{"id":649851,"date":"2026-02-05T09:52:04","date_gmt":"2026-02-05T08:52:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/?p=649851"},"modified":"2026-02-05T09:52:09","modified_gmt":"2026-02-05T08:52:09","slug":"ufc-vegas-113-jailton-almeida-vs-rizvan-kuniev-predictions-odds-best-bets-how-to-watch","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-vegas-113-jailton-almeida-vs-rizvan-kuniev-predictions-odds-best-bets-how-to-watch\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Vegas 113: Jailton Almeida vs Rizvan Kuniev \u2013 Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch"},"content":{"rendered":"

UFC Vegas 113’s main card features a heavyweight clash between Jailton Almeida and Rizvan Kuniev. This three round battle pits the Brazilian submission specialist against the Russian striker in a critical matchup at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada.<\/p>

Almeida opens as a -162<\/a> favorite, with Kuniev at +126<\/a> as the underdog. This heavyweight bout could position the winner for a step up in competition within the division.<\/p>

Here’s how we’re betting UFC Vegas 113: Almeida vs Kuniev, including our UFC predictions<\/a>, best bet, key props and an expert final verdict.<\/p>

Mini Fight Info Strip<\/strong><\/h3>

Event:<\/strong> UFC Vegas 113 – UFC Apex<\/p>

Weight class:<\/strong> UFC Heavyweight bout<\/p>

Fight length:<\/strong> 3-round main card bout<\/p>

Date & time:<\/strong> Saturday, February 7, 2026 – Main card: 09:00 p.m. ET, walk time ~10:30 p.m. ET<\/p>

Venue:<\/strong> UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada<\/p>

Best Bet Card<\/strong><\/h3>

Best Bet:<\/strong> Jailton Almeida Moneyline (-162)<\/p>

Book:<\/strong> Best price at BetMGM<\/a><\/p>

Our best bet for this heavyweight main card bout is Almeida on the moneyline at -162<\/a>. Below, we’ll break down the matchup and key props.<\/p>

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Jailton Almeida vs Rizvan Kuniev Odds<\/strong><\/h2>

Here are the latest odds from top sportsbooks.<\/p>

Market<\/strong><\/td>BetMGM<\/strong><\/td>FanDuel<\/strong><\/td>Best Odds<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Moneyline<\/td>Almeida -162 \/ Kuniev +135<\/td>-160 \/ +126<\/td>Kuniev +135<\/a> (BetMGM)<\/td><\/tr>
Fight Goes Distance<\/td>Yes +200 \/ No -300<\/td>+215 \/ -290<\/td>Yes +215<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Total Rounds O\/U 1.5<\/td>Over -135 \/ Under +100<\/td>-134 \/ +106<\/td>Under +106 <\/a>(FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Almeida by KO\/TKO<\/td>+350<\/td>+440<\/td>+440<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Almeida by Submission<\/td>+175<\/td>+210<\/td>+210<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Almeida by Decision<\/td>+550<\/td>+550<\/td>+550 <\/a>(BetMGM\/FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Kuniev by KO\/TKO<\/td>+275<\/td>+300<\/td>+300<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Kuniev by Submission<\/td>+2000<\/td>+1800<\/td>+2000<\/a> (BetMGM)<\/td><\/tr>
Kuniev by Decision<\/td>+400<\/td>+460<\/td>+460 <\/a>(FD)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>

Odds updated:<\/strong> February 5, 2026 – 03:20 AM ET. Lines may move before fight night, especially after weigh-ins or late injury news.<\/p>

Tale of the Tape – Key Stats to Know<\/strong><\/h2>

Before we get into the matchup, here’s a Tale of the Tape for Almeida vs Kuniev.<\/p>

