{"id":649867,"date":"2026-02-05T12:11:41","date_gmt":"2026-02-05T11:11:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/?p=649867"},"modified":"2026-02-05T12:11:47","modified_gmt":"2026-02-05T11:11:47","slug":"ufc-vegas-113-michal-oleksiejczuk-vs-marc-andre-barriault-predictions-odds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-vegas-113-michal-oleksiejczuk-vs-marc-andre-barriault-predictions-odds\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Vegas 113: Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Marc-Andre Barriault \u2013 Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch"},"content":{"rendered":"

UFC Vegas 113’s main card features a middleweight clash between Michal Oleksiejczuk and Marc-Andre Barriault. This three round battle pits the Polish power striker against the Canadian brawler in an action-packed matchup at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada.<\/p>

Oleksiejczuk opens as a massive -500<\/a> favorite, with Barriault at +360<\/a> as the underdog. This middleweight bout promises fireworks with both fighters known for aggressive striking and finishing ability.<\/p>

Here’s how we’re betting UFC Vegas 113: Oleksiejczuk vs Barriault, including our UFC predictions<\/a>, best bet, key props and an expert final verdict.<\/p>

Mini Fight Info Strip<\/strong><\/h3>

Event:<\/strong> UFC Vegas 113 – UFC Apex<\/p>

Weight class:<\/strong> UFC Middleweight bout<\/p>

Fight length:<\/strong> 3-round main card bout<\/p>

Date & time:<\/strong> Saturday, February 7, 2026 – Main card: 09:00 p.m. ET, walk time ~10:00: p.m. ET<\/p>

Venue:<\/strong> UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada<\/p>

Best Bet Card<\/strong><\/h3>

Best Bet:<\/strong> Fight Under 1.5 Rounds (-168)<\/p>

Book:<\/strong> Best price at FanDuel<\/a><\/p>

Our best bet for this middleweight main card bout is the fight to end under 1.5 rounds at -180<\/a>. Below, we’ll break down the matchup and key props.<\/p>

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Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Marc-Andre Barriault Odds<\/strong><\/h2>

Here are the latest odds from top sportsbooks.<\/p>

Market<\/strong><\/td>BetMGM<\/strong><\/td>FanDuel<\/strong><\/td>Best Odds<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Moneyline<\/td>Oleksiejczuk -500 \/ Barriault +360<\/td>-430 \/ +300<\/td>Barriault +360 <\/a>(BetMGM)<\/td><\/tr>
Fight Goes Distance<\/td>Yes +325 \/ No -525<\/td>+320 \/ -460<\/td>Yes +325<\/a> (BetMGM)<\/td><\/tr>
Total Rounds O\/U 1.5<\/td>Over +135 \/ Under -180<\/td>Over +132 \/ Under -168<\/td>Over +135<\/a> (BetMGM)<\/td><\/tr>
Oleksiejczuk by KO\/TKO<\/td>-210<\/td>-175<\/td>-175<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Oleksiejczuk by Submission<\/td>+1400<\/td>+2000<\/td>+2000<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Oleksiejczuk by Decision<\/td>+550<\/td>+500<\/td>+550<\/a> (BetMGM)<\/td><\/tr>
Barriault by KO\/TKO<\/td>+550<\/td>+600<\/td>+600<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Barriault by Submission<\/td>+1000<\/td>+1300<\/td>+1300<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Barriault by Decision<\/td>+1000<\/td>+1100<\/td>+1100<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>

Odds updated:<\/strong> February 5, 2026 – 04:20 AM ET. Lines may move before fight night, especially after weigh-ins or late injury news.<\/p>

Tale of the Tape – Key Stats to Know<\/strong><\/h2>

Before we get into the matchup, here’s a Tale of the Tape for Oleksiejczuk vs Barriault.<\/p>

Tale Of The Tape<\/strong><\/td>Michal Oleksiejczuk<\/strong><\/td>Marc-Andre Barriault<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Record<\/td>21-9 (1 NC)<\/td>17-10 (1 NC)<\/td><\/tr>
Age<\/td>30<\/td>36<\/td><\/tr>
Height<\/td>6’0″<\/td>6’1″<\/td><\/tr>
Reach<\/td>74″<\/td>74″<\/td><\/tr>
Stance<\/td>Southpaw<\/td>Orthodox<\/td><\/tr>
Sig. Strikes Landed<\/td>5.34<\/td>5.70<\/td><\/tr>
Striking Accuracy<\/td>51%<\/td>47%<\/td><\/tr>
Takedowns<\/td>1.02<\/td>0.37<\/td><\/tr>
Takedown Defense<\/td>52%<\/td>68%<\/td><\/tr>
Submission Avg.<\/td>0.0<\/td>0.1<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>

