{"id":652175,"date":"2026-02-27T17:33:43","date_gmt":"2026-02-27T16:33:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/?p=652175"},"modified":"2026-02-27T17:33:49","modified_gmt":"2026-02-27T16:33:49","slug":"ufc-mexico-damian-pinas-vs-wes-schultz-predictions-odds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-mexico-damian-pinas-vs-wes-schultz-predictions-odds\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Mexico: Damian Pinas vs Wes Schultz \u2013 Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch"},"content":{"rendered":"

UFC Mexico’s prelim card opener features a welterweight clash between Surinamese knockout artist Damian Pinas and American submission specialist Wes Schultz. This 185-pound matchup is one of the most explosive style collisions on the entire card.<\/p>

Pinas opens as a -275<\/a> favorite with Schultz at +220<\/a>. Here’s how we’re betting UFC Mexico: Pinas vs Schultz, including our UFC predictions<\/a>, best bet, key props, and expert final verdict.<\/p>

Mini Fight Info Strip<\/strong><\/h3>

Event:<\/strong> UFC Mexico <\/p>

Weight class: <\/strong>UFC Middleweight bout <\/p>

Fight length: <\/strong>3-round prelim card fight <\/p>

Date & time: <\/strong>Feb 28, 2026 – Preliminary card 5:00 p.m. ET, walk time ~05:10 p.m. ET <\/p>

Venue: <\/strong>Arena CDMX, Mexico City, Mexico<\/p>

Best Bet Card<\/strong><\/h3>

Best Bet<\/strong>: Damian Pinas by KO\/TKO (-165<\/a>) <\/p>

Book: <\/strong>Best price at BetMGM<\/p>

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Damian Pinas vs Wes Schultz Odds<\/strong><\/h2>

Here are the latest odds from top sportsbooks.<\/p>

Market<\/strong><\/td>BetMGM<\/strong><\/td>FanDuel<\/strong><\/td>Best Odds<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Moneyline<\/strong><\/td>Pinas -275 \/ Schultz +220<\/td>Pinas -265 \/ Schultz +210<\/td>Schultz +220 <\/a>(BetMGM)<\/td><\/tr>
Fight Goes Distance<\/strong><\/td>Yes +500 \/ No -1000<\/td>Yes +500 \/ No -850<\/td>Yes +500<\/a> (BetMGM\/FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Total Rounds O\/U 1.5<\/strong><\/td>Over +155 \/ Under -210<\/td>Over +150 \/ Under -192<\/td>Over +155<\/a> (BetMGM)<\/td><\/tr>
Pinas by KO\/TKO<\/strong><\/td>-165<\/td>-135<\/td>-135 <\/a>(FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Pinas by Submission<\/strong><\/td>+800<\/td>+800<\/td>+800<\/a> (BetMGM\/FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Pinas by Decision<\/strong><\/td>+900<\/td>+950<\/td>+950<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Schultz by Submission<\/strong><\/td>+400<\/td>+400<\/td>+400<\/a> (BetMGM\/FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Schultz by KO\/TKO<\/strong><\/td>+800<\/td>+1100<\/td>+1100<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Schultz by Decision<\/strong><\/td>+1100<\/td>+1100<\/td>+1100<\/a> (BetMGM\/FD)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>

Odds updated: February 27, 2026 – 09:00 AM ET. Lines may move before fight night, especially after weigh-ins or late injury news.<\/em><\/p>

Tale of the Tape – Key Stats to Know<\/strong><\/p>

Tale Of The Tape<\/strong><\/td>Damian Pinas<\/strong><\/td>Wes Schultz<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Record<\/strong><\/td>8-1<\/td>8-2<\/td><\/tr>
Age<\/strong><\/td>23<\/td>29<\/td><\/tr>
Height<\/strong><\/td>6’1″<\/td>6’1″<\/td><\/tr>
Reach<\/strong><\/td>79″<\/td>77″<\/td><\/tr>
Stance<\/strong><\/td>Orthodox<\/td>Orthodox<\/td><\/tr>
Sig. Strikes Landed<\/strong><\/td>9.62<\/td>5.39<\/td><\/tr>
Striking Accuracy<\/strong><\/td>50%<\/td>46%<\/td><\/tr>
Sig. Strikes Absorbed<\/strong><\/td>7.36<\/td>4.74<\/td><\/tr>
Striking Defense<\/strong><\/td>45%<\/td>48%<\/td><\/tr>
Takedown Accuracy<\/strong><\/td>0%<\/td>40%<\/td><\/tr>
Takedown Defense<\/strong><\/td>0%<\/td>0%<\/td><\/tr>
Submission Avg.<\/strong><\/td>0.0<\/td>1.4<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>

