest odds from top sportsbooks.<\/p>

Market<\/strong><\/td>BetMGM<\/strong><\/td>FanDuel<\/strong><\/td>Best Odds<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Moneyline<\/strong><\/td>Abdul-Malik -115 \/ Belgaroui -105<\/td>Abdul-Malik -125 \/ Belgaroui -102<\/td>Belgaroui -102<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Fight Goes Distance<\/strong><\/td>Yes +130 \/ No -180<\/td>Yes +142 \/ No -182<\/td>Yes +142<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Total Rounds O\/U 2.5<\/strong><\/td>O +100 \/ U -135<\/td>O +110 \/ U -140<\/td>O +110<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Abdul-Malik by KO\/TKO<\/strong><\/td>+200<\/td>+260<\/td>+260<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Abdul-Malik by Decision<\/strong><\/td>+400<\/td>+430<\/td>+430<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Abdul-Malik by Submission<\/strong><\/td>+650<\/td>+650<\/td>+650 <\/a>(Both)<\/td><\/tr>
Belgaroui by KO\/TKO<\/strong><\/td>+275<\/td>+280<\/td>+280<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Belgaroui by Decision<\/strong><\/td>+275<\/td>+320<\/td>+320 <\/a>(FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Belgaroui by Submission<\/strong><\/td>+2500<\/td>+2200<\/td>+2200<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>

Odds updated: March 26, 2026 – 02:30 AM ET. Lines may move before fight night, especially after weigh-ins.<\/em><\/p>

Tale of the Tape – Key Stats to Know<\/strong><\/h2>

Before we get into the matchup, here’s a Tale of the Tape for Abdul-Malik vs Belgaroui.<\/p>

Tale of the Tape<\/strong><\/td>Mansur Abdul-Malik<\/strong><\/td>Yousri Belgaroui<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Record<\/strong><\/td>9-0-1<\/td>9-3-0<\/td><\/tr>
Age<\/strong><\/td>28<\/td>33<\/td><\/tr>
Height<\/strong><\/td>6’2″<\/td>6’6″<\/td><\/tr>
Reach<\/strong><\/td>80″<\/td>79″<\/td><\/tr>
Stance<\/strong><\/td>Orthodox<\/td>Orthodox<\/td><\/tr>
Sig. Strikes Landed<\/strong><\/td>4.18<\/td>5.82<\/td><\/tr>
Striking Accuracy<\/strong><\/td>48%<\/td>66%<\/td><\/tr>
Strikes Absorbed<\/strong><\/td>3.46<\/td>2.52<\/td><\/tr>
Striking Defense<\/strong><\/td>51%<\/td>61%<\/td><\/tr>
Takedowns<\/strong><\/td>0.94<\/td>0.39<\/td><\/tr>
Takedown Accuracy<\/strong><\/td>50%<\/td>100%<\/td><\/tr>
Takedown Defense<\/strong><\/td>83%<\/td>68%<\/td><\/tr>
Submission Avg.<\/strong><\/td>0.5<\/td>0.0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>

Belgaroui’s striking profile is the standout number in this matchup; 66% accuracy at 5.82 strikes per minute while absorbing only 2.52 per minute is a combination that reflects genuine technical quality at middleweight. Abdul-Malik counters with an 83% takedown defense and a 0.5 submission average that gives him a multi-dimensional threat.<\/p>

Fighter Breakdown – Mansur Abdul-Malik Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>

Abdul-Malik comes in with a 9-0-1 record as one of the most intriguing unbeaten middleweights in the UFC. The 28 year old orthodox fighter has navigated his entire professional career without a loss and enters this main card bout with a well-rounded statistical profile.<\/p>

Strengths:<\/strong> Elite 83% takedown defense neutralizes Belgaroui’s wrestling threat entirely. Solid 0.5 submission average. His 50% takedown accuracy at 0.94 average gives him a credible enough wrestling threat to force Belgaroui to respect the level change. At 28 years old against a 33 year old opponent, he holds a meaningful athletic prime advantage across three rounds.<\/p>