Oleksiejczuk holds advantages in youth, striking accuracy, striking defense, and takedown volume. Barriault counters with superior height, striking volume, better takedown defense, and minimal submission threat advantage. The southpaw vs orthodox matchup creates dangerous power angles for both fighters.<\/p>

Fighter Breakdown – Michal Oleksiejczuk Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>

Oleksiejczuk comes in with a 21-9 (1 NC) record bringing explosive power striking to the middleweight division. The 30 year old Polish fighter is a dangerous finisher with a southpaw stance creating knockout angles.<\/p>

Strengths:<\/strong> Elite striking volume (5.34 per minute) with knockout power. Superior striking accuracy (51%). Better striking defense (59%). Southpaw stance creates awkward angles. Moderate wrestling threat (1.02 takedowns). Finishing instincts and aggression.<\/p>

Weaknesses:<\/strong> High damage absorption (4.41 per minute). Poor takedown defense (52%). Moderate takedown accuracy (43%). Zero submission threat. Defensive vulnerabilities against power strikers. Inconsistent against elite competition.<\/p>

Betting Angles:<\/strong> Oleksiejczuk’s -500 <\/a>moneyline offers minimal value. Oleksiejczuk by KO\/TKO (-175<\/a>) provides best value given finishing ability and Barriault’s poor defense. Fight Under 1.5 Rounds (-168<\/a>) aligns with both fighters’ aggressive styles and finishing rates.<\/p>

Fighter Breakdown – Marc-Andre Barriault Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>

Barriault brings a 17-10 (1 NC) record with brawling mentality and volume striking. The 36 year old Canadian is an aggressive fighter who trades power for defensive responsibility.<\/p>

Strengths:<\/strong> Highest striking volume. Height advantage (6’1″). Superior takedown defense (68%). Knockout power in orthodox stance. Aggressive mentality. Experience against quality competition.<\/p>

Weaknesses:<\/strong> Poor striking defense (50%). Highest damage absorption. Lower striking accuracy (47%). Minimal wrestling offense (0.37 takedowns). Poor takedown accuracy (28%). Age factor at 36 years old. Defensive vulnerabilities create finish opportunities.<\/p>

Betting Angles:<\/strong> Barriault’s +360<\/a> moneyline offers value only as a pure knockout lottery ticket. Barriault by KO\/TKO (+600<\/a>) provides longshot value given his power and volume. <\/p>

Best Bets For Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Marc-Andre Barriault<\/strong><\/h2>

Best Bet: Fight Under 1.5 Rounds (-180<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

This middleweight clash features two aggressive strikers with poor defensive metrics, virtually guaranteeing an early finish. Barriault’s catastrophic 50% striking defense and massive 5.63 strikes absorbed per minute make him extraordinarily vulnerable to Oleksiejczuk’s power. The Canadian’s aggressive, brawling style means he willingly trades in the pocket rather than using movement or defense.<\/p>

Oleksiejczuk’s southpaw power and superior striking accuracy create immediate knockout opportunities against Barriault’s porous defense. At -180<\/a> (implied 64.3%), we project this ends under 1.5 rounds closer to 70-75% of the time. <\/p>

Value Prop: Oleksiejczuk by KO\/TKO (-175<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

Oleksiejczuk’s power striking against Barriault’s defensive vulnerabilities creates the clearest path to victory. The Polish southpaw’s knockout ability combined with superior accuracy and better defense suggests he lands the decisive blow first in this firefight.<\/p>

Barriault’s aggressive style plays directly into Oleksiejczuk’s strengths. The Canadian pressures forward and trades rather than using movement, creating stationary targets for power shots. At -175<\/a> (implied 63.6%), we project Oleksiejczuk wins by KO\/TKO around 65-70% of the time, offering solid value as the overwhelmingly most likely result. <\/p>

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Longshot Flier: Barriault by KO\/TKO (+600<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