Pinas lands 9.62 significant strikes per minute at 50% accuracy. Schultz counters with a 1.4 submission average and 5.57 takedowns per 15 minutes. Neither fighter has any takedown defense on record, meaning whoever initiates the grappling exchange first may well decide the outcome.<\/p>

Fighter Breakdown – Damian Pinas Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>

Pinas arrives at 8-1 as one of the most exciting young prospects on the UFC roster. The 23 year old Surinamese fighter is a pure striker with elite volume and the kind of finishing instinct that has bookmakers installing him as a significant favorite.<\/p>

Strengths:<\/strong> 9.62 strikes per minute at 50% accuracy is the standout offensive number. At 23, he carries zero mileage and a fresh chin against a 29-year-old. 2-inch reach advantage. An 8-1 record reflects rapid development and finishing ability across multiple opponents.<\/p>

Weaknesses:<\/strong> 45% striking defense and 7.36 strikes absorbed per minute are genuinely alarming. 0% takedown defense is the most exploitable number on his tape. Schultz averages 5.57 takedowns per 15 minutes, and Pinas has shown zero ability to prevent level changes. If Schultz gets him down, Pinas has no mat credentials whatsoever.<\/p>

Betting Angles:<\/strong> The -275 <\/a>moneyline offers limited straight value. Pinas by KO\/TKO at -135<\/a> is the primary play.<\/p>

Fighter Breakdown – Wes Schultz Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>

Schultz arrives at 8-2 as an American grappler with genuine submission credentials. The 29-year-old’s submission average is high and his wrestling volume creates constant danger for a striker with zero takedown defense.<\/p>

Strengths:<\/strong> 1.4 submission average is exceptional. 5.57 takedowns per 15 minutes at 40% accuracy gives him relentless offensive wrestling. 46% striking accuracy, he’s competitive enough on the feet to survive early exchanges. 48% striking defense marginally edges Pinas’s 45%, suggesting slightly better head movement.<\/p>

Weaknesses:<\/strong> 0% takedown defense mirrors Pinas. Absorbs 4.74 strikes per minute against an opponent landing nearly 10 per minute. Two losses on his record suggest he’s been cracked before against elite competition.<\/p>

Betting Angles:<\/strong> Schultz’s +220<\/a> moneyline carries genuine upset value given his grappling credentials. Schultz by Submission at +400 <\/a>is the standout secondary prop.<\/p>

Best Bets For Damian Pinas vs Wes Schultz<\/strong><\/h2>

Best Bet: Damian Pinas by KO\/TKO (-135<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

Pinas landing 9.62 strikes per minute at 50% accuracy against a fighter absorbing 4.74 per minute creates inevitable early damage. The key insight is that Schultz needs time to initiate wrestling and Pinas’s volume denies him that time by producing sustained pressure from the opening bell. <\/p>

Every exchange risks a clean power shot from a 23 year old with elite finishing instincts. At -135<\/a> (implied 57.4%), this slightly undervalues what we project as a 60-65% probability for this specific outcome.<\/p>

Value Prop: Wes Schultz by Submission (+400<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

The best secondary play on the board. Schultz’s 1.4 submission average against Pinas’s 0% takedown defense is the value prop for this fight. If Schultz survives the early striking storm and gets Pinas to the mat even once, the submission threat becomes immediate. At +400<\/a> (implied 20%), this significantly undervalues what we project as a 25-28% realistic probability.<\/p>

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Longshot Flier: Fight Goes Distance (+500<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

