{"id":649914,"date":"2026-02-06T06:44:26","date_gmt":"2026-02-06T05:44:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/?p=649914"},"modified":"2026-02-06T06:44:32","modified_gmt":"2026-02-06T05:44:32","slug":"ufc-vegas-113-alex-morono-vs-daniil-donchenko-predictions-odds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-vegas-113-alex-morono-vs-daniil-donchenko-predictions-odds\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Vegas 113: Alex Morono vs Daniil Donchenko \u2013 Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch"},"content":{"rendered":"

The prelims of UFC Vegas 113 feature a welterweight clash between Alex Morono and Daniil Donchenko. This three round battle pits the veteran American against the rising Ukrainian finisher at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada.<\/p>

Donchenko opens as a massive -750<\/a> favorite, with Morono at +525<\/a> as the underdog. Here’s how we’re betting UFC Vegas 113: Morono vs Donchenko, including our UFC predictions<\/a>, best bet, key props and an expert final verdict.<\/p>

Mini Fight Info Strip<\/strong><\/h3>

Event:<\/strong> UFC Vegas 113 – UFC Apex<\/p>

Weight class:<\/strong> UFC Welterweight bout<\/p>

Fight length:<\/strong> 3-round prelim bout<\/p>

Date & time:<\/strong> Saturday, February 7, 2026 – Prelims: 06:00 p.m. ET, walk time ~08:30 p.m. ET<\/p>

Venue:<\/strong> UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada<\/p>

Best Bet Card<\/strong><\/h3>

Best Bet:<\/strong> Fight Under 1.5 Rounds (-130)<\/p>

Book:<\/strong> Best price at FanDuel<\/a><\/p>

Our best bet for this welterweight prelim bout is the fight to end under 1.5 rounds at -130<\/a>. Below, we’ll break down the matchup and key props.<\/p>

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Alex Morono vs Daniil Donchenko Odds<\/strong><\/h2>

Here are the latest odds from top sportsbooks.<\/p>

Market<\/strong><\/td>BetMGM<\/strong><\/td>FanDuel<\/strong><\/td>Best Odds<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Moneyline<\/td>Morono +525 \/ Donchenko -750<\/td>+490 \/ -750<\/td>Morono +525 <\/a>(BetMGM)<\/td><\/tr>
Fight Goes Distance<\/td>Yes +300 \/ No -475<\/td>+300 \/ -450<\/td>Yes +300<\/a> (BetMGM\/FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Total Rounds O\/U 1.5<\/td>Over +105 \/ Under -140<\/td>Over +104 \/ Under -130<\/td>Over +105<\/a> (BetMGM) <\/td><\/tr>
Donchenko by KO\/TKO<\/td>-235<\/td>-170<\/td>-170<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Donchenko by Submission<\/td>+700<\/td>+700<\/td>+700<\/a> (BetMGM\/FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Donchenko by Decision<\/td>+450<\/td>+460<\/td>+460<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Morono by KO\/TKO<\/td>+1000<\/td>+1200<\/td>+1200 <\/a>(FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Morono by Submission<\/td>+1800<\/td>+2000<\/td>+2000 <\/a>(FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Morono by Decision<\/td>+1100<\/td>+1100<\/td>+1100<\/a> (BetMGM\/FD)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>

Odds updated:<\/strong> February 6, 2026 – 12:05 AM ET. Lines may move before fight night, especially after weigh-ins or late injury news.<\/p>

Tale of the Tape – Key Stats to Know<\/strong><\/h2>

Before we get into the matchup, here’s a Tale of the Tape for Morono vs Donchenko.<\/p>

Tale Of The Tape<\/strong><\/td>Alex Morono<\/strong><\/td>Daniil Donchenko<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Record<\/td>24-12 (1 NC)<\/td>13-2<\/td><\/tr>
Age<\/td>35<\/td>24<\/td><\/tr>
Height<\/td>5’11”<\/td>5’11”<\/td><\/tr>
Reach<\/td>72″<\/td>71″<\/td><\/tr>
Stance<\/td>Orthodox<\/td>Orthodox<\/td><\/tr>
Sig. Strikes Landed<\/td>5.03<\/td>8.76<\/td><\/tr>
Striking Accuracy<\/td>40%<\/td>57%<\/td><\/tr>
Takedowns<\/td>0.33<\/td>3.37<\/td><\/tr>
Takedown Defense<\/td>47%<\/td>75%<\/td><\/tr>
Submission Avg.<\/td>0.3<\/td>0.0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>