Small stake only. While Oleksiejczuk is the clear favorite, Barriault’s volume striking and knockout power create puncher’s chance opportunities. If Barriault’s aggression and forward pressure force Oleksiejczuk into defensive mode, the Canadian’s volume could accumulate damage quickly against Oleksiejczuk’s poor 52% takedown defense.<\/p>

At +600<\/a> (implied 14.3%), this offers excellent payout if the aggressive exchange favors Barriault’s volume over Oleksiejczuk’s accuracy. Keep stakes at 0.25 units maximum given the low probability and clear skill differential.<\/p>

Prediction – Final Verdict<\/strong><\/h2>

Official pick:<\/strong> Michal Oleksiejczuk by KO\/TKO<\/p>

We are backing Oleksiejczuk to secure a devastating knockout victory. The Polish southpaw’s power striking and superior defensive metrics should prove decisive against Barriault’s catastrophic defensive vulnerabilities.<\/p>

We see the fight opening with both fighters exchanging aggressively. However, Oleksiejczuk’s superior striking accuracy and defensive awareness should allow him to land cleaner, heavier shots. Barriault should press forward with his characteristic volume but the poor 50% striking defense leaves massive openings.<\/p>

Oleksiejczuk will likely capitalizes on these defensive lapses with southpaw power shots, likely landing a devastating power shot within the first 2 rounds. Barriault’s aggressive, brawling mentality means he continues pressing forward even as damage accumulates, eventually walking into the finish.<\/p>

How to Bet UFC Vegas 113: Tips for This Card<\/strong><\/h2>

Beyond the middleweight main card bout, UFC Vegas 113 offers several compelling matchups that create both opportunities and traps for bettors.<\/p>

Card Tips:<\/strong><\/p>

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  • Mario Bautista’s volume approach becomes more effective over 25 minutes. Championship rounds favor high-output fighters.<\/strong>.
    <\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Submission specialists in heavyweight are rare. Jailton Almeida’s 2.0 submission attempts per fight makes him an outlier in the division. This specialization creates value in finish markets.
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  • Barriault’s 5.70 volume vs Oleksiejczuk’s 51% accuracy creates classic striker matchup. Accuracy typically wins against poor defense.
    <\/li>\n<\/ul>

    UFC Vegas 113 Fight Card<\/strong><\/h2>

    Main Card (09:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)<\/strong><\/p>

    Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira – Bantamweight bout, 5 rounds<\/p>

    Amir Albazi vs Kyoji Horiguchi – Flyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Jailton Almeida vs Rizvan Kuniev – Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Marc-Andre Barriault – Middleweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Jean Matsumoto vs Farid Basharat – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Dustin Jacoby vs Julius Walker – Light Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Prelims (6:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)<\/strong><\/p>

    Alex Morono vs Daniil Donchenko – Welterweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Bruna Brasil vs Ketlen Souza – Women’s Strawweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Said Nurmagomedov vs Javid Basharat – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Wang Cong vs Eduarda Moura – Women’s Flyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Muin Gafurov vs Jakub Wiklacz – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Klaudia Sygula vs Priscila Cachoeira – Women’s Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Odds current as of February 5, 2026.<\/em><\/p>

    (Image Credit: Kamil Krzaczynski – Imagn Images)<\/strong><\/p>\n

    \n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    UFC Vegas 113’s main card features a middleweight clash between Michal Oleksiejczuk and Marc-Andre Barriault. This three round battle pits the Polish power striker against the Canadian brawler in an action-packed matchup at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. Oleksiejczuk opens as a massive -500 favorite, with Barriault at +360 as the underdog. This […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":649874,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"page-betting.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_mux_skip_reasons":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[1783,4513],"tags":[8756,9224,11145],"class_list":["post-649867","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mma","category-ufc-predictions","tag-marc-andre-barriault","tag-michal-oleksiejczuk-2","tag-ufc-vegas-113"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nUFC Vegas 113: Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Marc-Andre Barriault – Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch - The Playoffs<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Our UFC Vegas 113 Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Marc-Andre Barriault prediction breaks down the latest odds, props and expert verdict.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-vegas-113-michal-oleksiejczuk-vs-marc-andre-barriault-predictions-odds\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"UFC Vegas 113: Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Marc-Andre Barriault – Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch - 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