{"id":649959,"date":"2026-02-06T13:33:55","date_gmt":"2026-02-06T12:33:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/?p=649959"},"modified":"2026-02-06T13:34:02","modified_gmt":"2026-02-06T12:34:02","slug":"ufc-vegas-113-muin-gafurov-vs-jakub-wiklacz-predictions-odds-best-bets-how-to-watch","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-vegas-113-muin-gafurov-vs-jakub-wiklacz-predictions-odds-best-bets-how-to-watch\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Vegas 113: Muin Gafurov vs Jakub Wiklacz \u2013 Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch"},"content":{"rendered":"

The UFC Vegas 113 prelims feature a bantamweight clash between Muin Gafurov and Jakub Wiklacz. This three round battle pits the Tajik wrestler against the Polish submission specialist in a grappling-heavy matchup at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada.<\/p>

Gafurov opens as a -145<\/a> favorite, with Wiklacz at +120<\/a> as the underdog. This bantamweight bout could position the winner for continued advancement in a deep division.<\/p>

Here’s how we’re betting UFC Vegas 113: Gafurov vs Wiklacz, including our UFC predictions,<\/a> best bet, key props and an expert final verdict.<\/p>

Mini Fight Info Strip<\/strong><\/h3>

Event:<\/strong> UFC Vegas 113 – UFC Apex<\/p>

Weight class:<\/strong> UFC Bantamweight bout<\/p>

Fight length:<\/strong> 3-round prelim bout<\/p>

Date & time:<\/strong> Saturday, February 7, 2026 – Prelims: 06:00 p.m. ET, walk time ~06:40 p.m. ET<\/p>

Venue:<\/strong> UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada<\/p>

Best Bet Card<\/strong><\/h3>

Best Bet:<\/strong> Fight Goes the Distance (-102)<\/p>

Book:<\/strong> Best price at FanDuel<\/a><\/p>

Our best bet for this bantamweight prelim bout is the fight goes the distance at -102<\/a>. Below, we’ll break down the matchup and key props.<\/p>

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Muin Gafurov vs Jakub Wiklacz Odds<\/strong><\/h2>

Here are the latest odds from top sportsbooks.<\/p>

Market<\/strong><\/td>BetMGM<\/strong><\/td>FanDuel<\/strong><\/td>Best Odds<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Moneyline<\/strong><\/td>Gafurov -145 \/ Wiklacz +120<\/td>-144 \/ +118<\/td>Wiklacz +120<\/a> (BetMGM)<\/td><\/tr>
Fight Goes Distance<\/strong><\/td>Yes -110 \/ No -125<\/td>-102 \/-126<\/td>Yes -102<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Total Rounds O\/U 2.5<\/strong><\/td>Over -135 \/ Under +100<\/td>-132 \/ +104<\/td>Under+104<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Gafurov by KO\/TKO<\/strong><\/td>+250<\/td>+300<\/td>+300<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Gafurov by Submission<\/strong><\/td>+1600<\/td>+1400<\/td>+1600<\/a> (BetMGM)<\/td><\/tr>
Gafurov by Decision<\/strong><\/td>+200<\/td>+210<\/td>+210 <\/a>(FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Wiklacz by KO\/TKO<\/strong><\/td>+1600<\/td>+2200<\/td>+2200 <\/a>(FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Wiklacz by Submission<\/strong><\/td>+325<\/td>+290<\/td>+325<\/a> (BetMGM)<\/td><\/tr>
Wiklacz by Decision<\/strong><\/td>+300<\/td>+390<\/td>+390<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>

Odds updated:<\/strong> February 6, 2026 – 4:50 AM ET. Lines may move before fight night, especially after weigh-ins or late injury news.<\/p>

Tale of the Tape – Key Stats to Know<\/strong><\/h2>

Before we get into the matchup, here’s a Tale of the Tape for Gafurov vs Wiklacz.<\/p>