Tale Of The Tape<\/strong><\/td>Jailton Almeida<\/strong><\/td>Rizvan Kuniev<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Record<\/td>22-4<\/td>12-3-1 (1 NC)<\/td><\/tr>
Age<\/td>34<\/td>33<\/td><\/tr>
Height<\/td>6’3″<\/td>6’4″<\/td><\/tr>
Reach<\/td>79″<\/td>76″<\/td><\/tr>
Stance<\/td>Orthodox<\/td>Orthodox<\/td><\/tr>
Sig. Strikes Landed<\/td>2.25<\/td>4.45<\/td><\/tr>
Striking Accuracy<\/td>66%<\/td>58%<\/td><\/tr>
Takedowns<\/td>6.66<\/td>1.45<\/td><\/tr>
Takedown Defense<\/td>60%<\/td>90%<\/td><\/tr>
Submission Avg.<\/td>2.0<\/td>0.0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>

Almeida holds advantages in reach, striking accuracy, massive takedown volume, and elite submission threat. Kuniev counters with superior height, striking volume, significantly better takedown defense, and lower damage absorption. <\/p>

Fighter Breakdown – Jailton Almeida Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>

Almeida comes in with a 22-4 record bringing relentless grappling pressure to the heavyweight division. The 34 year old Brazilian is a submission specialist with overwhelming wrestling volume and finishing instincts.<\/p>

Strengths:<\/strong> Elite takedown volume (6.66 per fight) overwhelms opponents. Exceptional submission threat (2.0 attempts). Superior striking accuracy (66%). Outstanding damage avoidance (1.02 absorbed per minute). Reach advantage. Relentless pace and pressure. Multiple paths to victory.<\/p>

Weaknesses:<\/strong> Low striking volume (2.25 per minute). Poor striking defense (35%). Heavy reliance on grappling. Lower striking output creates vulnerability if takedowns fail. Size disadvantage at 225 lbs against bigger heavyweights.<\/p>

Betting Angles:<\/strong> Almeida’s -162 <\/a>moneyline offers solid value given his multiple finishing paths. Almeida by Submission (+210<\/a>) provides excellent value as his most likely finish method. <\/p>

Fighter Breakdown – Rizvan Kuniev Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>

Kuniev brings a 12-3-1 (1 NC) record with superior striking metrics and elite defensive wrestling. The 33 year old Russian is a powerful striker with excellent takedown defense.<\/p>

Strengths:<\/strong> Superior striking volume (4.45 per minute). Elite takedown defense (90%). Exceptional takedown accuracy (75%). Height advantage. Size advantage at 240 lbs. Better striking output. Knockout power.<\/p>

Weaknesses:<\/strong> Poor striking defense (45%). Higher damage absorption. Zero submission threat. Lower striking accuracy (58%). Reach disadvantage. Limited grappling offense. Heavy reliance on defending takedowns.<\/p>

Betting Angles:<\/strong> Kuniev’s +126<\/a> moneyline offers minimal value despite elite takedown defense. Kuniev by KO\/TKO (+300<\/a>) provides value if striking exchanges remain standing. Fight goes the distance (+215<\/a>) offers longshot value.<\/p>

Best Bets For Jailton Almeida vs Rizvan Kuniev<\/strong><\/h2>

Best Bet: Jailton Almeida Moneyline (-162<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

Almeida’s overwhelming grappling pressure and multiple finishing paths make him the clear pick despite Kuniev’s elite takedown defense. While Kuniev’s defensive wrestling is exceptional, Almeida’s relentless volume creates opportunities where even elite defenders eventually break.<\/p>

Almeida’s exceptional striking accuracy allows him to set up takedowns effectively, and his outstanding damage avoidance keeps him safe during striking exchanges. Once the fight hits the mat, Almeida’s elite submission threat (2.0 attempts per fight) creates immediate danger against Kuniev’s zero submission average.<\/p>

At -162<\/a> (implied 61.8%), we project Almeida wins closer to 65-70% of the time, offering solid value on the moneyline. <\/p>

Value Prop: Almeida by Submission (+210<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