Weaknesses:<\/strong> His 51% striking defense is the lower number in this matchup. 3.46 strikes absorbed per minute against the most accurate striker he has faced at this level is a genuine concern over three rounds. His unbeaten record is compelling, but the quality of opposition he has faced compared to a 9-3 Belgaroui with UFC experience is the central question mark hanging over this entire matchup.<\/p>

Betting Angles:<\/strong> Abdul-Malik by KO\/TKO (+260<\/a>) is our primary play. His -115 <\/a>moneyline reflects the near pick’em nature of this bout but the KO\/TKO method price is where the structural value lives.<\/p>

Fighter Breakdown – Yousri Belgaroui Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>

Belgaroui comes in with a 9-3-0 record as one of the most technically refined strikers on the UFC Seattle card. The 33 year old orthodox fighter from the Netherlands has a technically polished standup game built on precision over chaos. <\/p>

Strengths:<\/strong> Elite 66% striking accuracy and 5.82 significant strikes per minute. Superior 61% striking defense and only 2.52 strikes absorbed per minute. His four-inch height advantage creates structural range problems for an orthodox opponent of the same reach. His 100% takedown accuracy suggests he completes every wrestling entry he attempts.<\/p>

Weaknesses:<\/strong> His 0.0 submission average against Abdul-Malik’s 0.5 is the central ground game mismatch. 0.39 takedown average against Abdul-Malik’s 83% takedown defense means his wrestling path is essentially closed, forcing him to win entirely on the feet against a fighter with genuine finishing power. At 33 years old against a 28 year old in his athletic prime, the age factor is a secondary but real consideration.<\/p>

Betting Angles:<\/strong> Belgaroui by KO\/TKO (+280<\/a>) offers near-even-money on the most likely finishing path for a precise, high-volume striker. His -102<\/a> moneyline is the best near-even price on this card for a legitimate technical edge on the feet.<\/p>

Best Bets For Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Yousri Belgaroui<\/strong><\/h2>

Best Bet: Abdul-Malik by KO\/TKO (+260<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

Abdul-Malik’s 4.18 strikes per minute at 48% accuracy against Belgaroui’s 61% striking defense creates consistent enough offensive output across three rounds to accumulate the kind of damage that produces stoppages, and his finishing instincts throughout his unbeaten career reflect a fighter who hunts the finish rather than settling for scorecards.<\/p>

At +260 <\/a>(implied 27.8%), we project this outcome closer to 32-36% once his finishing rate and output are weighted against Belgaroui’s defensive profile, making it outstanding plus-money value on an unbeaten prospect with genuine stoppage power at 185 lbs.<\/p>

Value Prop: Fight Does Not Go Distance (-182<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

Belgaroui’s 66% striking accuracy against Abdul-Malik’s 51% striking defense creates clean, damaging exchanges on the feet. And Abdul-Malik’s 0.5 submission average gives him a finishing path on the mat that Belgaroui has zero recorded experience navigating. Both fighters carry genuine stopping power from multiple angles, and the near pick’em moneyline reflects how evenly matched these finishing threats are.<\/p>

At -182<\/a> (implied 64.5%), this is solid value on a fight that structurally cannot be expected to go the distance given the offensive profiles on both sides.<\/p>

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Longshot Flier: Belgaroui by Decision (+320<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

Small stake only. Belgaroui’s 66% striking accuracy and 61% striking defense give him the technical tools to control the striking exchanges across three rounds and keep Abdul-Malik from establishing the takedown game that produces his submission threat. <\/p>

If Belgaroui uses his four-inch height advantage to manage range and land consistently while staying off the mat, his superior striking defense and output give him a credible scorecards path. At +320 <\/a>(implied 23.8%), a small stake acknowledges the decision ceiling a technically disciplined striker with elite defensive numbers carries into every round. Keep stakes at 0.5 units maximum.<\/p>

