{"id":652678,"date":"2026-03-04T18:47:54","date_gmt":"2026-03-04T17:47:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/?p=652678"},"modified":"2026-03-04T18:48:03","modified_gmt":"2026-03-04T17:48:03","slug":"matteo-berrettini-vs-adrian-mannarino-prediction-odds-best-bets-atp-indian-wells-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/matteo-berrettini-vs-adrian-mannarino-prediction-odds-best-bets-atp-indian-wells-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Matteo Berrettini vs. Adrian Mannarino Prediction, Odds and Best Bets (ATP Indian Wells 2026, Round of 128, March 4)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Italian powerhouse Matteo Berrettini is set to battle French veteran Adrian Mannarino in the 2026 Indian Wells Round of 128 on Wednesday. The 6&rsquo;5&rdquo; giant is a former Wimbledon finalist who is on the path to rediscovering his lost form. With just 25 wins since the start of the 2025 season, Berrettini will start as the underdog at the Californian desert. Meanwhile, Mannarino has opened his campaign with a success rate of just under 50% this year. Who will emerge victorious in this battle of the contrasting styles at Indian Wells 2026?<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Matteo Berrettini laying the hammer down &#128296;<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/RioOpenOficial?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>@RioOpenOficial<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/SccrIIE910\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/SccrIIE910<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Tennis TV (@TennisTV) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TennisTV\/status\/2024994842565091754?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>February 20, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>The match-up between Matteo Berrettini and Adrian Mannarino has been historically dominated by the Frenchman. While the former has had the more illustrious career with a career-high World No. 6 ranking and 10 singles trophies, Mannarino is also a former Top-20 sensation. The 29-year-old Italian has two Davis Cup triumphs and 11 wins against Top-10 opponents throughout his career. He has picked up 213 wins and 118 losses until early 2026. On the other hand, Mannarino recently made a sensational run to the final at the Open Occitanie in Montpellier.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Magic Mannarino &#129321;<br><br>The 37-year-old fights back against Arthur Gea to make his first ATP Tour semi-final in 2 years!<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/OpenOccitanie26?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>#OpenOccitanie26<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/piRuUnoSX9\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/piRuUnoSX9<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Tennis TV (@TennisTV) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TennisTV\/status\/2019808519994650773?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>February 6, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>According to the tennis betting odds on <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-betmgm-sportsbetting-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>BetMGM<\/a>, Matteo Berrettini (-265) is the favorite in this high profile opening round match-up against France&rsquo;s minnow Adrian Mannarino (+205). The winner of this encounter will face No. 4 seed Alexander Zverev in Round-2. Here&rsquo;s how we are betting on this Round of 128 duel at the ATP BNP Paribas Open 2026 at Indian Wells, including our best bets, supporting odds and a set-score prop for bigger prices.<\/p><p>\n\n\n            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTable\" >\n                                                            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock\">\n                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock-item MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock-item--flex2\">\n                                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableLogo\" style=\"background-color: #000000\">\n                <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/mm-business-data\/images\/brands\/b6b0a2feb72c-500-BetMGM.jpg\" alt=\"BetMGM\">\n            <\/div>\n                                            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTitleAndRate\">\n                <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTitleAndRate-title\">\n                    <div 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14.1814V5.96833C0 4.68971 1.03528 3.6499 2.30834 3.6499H8.45414C9.7272 3.6499 10.7625 4.68971 10.7625 5.96833V14.1814C10.7625 15.4601 9.7272 16.4999 8.45414 16.4999ZM2.30834 4.38352C1.4389 4.38352 0.731644 5.09387 0.731644 5.96711V14.1802C0.731644 15.0535 1.4389 15.7638 2.30834 15.7638H8.45414C9.32358 15.7638 10.0308 15.0535 10.0308 14.1802V5.96833C10.0308 5.0951 9.32358 4.38475 8.45414 4.38475H2.30834V4.38352Z\" fill=\"#002699\"\/>\n                                <path d=\"M11.6905 13.3512C11.488 13.3512 11.3246 13.1871 11.3246 12.9838C11.3246 12.7805 11.488 12.6164 11.6905 12.6164C12.5599 12.6164 13.2672 11.906 13.2672 11.0328V2.81843C13.2672 1.94519 12.5599 1.23484 11.6905 1.23484H5.54466C4.67523 1.23484 3.96797 1.94519 3.96797 2.81843C3.96797 3.02174 3.80457 3.18585 3.60215 3.18585C3.39973 3.18585 3.23633 3.02174 3.23633 2.81843C3.23633 1.5398 4.2716 0.5 5.54466 0.5H11.6905C12.9635 0.5 13.9988 1.5398 13.9988 2.81843V11.0315C13.9988 12.3102 12.9635 13.35 11.6905 13.35V13.3512Z\" 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class=\"MvpBookmakerTable-separator\"><\/div>\n            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTANDC\">\n                21+. 