{"id":650891,"date":"2026-02-16T13:03:38","date_gmt":"2026-02-16T12:03:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/?p=650891"},"modified":"2026-02-16T13:03:50","modified_gmt":"2026-02-16T12:03:50","slug":"alexander-bublik-vs-pablo-carreno-busta-prediction-odds-best-bets-atp-qatar-open-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/alexander-bublik-vs-pablo-carreno-busta-prediction-odds-best-bets-atp-qatar-open-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Alexander Bublik vs. Pablo Carreno Busta Prediction, Odds and Best Bets (ATP Qatar Open 2026, Round of 32, February 17)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>No. 3 seed Alexander Bublik is set to open his account at the 2026 Qatar ExxonMobil Open against former Olympic medalist Pablo Carreno Busta of Spain. This Round of 32 encounter will determine who enters the pre-quarterfinals to face either Arthur Fils or Kamil Majchrzak. The Kazakh powerhouse may be in top form this year, proving his quality over multiple tournaments. However, PCB has a significant advantage in this rivalry so far. Can the qualifier play his trump cards to pick up another victory over Bublik on Tuesday?<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The way Alexander Bublik completely turned his career around since may is fascinating.<br><br>He is 42-9 at all levels since losing in the 2nd round of Rome. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/A0DUlfxb2y\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/A0DUlfxb2y<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Jos&eacute; Morgado (@josemorgado) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/josemorgado\/status\/2014692129201668461?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>January 23, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>Holding an impeccable 11-3 record to kick off the 2026 campaign, Alexander Bublik has announced himself as a Top-10 mainstay. The 28-year-old captured his ninth career singles title in Hong Kong, before reaching a maiden Australian Open Round of 16 in Melbourne. The 6&rsquo;5&rdquo; Kazakh also made the semis in Rotterdam last week, where he was humbled by Auger-Aliassime. On the other hand, Pablo Carreno Busta earned a couple of solid straight set wins in qualifying to enter the Doha main draw. A two-time Grand Slam semifinalist and former World No. 10, the Spaniard is looking to improve on his 1-3 record this week.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Carreno-Busta beats Djokovic &#127934; | #Tokyo2020 Highlights\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/k4wMzathWm0?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>According to the tennis betting odds, Alexander Bublik (-335) is the favorite to win this encounter according to <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-betmgm-sportsbetting-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>BetMGM<\/a>. Meanwhile, Pablo Carreno Busta (+245) is a firm underdog as per BetMGM&rsquo;s pre-match odds. Here&rsquo;s how we are betting on this Round of 32 encounter at the ATP Qatar Open 2026 in Doha, including our best bets, supporting odds and a set-score prop for bigger prices.<\/p><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Tournament &amp; Round: <\/strong>ATP Qatar Open 2026, Round of 32<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Surface: <\/strong>Outdoor Hard Court<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Format: <\/strong>Men&rsquo;s Singles, Best of Three Sets<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Date &amp; Start Time: <\/strong>February 17,&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Court: <\/strong>Centre Court, Khalifa International Complex<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Best Bet: <\/strong>Total Games in Set-1 &lt;9.5 @ +107 as per <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-betmgm-sportsbetting-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>BetMGM<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Alexander Bublik vs Pablo Carreno Busta Betting Odds<\/h2><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Bublik For The Trophy! &#127942; | Hong Kong 2026 Final Highlights\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/72WSvjZQP3s?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>Given below are the latest odds for Alexander Bublik vs Pablo Carreno Busta from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Market<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-betmgm-sportsbetting-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>BetMGM<\/a><\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-FanDuel-sports-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>FanDuel<\/a><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Moneyline<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bublik (-335), Busta (+245)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bublik (-335), Busta (+265)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Game Handicap<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bublik -3.5 (-127), Busta +3.5 (-103)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bublik -3.5 (-132), Busta +3.5 (-102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Total Games<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">&gt;22.5 (+100), &lt;22.5 (-129)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">&gt;22.5 (-106), &lt;22.5 (-130)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Set Betting<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bublik 2-0 (-120)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bublik 2-0 (-120)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Alexander Bublik vs Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions &amp; Picks<\/h2><p><strong>Our Pick: <\/strong>Total Games in Set-1 Under 9.5 at +107 Odds<\/p><p>\n\n\n            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTable\" >\n                                                            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock\">\n                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock-item MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock-item--flex2\">\n                                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableLogo\" style=\"background-color: #000000\">\n                <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/mm-business-data\/images\/brands\/b6b0a2feb72c-500-BetMGM.jpg\" alt=\"BetMGM\">\n            <\/div>\n                                            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTitleAndRate\">\n                <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTitleAndRate-title\">\n                    <div 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14.1814V5.96833C0 4.68971 1.03528 3.6499 2.30834 3.6499H8.45414C9.7272 3.6499 10.7625 4.68971 10.7625 5.96833V14.1814C10.7625 15.4601 9.7272 16.4999 8.45414 16.4999ZM2.30834 4.38352C1.4389 4.38352 0.731644 5.09387 0.731644 5.96711V14.1802C0.731644 15.0535 1.4389 15.7638 2.30834 15.7638H8.45414C9.32358 15.7638 10.0308 15.0535 10.0308 14.1802V5.96833C10.0308 5.0951 9.32358 4.38475 8.45414 4.38475H2.30834V4.38352Z\" fill=\"#002699\"\/>\n                                <path d=\"M11.6905 13.3512C11.488 13.3512 11.3246 13.1871 11.3246 12.9838C11.3246 12.7805 11.488 12.6164 11.6905 12.6164C12.5599 12.6164 13.2672 11.906 13.2672 11.0328V2.81843C13.2672 1.94519 12.5599 1.23484 11.6905 1.23484H5.54466C4.67523 1.23484 3.96797 1.94519 3.96797 2.81843C3.96797 3.02174 3.80457 3.18585 3.60215 3.18585C3.39973 3.18585 3.23633 3.02174 3.23633 2.81843C3.23633 1.5398 4.2716 0.5 5.54466 0.5H11.6905C12.9635 0.5 13.9988 1.5398 13.9988 2.81843V11.0315C13.9988 12.3102 12.9635 13.35 11.6905 13.35V13.3512Z\" fill=\"#002699\"\/>\n                            <\/g>\n                        <\/svg>\n                                    <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                                                    <a rel=\"nofollow\"\n                        target=\"_blank\"\n                        href=\"\"\n                        class=\"MvpBookmakerTableCtaAndCode-top-cta\"\n                        data-cta-trk='{\"ctaBrand\":\"BetMGM\",\"ctaType\":\"Brand block\",\"ctaActivity\":\"sports\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>\n                        <span>Claim now<\/span>\n                        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/mvp\/assets\/img\/bookmaker_table\/right-arrow-white.svg\" alt=\"arrow\" class=\"--ltr\" \/>\n                    <\/a>\n                <\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n                                                                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTable-separator\"><\/div>\n            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTANDC\">\n                21+. AZ\/CO\/IL\/IN\/IA\/KS\/LA\/MD\/MA\/MI\/NJ\/OH\/PA\/TN\/ VA\/WV\/WY only. Offer not available in DC\/MS\/NV\/NY\/PR. New customers only. Qualifying deposit (min $10) and first real money wager required. If qualifying bet settles as a loss, user is refunded 100% in non-withdrawable bonus bets up to $1,500. Full T&Cs can be found on betmgm.com.            <\/div>\n                                                    <\/div>\n            \n\n\n\n<\/p><p>This is a match-up where we cannot go by the past encounters to place our bets. The last face-off between Bublik and Carreno Busta was back in 2022, when the Tokyo Olympics bronze medalist improved to 4-0 in the head-to-head. At the moment, he has slipped out of the Top-100 and Bublik is ranked No. 10 in the world. Regardless, both players tend to create a lot of chaos in the betting market due to their unpredictability. We are sensing a 6-2 or 6-3 opening set scoreline based on whoever wins the toss and gets the first break.<\/p><p>When it comes to hard court statistics this year, Bublik has already notched 137 aces so far. The live wire was defeated by eventual champion Rublev here in 2025, and will be determined to gain some ranking points and prove himself on the big stage. Meanwhile, Carreno Busta&rsquo;s only main draw success in 2026 came at the Open Occitanie. He has won 77% service games on hard courts this year, and also earned 35% efficiency in terms of break point conversions.<\/p><p>\n\n\n            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTable\" >\n                                                            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock\">\n                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock-item MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock-item--flex2\">\n                                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableLogo\" style=\"background-color: #1493ff\">\n                <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/mm-business-data\/images\/brands\/9b4dabf72537-500-FanDuel.jpeg\" alt=\"FanDuel\">\n            <\/div>\n                                            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTitleAndRate\">\n                <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTitleAndRate-title\">\n                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTitleAndRate-title-text\">\n                        FanDuel                    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First online real-money wager only; cashed-out or bonus-funded bets are excluded.            <\/div>\n                                                    <\/div>\n            \n\n\n\n<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Alexander Bublik Recent Form<\/h2><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>ABN Amro Rotterdam Open 2026: Semifinal<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Davis Cup 2026: 1-1<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Australian Open 2026: Round of 16<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Hong Kong Tennis Open 2026: Winner<\/li>\n<\/ul><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pablo Carreno Busta Recent Form<\/h2><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>ABN Amro Rotterdam Open 2026: Q1<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Open Occitanie 2026: Round of 16<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Australian Open 2026: Round of 128<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>ASB Classic 2026: Q1<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Brisbane International 2026: Round of 32<\/li>\n<\/ul><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Alexander Bublik vs Pablo Carreno Busta Head to Head Record<\/h2><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Pablo Carreno Busta Beats Alexander Bublik For Fourth Title | Chengdu 2019 Final Highlights\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/ff95P5BsrSM?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>Pablo Carreno Busta has an incredible 4-0 record against Alexander Bublik so far. Prior to their upcoming fixture in Doha, the rivalry has spanned between 2016-2022, with the more experienced campaigner earning four narrow victories across two surfaces. Take a look at their history:<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Event<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Round<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Winner<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Score<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2022 US Open<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Round of 64<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Carreno Busta<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4-6 6-4 6-3 7-6(5)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2022 Monte-Carlo<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Round of 32<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Carreno Busta<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4-6 7-6(3) 4-3 RET.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2019 Chengdu<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Final<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Carreno Busta<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6-7(5) 6-4 7-6(3)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2016 Moscow<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Quarterfinal&nbsp;<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Carreno Busta<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6-4 2-6 7-6(1)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How to Watch Alexander Bublik vs Pablo Carreno Busta at the ATP Qatar Open 2026?<\/h2><p>The ATP Qatar Open 2026 can be streamed live on various platforms and channels, depending on which part of the world you are watching from. This includes Tennis TV, Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, ESPN International, Setanta Sports and TSN.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Welcome to the show &#127916;&#8304;&#8304;Alexander Bublik: The Ringmaster &ndash; coming soon &#127871; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ta24lKJOw5\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/ta24lKJOw5<\/a><\/p>&mdash; ATP Tour (@atptour) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/atptour\/status\/2011783043992994306?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>January 15, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Date<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">February 17, 2026<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Time<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><br><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Tournament<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">ATP Qatar Open, Round of 32<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Surface<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Outdoor Hard Court<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Court<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Centre Court, Khalifa International Centre<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>TV\/Streaming<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Tennis TV, Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, ESPN International, Setanta Sports and TSN.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><p><em>(Image Credits: Susan Mullane, Imagn Images)<\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"mm-layout mm-layout-type-global mm-layout-slot4\">\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sascha is looking to back up his Hong Kong title with another triumph.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":650894,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"page-betting.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_mux_skip_reasons":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[4770,6290],"tags":[6669,4917,128,8859,11162,4936],"class_list":["post-650891","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tennis","category-tennis-predictions","tag-alexander-bublik","tag-atp","tag-betting","tag-pablo-carreno-busta","tag-qatar-open-2026","tag-tennis"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.8 - 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