Tale Of The Tape<\/strong><\/td>Muin Gafurov<\/strong><\/td>Jakub Wiklacz<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Record<\/strong><\/td>20-6<\/td>17-3-2<\/td><\/tr>
Age<\/strong><\/td>29<\/td>29<\/td><\/tr>
Height<\/strong><\/td>5’7″<\/td>5’10”<\/td><\/tr>
Reach<\/strong><\/td>68″<\/td>72″<\/td><\/tr>
Stance<\/strong><\/td>Orthodox<\/td>Orthodox<\/td><\/tr>
Sig. Strikes Landed<\/strong><\/td>2.89<\/td>3.07<\/td><\/tr>
Striking Accuracy<\/strong><\/td>45%<\/td>55%<\/td><\/tr>
Takedowns<\/strong><\/td>1.47<\/td>0.00<\/td><\/tr>
Takedown Defense<\/strong><\/td>70%<\/td>28%<\/td><\/tr>
Submission Avg.<\/strong><\/td>0.0<\/td>3.0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>

Wiklacz holds advantages in height, reach, striking volume, striking accuracy, and elite submission threat. Gafurov counters with superior striking defense, damage avoidance, takedown volume, and significantly better takedown defense.<\/p>

Fighter Breakdown – Muin Gafurov Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>

Gafurov comes in with a 20-6 record bringing wrestling-based approach to the bantamweight division. The 29 year old Tajik fighter is a control-oriented grappler with solid defensive metrics.<\/p>

Strengths:<\/strong> Superior striking defense (52%). Outstanding damage avoidance. Better takedown volume (1.47 per fight). Significantly superior takedown defense (70%). Wrestling-based control approach. Experience against varied competition.<\/p>

Weaknesses:<\/strong> Low striking volume (2.89). Poor striking accuracy (45%). Terrible takedown accuracy (26%). Zero submission threat. Significant height (3 inch) and reach (4 inch) disadvantages. Limited finishing ability.<\/p>

Betting Angles:<\/strong> Gafurov’s -145<\/a> moneyline offers minimal value despite wrestling advantages. Gafurov by Decision (+210<\/a>) requires banking control time. Fight goes distance ( -110) aligns with both fighters’ recent history.<\/p>

Fighter Breakdown – Jakub Wiklacz Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>

Wiklacz brings a 17-3-2 record with elite submission skills and superior physical attributes. The 29 year old Polish fighter is a dangerous grappler with exceptional finishing ability.<\/p>

Strengths:<\/strong> Massive height (5’10”) and reach (72″) advantages. Superior striking volume (3.07 per minute). Better striking accuracy (55%). Elite submission threat (3.0 attempts per fight). Physical advantages at bantamweight. Finishing ability.<\/p>

Weaknesses:<\/strong> Terrible takedown defense (28%). Zero wrestling offense. No takedown accuracy (0%). Poor striking defense (36%). Higher damage absorption (2.47 per minute). <\/p>

Betting Angles:<\/strong> Wiklacz’s +120<\/a> moneyline offers value based on submission threat. Wiklacz by Submission (+290<\/a>) provides solid value given elite attempts.<\/p>

Best Bets For Muin Gafurov vs Jakub Wiklacz<\/strong><\/h2>

Best Bet: Fight Goes the Distance (-102<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

Both fighters’ contrasting styles and defensive capabilities suggest this reaches the judges despite Wiklacz’s submission threat. Gafurov’s superior takedown defense (70%) and exceptional damage avoidance keep him safe from Wiklacz’s primary finishing weapons. While Wiklacz threatens 3.0 submissions per fight, Gafurov’s wrestling-based approach and defensive awareness minimize submission danger.<\/p>

From the striking perspective, both fighters possess limited knockout power. At -102<\/a> (implied 51.4%), we project this goes the distance around 60-65% of the time, offering solid value. The near pick’em odds on the distance prop reflect uncertainty, but the defensive metrics and fighting styles favor survival.<\/p>

Value Prop: Wiklacz by Decision (+390<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

Wiklacz’s superior physical attributes and striking accuracy create a path to decision victory if he can neutralize Gafurov’s wrestling. The Polish fighter’s massive height and reach advantages allow him to control distance and land cleaner strikes from range, banking rounds with effective striking.<\/p>

Judges favor effective striking and octagon control. Wiklacz’s physical advantages allow him to implement both. At +390<\/a> (implied 20.4%), this offers excellent payout if Wiklacz’s physical advantages overcome Gafurov’s wrestling. This represents the underdog path to victory that creates value.<\/p>

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Longshot Flier: Wiklacz by Submission (+300<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

Small stake only. Wiklacz’s elite 3.0 submission attempts per fight create legitimate finishing opportunities against any opponent. If Gafurov’s poor takedown accuracy (26%) leads to failed attempts where Wiklacz reverses position or Gafurov gets stuck in disadvantageous positions, the Polish fighter’s submission skills become immediately dangerous.<\/p>

