{"id":652901,"date":"2026-03-12T09:36:09","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T08:36:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/?p=652901"},"modified":"2026-03-12T09:36:15","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T08:36:15","slug":"ufc-vegas-114-andre-fili-vs-jose-miguel-delgado-predictions-odds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-vegas-114-andre-fili-vs-jose-miguel-delgado-predictions-odds\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Vegas 114: Andre Fili vs Jose Miguel Delgado \u2013 Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch"},"content":{"rendered":"

UFC Vegas 114’s main card features a featherweight clash between veteran Andre Fili and rising prospect Jose Miguel Delgado. This 3-round bout pits the experienced 35-year-old American against the explosive 27-year-old switch-stance finisher at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada.<\/p>

Delgado opens as a -350<\/a> favorite, with Fili at +275 <\/a>as a heavy underdog. This featherweight matchup could be a statement fight for Delgado as he looks to announce himself on the main card stage, while Fili desperately needs a win to keep his UFC career alive.<\/p>

Here’s how we’re betting UFC Vegas 114: Fili vs Delgado, including our UFC predictions<\/a>, best bet, key props and an expert final verdict.<\/p>

Mini Fight Info Strip<\/h3>

Event:<\/strong> UFC Vegas 114 <\/p>

Weight class:<\/strong> UFC Featherweight bout <\/p>

Fight length:<\/strong> 3-round main card fight <\/p>

Date & time:<\/strong> March 14, 2026 – Main card 10:00 p.m. ET, walk time ~11:25 p.m. ET <\/p>

Venue:<\/strong> UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada<\/p>

Best Bet Card<\/strong><\/h3>

Best Bet: <\/strong>Delgado by KO\/TKO (+110)<\/strong> <\/p>

Book: <\/strong>Best price at FanDuel<\/a><\/p>

Our best bet for this featherweight main card fight is Jose Delgado by KO\/TKO at +110<\/a>. Below, we’ll break down the matchup and key props.<\/p>

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Andre Fili vs Jose Miguel Delgado Odds<\/strong><\/h2>

Here are the latest odds from top sportsbooks.<\/p>

Market<\/strong><\/td>BetMGM<\/strong><\/td>FanDuel<\/strong><\/td>Best Odds<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Moneyline<\/td>Fili +275 \/ Delgado -350<\/td>+280 \/ -390<\/td>Fili +280 <\/a>(FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Fight Goes Distance<\/td>+180<\/td>+200<\/td>+200 <\/a>(FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Fight Doesn’t Go Distance<\/td>-275<\/td>-270<\/td>-270 <\/a>(FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Total Rounds O\/U 1.5<\/td>O-145 \/ U+105<\/td>O-136 \/ U+108<\/td>U +108<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Delgado by KO\/TKO<\/td>-115<\/td>+110<\/td>+110<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Delgado by Submission<\/td>+550<\/td>+500<\/td>+550<\/a> (BetMGM)<\/td><\/tr>
Delgado by Decision<\/td>+350<\/td>+400<\/td>+400<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Fili by KO\/TKO<\/td>+650<\/td>+700<\/td>+700 <\/a>(FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Fili by Submission<\/td>+2500<\/td>+2500<\/td>+2500<\/a> (Both)<\/td><\/tr>
Fili by Decision<\/td>+550<\/td>+550<\/td>+550 <\/a>(Both)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>

Odds updated: March 12, 2026 – 10:00 PM ET. Lines may move before fight night, especially after weigh-ins.<\/p>

Tale of the Tape – Key Stats to Know<\/strong><\/h2>

Before we get into the matchup, here’s a Tale of the Tape for Fili vs Delgado.<\/p>