Donchenko holds advantages in youth, striking volume, striking accuracy, striking defense, damage avoidance, takedown volume, and takedown defense. Morono counters with superior reach and experience.<\/p>

Fighter Breakdown – Alex Morono Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>

Morono comes in with a 24-12 (1 NC) record bringing veteran experience to the welterweight division. The 35 year old American is a technical striker with solid fundamentals but lacks elite physical tools.<\/p>

Strengths:<\/strong> Extensive UFC experience (24-12 record). Superior reach advantage. Decent striking volume (5.03 per minute). Moderate striking defense (56%). Veteran composure and octagon IQ. Durability over 37 professional fights.<\/p>

Weaknesses:<\/strong> Massive age disadvantage at 35 years old. Poor striking accuracy (40%). Higher damage absorption (4.78 per minute). Terrible takedown defense (47%). Minimal wrestling offense (0.33 takedowns). Low takedown accuracy (24%). Limited submission threat (0.3 attempts). Physical decline against younger competition.<\/p>

Betting Angles:<\/strong> Morono’s +525<\/a> moneyline offers pure lottery ticket value only. Morono by Decision (+1100<\/a>) requires surviving Donchenko’s finishing power. <\/p>

Fighter Breakdown – Daniil Donchenko Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>

Donchenko brings a 13-2 record with elite striking metrics and devastating finishing ability. The 24 year old Ukrainian is a rising prospect with exceptional offensive output and defensive awareness.<\/p>

Strengths:<\/strong> Massive youth advantage at 24 years old. Elite striking volume (8.76 per minute). Exceptional striking accuracy (57%) and striking defense (72%). Superior damage avoidance (2.25 absorbed per minute). Elite takedown volume (3.37 per fight). Better takedown defense (75%).<\/p>

Weaknesses:<\/strong> Limited UFC experience. Minimal reach disadvantage. Zero submission threat (0.0 attempts). Moderate takedown accuracy (33%). Unproven against veteran UFC competition.<\/p>

Betting Angles:<\/strong> Donchenko’s -750<\/a> moneyline offers minimal value despite overwhelming advantages. Donchenko by KO\/TKO (-170<\/a>) provides best value as most likely finish. <\/p>

Best Bets For Alex Morono vs Daniil Donchenko<\/strong><\/h2>

Best Bet: Fight Under 1.5 Rounds (-130<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

This welterweight clash features a catastrophic mismatch that virtually guarantees an early finish. Donchenko’s elite offensive output combined with exceptional 57% accuracy overwhelms Morono’s poor defensive capabilities. The Ukrainian’s devastating volume paired with Morono’s terrible 47% takedown defense and higher damage absorption creates immediate finishing opportunities.<\/p>

The age differential, 35 vs 24, exacerbates the physical mismatch. At -130<\/a> (implied 56.3%), we project this ends under 1.5 rounds closer to 60-65% of the time, offering solid value in the most likely scenario. <\/p>

Value Prop: Donchenko by KO\/TKO (-170<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

Donchenko’s elite striking metrics against Morono’s defensive vulnerabilities create the clearest path to a knockout victory. The Ukrainian’s 8.76 strikes per minute at 57% accuracy means he lands approximately 5 clean, significant strikes per minute. This is a devastating rate that accumulates damage rapidly against Morono’s poor 56% striking defense.<\/p>

At -170 <\/a>(implied 63.0%), we project Donchenko wins by KO\/TKO around 60-65% of the time, offering moderate value as the overwhelmingly most likely result. <\/p>

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Longshot Flier: Morono by Decision (+1100<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

Small stake only. The only path for Morono requires somehow surviving Donchenko’s early onslaught and grinding out a decision with veteran savvy and experience. If Morono can weather the storm using his reach advantage and technical fundamentals, his 37 professional fights provide survival instincts that inexperienced prospects sometimes struggle to break.<\/p>