The stylistic clash creates potential for scrambles. Even one successful submission attempt could end the fight. At +300<\/a> (implied 25%), this offers solid payout for Wiklacz’s most dangerous weapon. However, Gafurov’s defensive awareness suggests he manages risks well. Keep stakes at 0.25 units maximum.<\/p>

Prediction – Final Verdict<\/strong><\/h2>

Official pick:<\/strong> Jakub Wiklacz by Unanimous Decision<\/p>

We are backing Wiklacz to secure a unanimous decision victory, likely 29-28 on the scorecards. The Polish fighter’s superior physical attributes and striking accuracy should overcome Gafurov’s wrestling advantages over three rounds.<\/p>

Wiklacz should establish range control immediately with his massive height and reach advantages. Hi’s superior striking accuracy and slightly better volume should accumulate points early. Gafurov will attempt to implement his wrestling gameplan, shooting takedowns to neutralize Wiklacz’s striking advantages and bank control time. However, his poor 26% takedown accuracy means most attempts fail, and even successful takedowns against Wiklacz’s terrible 28% defense don’t guarantee sustained control. <\/p>

Gafurov may steal a round with successful wrestling control, particularly if he can implement his gameplan early. However, Wiklacz’s superior striking and physical advantages should win the majority of rounds. We see the decision being competitive but clear.<\/p>

How to Bet UFC Vegas 113: Tips for This Card<\/strong><\/h2>

Beyond the bantamweight prelim bout, UFC Vegas 113 offers several compelling matchups that create both opportunities and traps for bettors.<\/p>

Card Tips:<\/strong><\/h3>
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  • Wiklacz’s 3-inch height and 4-inch reach create significant striking advantages when skills are comparable. Size matters at lower weight classes.
    <\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Volume wins decisions. Ketlen Souza’s 4.56 strikes per minute vs Bruna Brasil’s 2.66 creates massive activity differential. UFC Apex judges favor aggression and output without crowd influence.
    <\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Mario Bautista’s volume approach becomes more effective over 25 minutes. Championship rounds favor high-output fighters.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>

    UFC Vegas 113 Fight Card<\/strong><\/h2>

    Main Card (09:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)<\/strong><\/p>

    Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira – Bantamweight bout, 5 rounds<\/p>

    Amir Albazi vs Kyoji Horiguchi – Flyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Jailton Almeida vs Rizvan Kuniev – Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Marc-Andre Barriault – Middleweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Jean Matsumoto vs Farid Basharat – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Dustin Jacoby vs Julius Walker – Light Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Prelims (6:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)<\/strong><\/p>

    Alex Morono vs Daniil Donchenko – Welterweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Nikolay Veretennikov vs Niko Price – Welterweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Bruna Brasil vs Ketlen Souza – Women’s Strawweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Said Nurmagomedov vs Javid Basharat – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Wang Cong vs Eduarda Moura – Women’s Flyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Muin Gafurov vs Jakub Wiklacz – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Klaudia Sygula vs Priscila Cachoeira – Women’s Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Odds current as of February 6, 2026.<\/em><\/p>

    (Image Credit: Gary A. Vasquez – Imagn Images)<\/strong><\/p>\n

    \n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    The UFC Vegas 113 prelims feature a bantamweight clash between Muin Gafurov and Jakub Wiklacz. This three round battle pits the Tajik wrestler against the Polish submission specialist in a grappling-heavy matchup at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. Gafurov opens as a -145 favorite, with Wiklacz at +120 as the underdog. This bantamweight […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":649980,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"page-betting.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_mux_skip_reasons":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[1783,4513],"tags":[10072,11151,11145],"class_list":["post-649959","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mma","category-ufc-predictions","tag-jakub-wiklacz","tag-muin-gafurov","tag-ufc-vegas-113"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nUFC Vegas 113: Muin Gafurov vs Jakub Wiklacz – Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch - The Playoffs<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Our UFC Vegas 113 Muin Gafurov vs Jakub Wiklacz prediction breaks down the latest odds, props and expert verdict.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-vegas-113-muin-gafurov-vs-jakub-wiklacz-predictions-odds-best-bets-how-to-watch\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"UFC Vegas 113: Muin Gafurov vs Jakub Wiklacz – Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch - 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