<\/td>Andre Fili<\/strong><\/td>Jose Delgado<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Record<\/td>25-12-0 (1 NC)<\/td>10-2-0<\/td><\/tr>
Age<\/td>35<\/td>27<\/td><\/tr>
Height<\/td>5’11”<\/td>5’11”<\/td><\/tr>
Reach<\/td>74″<\/td>74″<\/td><\/tr>
Stance<\/td>Orthodox<\/td>Switch<\/td><\/tr>
Sig. Strikes Landed<\/td>3.87<\/td>8.22<\/td><\/tr>
Striking Accuracy<\/td>37%<\/td>54%<\/td><\/tr>
Strikes Absorbed<\/td>4.23<\/td>5.44<\/td><\/tr>
Striking Defense<\/td>51%<\/td>47%<\/td><\/tr>
Takedowns<\/td>2.22<\/td>1.81<\/td><\/tr>
Takedown Accuracy<\/td>45%<\/td>42%<\/td><\/tr>
Takedown Defense<\/td>71%<\/td>60%<\/td><\/tr>
Submission Avg.<\/td>0.2<\/td>0.0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>

Delgado holds a staggering advantage in striking volume at 8.22 significant strikes landed per minute with far superior accuracy. Fili counters with better striking defense and takedown defense, but the offensive output gap is enormous. Identical height and reach make this a pure skills matchup with no physical advantages to lean on.<\/p>

Fighter Breakdown – Andre Fili Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>

Fili comes in with a 25-12-0 record (1 NC) as one of the veteran fighters on the UFC roster. The 35 year -old Sacramento native has been in competitive fights throughout his career but has struggled to string together wins at this stage, losing four of his last six.<\/p>

Strengths:<\/strong> Durable veteran who has seen every style across 37 professional fights. Solid striking defense at 51%. Respectable takedown defense at 71% to counter any wrestling attempts. Switch-hitting experience means he’s seen awkward stances before. Capable submission threat with a 0.2 average.<\/p>

Weaknesses:<\/strong> Losing four of his last six fights signals serious decline. Poor striking accuracy at 37%. Absorbs 4.23 significant strikes per minute, a concerning number against Delgado’s volume. Age 35 is a real factor at featherweight against a 27 year old. Vastly outgunned in offensive striking output.<\/p>

Betting Angles:<\/strong> Fili by Decision (+550<\/a>) offers lottery ticket value if he somehow survives and grinds out a tactical upset. <\/p>

Fighter Breakdown – Jose Miguel Delgado Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>

Delgado brings a 10-2-0 record and looks every bit like a future contender based on his statistical profile. The 27 year old switch-stance fighter has elite-level offensive output by any measure.<\/p>

Strengths:<\/strong> Extraordinary striking volume at 8.22 significant strikes per minute. Excellent striking accuracy at 54% while throwing at that volume. Switch stance creates constant adjustment problems for opponents. 8 year age advantage over Fili. Strong finishing ability.<\/p>

Weaknesses:<\/strong> Only 60% takedown defense leaves him vulnerable to wrestling if Fili commits early. Absorbs 5.44 significant strikes per minute. Limited UFC experience at just 12 professional fights. Submission defense untested against a grappler with Fili’s experience.<\/p>

Betting Angles:<\/strong> Delgado by KO\/TKO (+110<\/a>) is our best bet and primary play. Fight doesn’t go distance (-270<\/a>) offers solid value given the pace both fighters bring.<\/p>

Best Bets For Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado<\/strong><\/h2>

Best Bet: Delgado by KO\/TKO (+110<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

Getting plus money on a heavy favorite to finish by stoppage is exceptional value. Delgado’s 8.22 significant strikes per minute against Fili’s 51% striking defense creates an unsustainable punishment rate.<\/p>

Delgado’s 54% accuracy at extreme volume means he lands clean shots in bunches. Fili has been stopped before and his 4.23 strikes absorbed per minute baseline will be shattered against Delgado’s output. At +110<\/a> (implied 47.6%), we project this outcome closer to 55-60%, making this one of the cleaner value plays on the card.<\/p>

Value Prop: Fight Does NOT Go Distance (-270<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

Both fighters produce high-action exchanges and neither is built for boring decisions. Delgado’s offensive output virtually guarantees damage accumulation, and Fili’s aggressive style means he won’t survive by running. Between Delgado’s power and Fili’s own willingness to trade, three clean rounds feels unlikely.<\/p>