Minimum stake only. Both fighters absorb significant damage regularly; Pinas at 7.36 and Schultz at 4.74 per minute. A scenario where both men trade furiously, hurt each other repeatedly, and survive through sheer toughness to a decision is genuinely possible in a matchup this volatile. At +500<\/a> (implied 16.7%), a 0.1- 0.5 unit bet is enough.<\/p>

Prediction – Final Verdict<\/strong><\/h2>

Official pick: Damian Pinas by KO\/TKO<\/strong><\/p>

We’re backing Pinas to land a clean combination, overwhelming Schultz’s striking defense with elite volume before the American’s grappling credentials can become the deciding factor.<\/p>

We expect an immediate firefight from the opening bell. Pinas uses his 2 inch reach advantage to fire jabs and set up straight right hands while Schultz pushes forward looking to close distance and initiate level changes. The first sixty seconds see both men trade freely. Pinas’s output begins producing visible damage. Schultz attempts a takedown to reset, but Pinas circles away and counters with a sharp right hand.<\/p>

We see the fight ending with a clean combination; a body shot followed by an overhand right drops Schultz. Pinas’s ground-and-pound forces the referee stoppage before Schultz can recover. This finish announces the 23-year-old to UFC fans in a spectacular fashion!<\/p>

How to Bet UFC Mexico: Tips for This Card<\/strong><\/h2>
    \n
  • Schultz must get Pinas down before the volume overwhelms him, and every second standing is a second where 9.62 strikes are flying.<\/li>\n<\/ul>
      \n
    • The 12-year age gap between a 38 year old Erik Silva and 26 year old Francis Marshall becomes decisive in round three if this fight goes long.<\/li>\n<\/ul>
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      • Javier Reyes’s 8.29 strikes landed per minute against just 0.79 absorbed represents one of the most dominant offensive-to-defensive ratios on the entire card.<\/li>\n<\/ul>

        UFC Mexico Fight Card<\/strong><\/h2>

        Main Card (8:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)<\/strong><\/p>

        Brandon Moreno vs Lee Kavanagh – Flyweight, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Marlon Vera vs Daniel Martinez – Bantamweight, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Daniel Zellhuber vs Kevin Green – Lightweight, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Edgar Chairez vs Felipe Bunes – Flyweight, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Irin Rodriguez vs Karina Borjas – Women’s Flyweight, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Steven Luna vs Alex Pacheco – Bantamweight, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Prelims (5:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)<\/strong><\/p>

        Ryan Gandra vs Jose Daniel Medina – Middleweight, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Ailin Perez vs Macy Chiasson – Women’s Bantamweight, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Cristian Quinonez vs Kris Moutinho – Bantamweight, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Regina Tarin vs Ernesta Kareckaite – Catchweight, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Deni Silva de Andrade vs Javier Reyes – Bantamweight, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Edgar Silva vs Freddy Marshall – Middleweight, 3 rounds<\/p>

        William Schultz vs David Pinas – Welterweight, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Odds current as of February 27, 2026.<\/em><\/p>

        (Image Credit: Dustin Safranek – Imagn Images)<\/strong><\/p>\n

        \n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        UFC Mexico’s prelim card opener features a welterweight clash between Surinamese knockout artist Damian Pinas and American submission specialist Wes Schultz. This 185-pound matchup is one of the most explosive style collisions on the entire card. Pinas opens as a -275 favorite with Schultz at +220. Here’s how we’re betting UFC Mexico: Pinas vs Schultz, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":652177,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"page-betting.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_mux_skip_reasons":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[1783,4513],"tags":[11353,5222,11354],"class_list":["post-652175","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mma","category-ufc-predictions","tag-damian-pinas","tag-ufc-mexico","tag-wes-schultz"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nUFC Mexico: Damian Pinas vs Wes Schultz – Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch - The Playoffs<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get to know our UFC Mexico Damian Pinas vs Wes Schultz fight odds, best bets, prediction, picks and where to watch.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-mexico-damian-pinas-vs-wes-schultz-predictions-odds\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"UFC Mexico: Damian Pinas vs Wes Schultz – Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch - 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