Prediction – Final Verdict<\/strong><\/h2>

Official Pick: Mansur Abdul-Malik by KO\/TKO<\/strong><\/p>

We are backing Abdul-Malik to use his finishing instincts, elite takedown defense, and multi-dimensional offensive threat to wear down Belgaroui across three rounds and earn a stoppage win that extends his unbeaten record and announces him as a genuine middleweight prospect to watch. Belgaroui’s 66% striking accuracy, height advantage, and technical standup game give him a legitimate path to controlling this fight on the feet across 15 minutes.<\/p>

However, an 83% takedown defense limits Belgaroui’s ability to avoid the scrambles and clinch exchanges where Abdul-Malik’s submission threat enters the equation. His 4.18 strikes per minute output at 48% accuracy builds damage at a pace that compounds over three rounds against a 33-year-old opponent. <\/p>

Abdul-Malik’s unbeaten record reflects a fighter who finds ways to win, and in a pick’em fight, the younger, more well-rounded athlete with the submission ceiling tends to be on the right side of the finish. Abdul-Malik moves to 10-0-1 and puts himself firmly in the middleweight contender conversation.<\/p>

How to Watch UFC Seattle: Tips for This Card<\/strong><\/h2>

Card Tips:<\/strong><\/h3>
    \n
  • Belgaroui’s 66% striking accuracy is the most technically refined standup output on the entire UFC Seattle main card.<\/li>\n<\/ul>
      \n
    • The Erosa vs Douglas featherweight bout directly above this on the card features the most statistically extraordinary striking numbers seen in a UFC debut in recent memory.<\/li>\n<\/ul>
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      • Adesanya vs Pyfer headlines at middleweight, making this Abdul-Malik vs Belgaroui opener a compelling scene-setter for a card that has genuine 185 lb storylines from the first fight to the last.<\/li>\n<\/ul>

        UFC Seattle Fight Card<\/strong><\/h2>

        Main Card (05:00 p.m. ET –Paramout+)<\/strong><\/p>

        Israel Adesanya vs Joe Pyfer — Middleweight bout, 5 rounds<\/p>

        Alexa Grasso vs Maycee Barber — Women’s Flyweight bout, 5 rounds<\/p>

        Michael Chiesa vs Niko Price — Welterweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Julian Erosa vs Lerryan Douglas — Featherweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Yousri Belgaroui — Middleweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Terrance McKinney vs Kyle Nelson — Lightweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Prelims (02:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)<\/strong><\/p>

        Ignacio Bahamondes vs Tofiq Musayev — Lightweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Chase Hooper vs Lance Gibson Jr. — Lightweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Marcin Tybura vs Tyrell Fortune — Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Casey O’Neill vs Gabriella Fernandes — Women’s Flyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Navajo Stirling vs Bruno Lopes — Light Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Ricky Simon vs Adrian Yanez — Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Alexia Thainara vs Bruna Brasil — Women’s Strawweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Odds current as of March 26, 2026.<\/em><\/p>

        (Image Credit: Simon Fearn – Imagn Images)<\/strong><\/p>\n

        \n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        UFC Seattle’s main card showcases a middleweight clash between unbeaten American prospect Mansur Abdul-Malik and Dutch-Tunisian veteran Yousri Belgaroui. This 3-round main card bout pits one of the most promising undefeated middleweights on the UFC roster against a seasoned and technically refined striker with elite accuracy numbers at 185 lbs at the Climate Pledge Arena […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":654083,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"page-betting.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_mux_skip_reasons":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[1783,4513],"tags":[7713,11490,10275],"class_list":["post-654081","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mma","category-ufc-predictions","tag-mansur-abdul-malik","tag-ufc-seattle","tag-yousri-belgaroui"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nUFC Seattle: Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Yousri Belgaroui – Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch - The Playoffs<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get to know our UFC Seattle Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Yousri Belgaroui fight predictions, picks, analysis, props and best bets.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-seattle-mansur-abdul-malik-vs-yousri-belgaroui-predictions-odds\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"UFC Seattle: Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Yousri Belgaroui – Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch - 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