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Full T&Cs can be found on betmgm.com.            <\/div>\n                                                    <\/div>\n            \n\n\n\n<\/p><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Tournament &amp; Round: <\/strong>ATP BNP Paribas Open 2026, Round of 128<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Surface: <\/strong>Outdoor Hard Court<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Format: <\/strong>Men&rsquo;s Singles, Best of Three Sets<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Date &amp; Start Time: <\/strong>March 4, Around 14:30 Local (Approx.)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Court: <\/strong>Stadium 1, Indian Wells Tennis Garden<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Best Bet: <\/strong>Total Games &gt;23.5 @ +117 as per BetMGM<\/li>\n<\/ul><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Matteo Berrettini vs Adrian Mannarino Betting Odds<\/h2><p>Given below are the latest odds for Matteo Berrettini vs Adrian Mannarino from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.<\/p><p>\n\n\n            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTable\" >\n                                                            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock\">\n                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock-item MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock-item--flex2\">\n                                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableLogo\" style=\"background-color: #1493ff\">\n                <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/mm-business-data\/images\/brands\/9b4dabf72537-500-FanDuel.jpeg\" alt=\"FanDuel\">\n            <\/div>\n                                            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTitleAndRate\">\n                <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTitleAndRate-title\">\n                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTitleAndRate-title-text\">\n                        FanDuel                    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               <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTablePros-item-text\">High total bonus ceiling<\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n                                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTablePros-item\">\n                        <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTablePros-item-check\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/mvp\/assets\/img\/bookmaker_table\/check.svg\" alt=\"check\" \/><\/div>\n                        <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTablePros-item-text\">Daily second-chance bet protection<\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n                                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTablePros-item\">\n                        <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTablePros-item-check\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/mvp\/assets\/img\/bookmaker_table\/check.svg\" alt=\"check\" \/><\/div>\n                        <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTablePros-item-text\">No promo code required<\/div>\n                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Must be 21+ in most jurisdictions, but 18+ in DC, KY, and WY. Offer is valid only in eligible regulated states\/jurisdictions and not available in AR; void where prohibited. First online real-money wager only; cashed-out or bonus-funded bets are excluded.            <\/div>\n                                                    <\/div>\n            \n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Market<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-betmgm-sportsbetting-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>BetMGM<\/a><\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-FanDuel-sports-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>FanDuel<\/a><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Moneyline<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Berrettini (-265), Mannarino (+205)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Berrettini (-260), Mannarino (+210)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Game Handicap<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Berrettini -3.5 (-103), Mannarino +3.5 (-127)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Berrettini -3.5 (-102), Mannarino +3.5 (-130)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Total Games<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">&gt;22.5 (-113), &lt;22.5 (-115)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">&gt;22.5 (-118), &lt;22.5 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Set Betting<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Berrettini 2-0 (+100)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Berrettini 2-0 (+105)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Matteo Berrettini vs Adrian Mannarino Predictions &amp; Picks<\/h2><p><strong>Our Pick: <\/strong>Total Games Over 23.5 at +117 Odds.<\/p><p>Both the previous meetings between Berrettini and Mannarino have been tight fixtures, with either tiebreaks or a single break of serve determining the victor. Although they have finished in straight sets, the contrasting styles present plenty of shifts in momentum. Particularly in the second set, the betting market is showcasing a lot of chaos and fluctuation, meaning that it is anybody&rsquo;s game. This is why the total games going over the 23.5 mark is a genuine possibility.