At -270<\/a> (implied 73%), this is strong but justified value. The pace these two create together almost demands a stoppage.<\/p>

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Longshot Flier: Fili by KO\/TKO (+700<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

Small stake only. Fili has 10 career KO\/TKO wins and Delgado absorbs 5.44 strikes per minute. If Fili lands a clean counter early in round one before the pace overwhelms him, there is a real finishing scenario. At +700 <\/a>(implied 12.5%), even a small stake returns well for the upset. Keep stakes at 0.5 units maximum.<\/p>

Prediction – Final Verdict<\/strong><\/h2>

Official Pick: Jose Delgado by KO\/TKO<\/strong><\/p>

We are backing Delgado to make a statement with a finish, likely in rounds one or two. Fili will be game early and look to land the counter right hand that has served him throughout his career. But Delgado’s volume and accuracy should begin to overwhelm him quickly.<\/p>

The numbers tell the story here. Delgado lands 8.22 significant strikes per minute at 54% accuracy. Fili absorbs 4.23 per minute against opponents who aren’t remotely as active as Delgado. The math points to a short night for the veteran.<\/p>

Fili’s durability may extend things into round two, but we don’t see a path to round three. This fight announces Delgado as a legitimate name in the featherweight division.<\/p>

How to Bet UFC Vegas 114: Tips for This Card<\/strong><\/h2>

Card Tips:<\/strong><\/h3>
    \n
  • Delgado’s 8.22 strikes per minute is among the highest output of any fighter on this card  <\/li>\n<\/ul>
      \n
    • Josh Emmett vs Kevin Vallejos headlines with a 17-year age gap in the main event.<\/li>\n<\/ul>
        \n
      • Ion Cuțelaba vs Oumar Sy offers explosive knockout potential at light heavyweight.<\/li>\n<\/ul>

        UFC Vegas 114 Fight Card<\/strong><\/h2>

        Main Card (10:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)<\/strong><\/p>

        Josh Emmett vs Kevin Vallejos — Featherweight bout, 5 rounds<\/p>

        Amanda Lemos vs Gillian Robertson — Women’s Strawweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Ion Cuțelaba vs Oumar Sy — Light Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Andre Fili vs Jose Miguel Delgado — Featherweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Marwan Rahiki vs Harry Hardwick — Featherweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Vitor Petrino vs Steven Asplund — Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Prelims (07:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)<\/strong><\/p>

        Charles Johnson vs Bruno Gustavo da Silva — Flyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Brad Tavares vs Eryk Anders — Middleweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Chris Curtis vs Myktybek Orolbai — Welterweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Bolaji Oki vs Manoel Sousa — Lightweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Luan Lacerda vs Hecher Sosa — Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Beatriz Mesquita vs Montserrat Rendon — Women’s Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Elijah Smith vs You Su-young — Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Piera Rodriguez vs Sam Hughes — Women’s Strawweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Odds current as of March 12, 2026.<\/p>

        (Image Credit: Steven Bisig – Imagn Images)<\/strong><\/p>\n

        \n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        UFC Vegas 114’s main card features a featherweight clash between veteran Andre Fili and rising prospect Jose Miguel Delgado. This 3-round bout pits the experienced 35-year-old American against the explosive 27-year-old switch-stance finisher at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada. Delgado opens as a -350 favorite, with Fili at +275 as a heavy underdog. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":652903,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"page-betting.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_mux_skip_reasons":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[1783,4513],"tags":[9051,8174,11412],"class_list":["post-652901","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mma","category-ufc-predictions","tag-andre-fili","tag-jose-miguel-delgado","tag-ufc-vegas-114"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nUFC Vegas 114: Andre Fili vs Jose Miguel Delgado – Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch - The Playoffs<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get to know our UFC Vegas 114 Andre Fili vs Jose Miguel Delgado fight predictions, picks, props and best bets here.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-vegas-114-andre-fili-vs-jose-miguel-delgado-predictions-odds\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"UFC Vegas 114: Andre Fili vs Jose Miguel Delgado – Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch - 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