{"id":650887,"date":"2026-02-16T12:40:03","date_gmt":"2026-02-16T11:40:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/?p=650887"},"modified":"2026-02-16T12:40:09","modified_gmt":"2026-02-16T11:40:09","slug":"memphis-grizzlies-playoff-chances","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/memphis-grizzlies-playoff-chances\/","title":{"rendered":"Memphis Grizzlies Playoff Chances: Odds, Remaining Schedule, and Prediction\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Memphis Grizzlies, seeded 11th in the Western Conference, are fighting hard to keep them alive in the NBA 2025-26 season. Having played 53 games, the Grizzlies own a dismal record of just 20 wins and a subpar winning percentage of .377. Now that the NBA<\/a> 2025-26 season is moving towards the playoffs, can the Grizzlies get themselves out of this slump and finish under top eight in the West? Let’s find out.  <\/p>

As stated, as of February 15, 2026, the Grizzlies have recorded just 20 wins, which has occupied them the 11th spot in the conference. They are trailing the tenth-seed LA Clippers by 5.5 games. Not only this, but they are a whopping 20.5 games behind the Oklahoma City Thunder, who have been dominating the conference for a second straight season with a staggering 42-14 record. <\/p>

Based on their current form, remaining schedule difficulty and advanced metrics, the Memphis Grizzlies have around 0.8% chance of making the NBA playoffs this season<\/a>. <\/p>

Here’s a complete breakdown of their playoff chances, including odds, remaining schedule, key stats, and a data driven prediction. <\/p>

Current Standings and Record <\/h2>

The Memphis Grizzlies have been to the playoffs six times in the last ten seasons. After recording a solid 48-34 season last year, they have endured a frustrating campaign, plagued by injuries, inconsistent play and a lack of star power consistently. All of these factors combined to leave the Grizzlies outside of the playoff contention in a tight Western Conference. <\/p>

As of now, the Grizzlies have been able to win only 20 games, which has put them in the 11th spot in the West. Apart from it, the difference between the Grizzlies and the sixth-seeded Timberwolves is significant. Memphis is trailing Minnesota by almost 12-13 games. <\/p>

Metric <\/td>Value <\/td><\/tr>
Record <\/td>20-33<\/td><\/tr>
Conference Rank <\/td>11th<\/td><\/tr>
Net Rating <\/td>-2.3<\/td><\/tr>
Strength of Schedule Remaining <\/td>.502<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>

Latest Playoff Odds <\/h2>

As of Monday, February 15, 2026 at 5:50 am ET<\/em>, the Memphis Grizzlies are listed at +7000<\/a> to make the playoffs as per FanDuel sportsbooks. This converts to an implied probability of around 1.41% to make the playoffs. Line movement has fallen drastically for the Memphis Grizzlies, due to their four-game losing streak. Apart from them, injuries and mounting losses have thoroughly affected their odds ever since the beginning of the season. <\/p>

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Remaining Schedule Difficulty <\/h2>

The Memphis Grizzlies have around 29 games left to play this NBA season. They are set to face a decent remaining schedule, in terms of difficulty levels. While it could be easier for their high-seeded foes, the Grizzlies’ injuries, inconsistency and woeful campaign since the beginning makes it difficult for them. Talking about the difficulty of their remaining schedule, the Memphis Grizzlies are placed 15th in the 30 teams with a remaining opponent win percentage around .502. <\/p>

Out of 29 games that the Grizzlies are yet to play, they will play 15 games at home, while remaining 14 of them are away games. Not only this, but some of these fixtures include crucial encounters including those against the Golden State Warriors, Philadelphia 76ers, Detroit Pistons, Denver Nuggets, Boston Celtics, among others. While there is a balance amongst their games, it features challenging road trips among strong teams.<\/p>

Moreover, these 29 games include seven back-to-back sets, against top seeds such as the Cleveland Cavaliers, Houston Rockets, Celtics, and others. These sets could exacerbate injury and fatigue issues. <\/p>

Needless to say the Grizzlies have a challenging remaining campaign, it is important for them to record wins, which are hard to come by. Overall, the Grizzlies have a demanding campaign, which requires them for a miraculous run, if they wish to book a play-in spot. <\/p>

Key Stats That Define Their Chances <\/h2>

The Memphis Grizzlies have a net rating of -2.3<\/a>, which has occupied them 21st spot in the league. They are seeded 23rd with an offensive rating of 113.3, and their defensive rating of 115.6 places them in the 19th spot, tied with the LA Clippers. <\/p>

In their last ten games, their net rating fell to -6.9, pushing them to the 25th spot. When we talk about their offensive rating, the Grizzlies’ offensive rating improved to 114.1, while the defensive rating fell to 121.0 in the 28th spot. <\/p>

Talking about their performance in the clutch, the Grizzlies have won 11 of their 32 games, for a winning percentage of 34.4%. <\/p>

Clearly, the Grizzlies’ performance and stats have seen a significant dip in the last ten games, exposing their vulnerabilities, and making their campaign more challenging. <\/p>

X-Factor Players <\/h2>

Ja Morant:<\/strong> Ja Morant has been the Grizzlies’ reliable scorer, who is dropping 19.5 points per game with 3.3 rebounds and 8.1 assists per game. Apart from his questioning off-court behaviour, Morant has proven himself as a dependable player, who is shooting 41.0% from the field and 23.5% from the three-point range. However, his insignificant on-off impact signifies that the Grizzlies aren’t too dependent on him. <\/p>

Ty Jerome: <\/strong>Having played only six games thus far for the Grizzlies, Jerome has been providing scoring bursts with an average of 19.7 points per game. However, health and consistency remains a key factor in his case. Not only this, but his on-off impact helps the team marginally and is not enough to overcome their wider issues. <\/p>

Zach Edey: <\/strong>Edey is dropping an average of 13.6 points per game, while grabbing 11.1 rebounds per game and dishing out 1.1 assists. Edey has played only 11 games thus far, but has had a decent on-off impact. <\/p>

Biggest Threats in the Standings Race <\/h2>

The biggest threats to the 11th-seeded Memphis Grizzlies don’t have direct competitors considering the difference between them and their foes is significant. However, teams like the Los Angeles Clippers, Golden State Warriors and the Portland Trail Blazers, who are seeded above them at a margin of 5-6 games, respectively. <\/p>

The Grizzlies need to push themselves in order to leapfrog their rivals, and any continued slide from them could push them beyond. They are already in a challenging spot, while their rivals have better odds to lock in spots. Memphis cannot afford to further lose, considering if it happens they would book themselves a spot into lottery territory. <\/p>

Prediction: Will Memphis Grizzlies Make the Playoffs? <\/h2>

With a sub-par record of 20 wins and 33 losses, and a net rating of -2.3, the Grizzlies don’t hold any chance to earn themselves a playoff spot. If they manage to win most of their games, the Grizzlies could book themselves a play-in berth. We expect them to finish with a 30-31 wins, only if things go well for them, and they manage to bounce back from their recent setbacks. However, only a miraculous run for the Grizzlies could help them book a playoff spot, given all their players are healthy, and deliver elite performances.<\/p>

Related NBA Betting Articles <\/h2>