This scenario requires nearly everything going right for Morono. At +1100<\/a> (implied 8.3%), this offers massive payout if Morono’s experience produces an upset survival performance. This is purely a lottery ticket on the veteran’s durability and Donchenko’s inexperience. Keep stakes at 0.25 units maximum.<\/p>

Prediction – Final Verdict<\/strong><\/h2>

Official pick:<\/strong> Daniil Donchenko by KO\/TKO<\/p>

We are backing Donchenko to secure a knockout victory in this welterweight mismatch. The Ukrainian’s overwhelming physical advantages, elite striking metrics, and youth should prove insurmountable for the aging veteran.<\/p>

Donchenko should establish his dominance immediately with relentless striking volume, landing clean shots at will against Morono’s poor defensive metrics. The veteran’s limited offensive tools and poor accuracy mean he struggles to mount meaningful counters, while Donchenko’s exceptional 72% striking defense keeps him safe from Morono’s desperate attempts.<\/p>

As the fight progresses, Donchenko’s accumulating damage should break down Morono’s defenses, eventually creating finishing opportunities. Donchenko should capitalizes with power shots that produce the stoppage.This knockout victory should continue Donchenko’s rise in the welterweight division, establishing him as a legitimate prospect against UFC-level competition.<\/p>

How to Bet UFC Vegas 113: Tips for This Card<\/strong><\/h2>

Beyond the welterweight prelim bout, UFC Vegas 113 offers several compelling matchups that create both opportunities and traps for bettors.<\/p>

Card Tips:<\/strong><\/h3>
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  • Volume overwhelms poor defense. Donchenko’s 8.76 strikes per minute against Morono’s 56% defense creates sustained damage. Elite volume breaks down aging veterans quickly.
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  • Submission specialists in heavyweight are rare. Jailton Almeida’s 2.0 submission attempts per fight makes him an outlier in the division. This specialization creates value in finish markets.
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  • Mario Bautista’s volume approach becomes more effective over 25 minutes. Championship rounds favor high-output fighters.
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    UFC Vegas 113 Fight Card<\/strong><\/h2>

    Main Card (09:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)<\/strong><\/p>

    Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira – Bantamweight bout, 5 rounds<\/p>

    Amir Albazi vs Kyoji Horiguchi – Flyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Jailton Almeida vs Rizvan Kuniev – Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Marc-Andre Barriault – Middleweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Jean Matsumoto vs Farid Basharat – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Dustin Jacoby vs Julius Walker – Light Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Prelims (6:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)<\/strong><\/p>

    Alex Morono vs Daniil Donchenko – Welterweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Bruna Brasil vs Ketlen Souza – Women’s Strawweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Said Nurmagomedov vs Javid Basharat – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Wang Cong vs Eduarda Moura – Women’s Flyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Muin Gafurov vs Jakub Wiklacz – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Klaudia Sygula vs Priscila Cachoeira – Women’s Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Odds current as of February 6, 2026.<\/em><\/p>

    (Image Credit: Joe Camporeale – Imagn Images)<\/strong><\/p>\n

    \n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    The prelims of UFC Vegas 113 feature a welterweight clash between Alex Morono and Daniil Donchenko. This three round battle pits the veteran American against the rising Ukrainian finisher at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. Donchenko opens as a massive -750 favorite, with Morono at +525 as the underdog. Here’s how we’re betting […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":649939,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"page-betting.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_mux_skip_reasons":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[1783,4513],"tags":[11148,11149,11145],"class_list":["post-649914","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mma","category-ufc-predictions","tag-alex-morono","tag-daniil-donchenko","tag-ufc-vegas-113"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nUFC Vegas 113: Alex Morono vs Daniil Donchenko – Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch - The Playoffs<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Our UFC Vegas 113 Alex Morono vs Daniil Donchenko prediction breaks down the latest odds, props and expert verdict.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-vegas-113-alex-morono-vs-daniil-donchenko-predictions-odds\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"UFC Vegas 113: Alex Morono vs Daniil Donchenko – Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch - 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