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Carlos Alcaraz v Matteo Berrettini Extended Highlights (3R) | Australian Open 2022\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/WE8Ga2BhUJ0?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>Taking a look at the statistics, neither player has won this tournament before. Yet, Berrettini&rsquo;s serve has contributed massively to his proficient hard court record. The former Grand Slam finalist has 1780 aces on this surface, and saves 70% break points faced. When he is put under pressure, he tends to favor his powerful forehand. For Mannarino to dismantle the Italian, he will need to target the second serves and push Berrettini out wide on his backhand more often than not.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Matteo Berrettini Recent Form<\/h2><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Chile Open 2026: Round of 32<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Rio Open 2026: Quarterfinal<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Argentina Open 2026: Round of 16<\/li>\n<\/ul><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Adrian Mannarino Recent Form<\/h2><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Acapulco Open 2026: Round of 32<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dallas Open 2026: Round of 16<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Open Occitanie Montpellier 2026: Final<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Australian Open 2026: Round of 128<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>ASB Classic 2026: Round of 32<\/li>\n<\/ul><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Matteo Berrettini vs Adrian Mannarino Head to Head Record<\/h2><p>Adrian Mannarino leads the head-to-head against Matteo Berrettini by 2-0.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Adrian Mannarino vs Matteo Berrettini | Shanghai 2025 Highlights\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/u9dRVzr67aE?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>The first ever match between these two old-timers was contested at the 2018 Australian Open. Mannarino managed to edge out Berrettini against the odds to advance to the second round at Melbourne Park. Seven years later, they met again in the opening round of the 2025 Shanghai Rolex Masters. Yet again, it was the Frenchman who held his nerve in the pressure situations to secure success in two gripping sets.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Event<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Round<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Winner<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Score<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2025 Shanghai<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Round of 128<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Adrian Mannarino<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7-5 7-6(5)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2018 Australian Open<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Round of 128<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Adrian Mannarino<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6-4 6-4 6-4<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How to Watch Matteo Berrettini vs Adrian Mannarino at the ATP Indian Wells 2026?<\/h2><p>The ATP Indian Wells 2026 can be streamed live on various platforms and channels, depending on which part of the world you are watching from. This includes Tennis TV, Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, ESPN International, Setanta Sports and TSN.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Novak Djokovic vs Matteo Berrettini | Men's Final Highlights | Wimbledon 2021\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/1IBhpowmI8s?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Date<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">March 4, 2026<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Time<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Around 14:30 Local (Approx.)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Tournament<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">ATP BNP Paribas Open, Round of 128<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Surface<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Outdoor Hard Court<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Court<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Stadium 1, Indian Wells Tennis Garden<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>TV\/Streaming<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Tennis TV, Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, ESPN International, Setanta Sports and TSN.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><p><em>(Image Credits: Taya Gray, Imagn Images)<\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"mm-layout mm-layout-type-global mm-layout-slot4\">\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>All you need to know the opening round Californian combat.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":652682,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"page-betting.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_mux_skip_reasons":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[4770,6290],"tags":[8329,4917,4970,128,11386,4822,5143,4936],"class_list":["post-652678","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tennis","category-tennis-predictions","tag-adrian-mannarino","tag-atp","tag-atp-masters-1000","tag-betting","tag-indian-wells-2026","tag-indian-wells-masters","tag-matteo-berrettini","tag-tennis"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.8 - 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