Almeida’s elite submission threat creates excellent value at +210. His 2.0 submission attempts per fight suggests a clear mismatch on the ground. Once Almeida secures takedowns against even elite takedown defense, his finishing instincts take over.<\/p>

Heavyweight submissions are less common than lighter divisions, but Almeida’s specialization in this area makes him an outlier. At +210<\/a> (implied 32.3%), we project Almeida wins by submission around 35-40% of the time.<\/p>

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Longshot Flier: Almeida by Decision (+550<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

Small stake only. If Kuniev’s elite 90% takedown defense holds up better than expected, Almeida’s path becomes grinding out control time and positional dominance over three rounds. Almeida’s 6.66 takedowns per fight suggests he eventually breaks through even elite defense, and accumulating control time without finishing could bank rounds.<\/p>

At +550 <\/a>(implied 15.4%), this offers excellent payout if the fight unfolds as a grappling chess match rather than a finish. This scenario requires Kuniev’s defense exceeding expectations. Keep stakes at 0.5 units maximum given the low probability.<\/p>

Prediction – Final Verdict<\/strong><\/h2>

Official pick:<\/strong> Jailton Almeida by Unanimous Decision<\/p>

We are backing Almeida to secure a clear unanimous decision victory, likely 30-27 on all scorecards. The Brazilian’s relentless grappling pressure and control time should prove decisive over 15 minutes, even against Kuniev’s elite takedown defense.<\/p>

Almeida should open with accurate striking to set up takedown attempts, using his 66% accuracy to land clean shots while avoiding Kuniev’s power. The Russian’s poor 45% striking defense creates opportunities for Almeida to land combinations before shooting for takedowns. While Kuniev’s 90% takedown defense is exceptional, Almeida’s volume approach eventually overwhelms even elite defenders.<\/p>

Kuniev may land significant strikes in exchanges and could potentially steal a round with effective counter-striking, but his lower output and defensive posture while stuffing takedowns should cost him on the scorecards. The size advantage and knockout power keep Kuniev dangerous, but Almeida’s damage avoidance minimizes finish risk.<\/p>

How to Bet UFC Vegas 113: Tips for This Card<\/strong><\/h2>

Beyond the heavyweight main card bout, UFC Vegas 113 offers several compelling matchups that create both opportunities and traps for bettors.<\/p>

Card Tips:<\/strong><\/h3>
    \n
  • Grappling volume overwhelms elite defense. Almeida’s 6.66 takedowns per fight creates pressure even against Kuniev’s 90% defense. Relentless attempts break through eventually.
    <\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Submission specialists in heavyweight are rare. Almeida’s 2.0 submission attempts per fight makes him an outlier in the division. This specialization creates value in finish markets.
    <\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Kyoji Horiguchi’s 3.64 striking output vs Amir Albazi’s 2.72 creates a clear judging advantage. Activity wins close rounds at UFC Apex without crowd influence.
    <\/li>\n<\/ul>

    UFC Vegas 113 Fight Card<\/strong><\/h2>

    Main Card (09:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)<\/strong><\/p>

    Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira – Bantamweight bout, 5 rounds<\/p>

    Amir Albazi vs Kyoji Horiguchi – Flyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Jailton Almeida vs Rizvan Kuniev – Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Marc-Andre Barriault – Middleweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Jean Matsumoto vs Farid Basharat – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Dustin Jacoby vs Julius Walker – Light Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Prelims (6:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)<\/strong><\/p>

    Alex Morono vs Daniil Donchenko – Welterweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Bruna Brasil vs Ketlen Souza – Women’s Strawweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Said Nurmagomedov vs Javid Basharat – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Wang Cong vs Eduarda Moura – Women’s Flyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Muin Gafurov vs Jakub Wiklacz – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Klaudia Sygula vs Priscila Cachoeira – Women’s Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Odds current as of February 5, 2026.<\/em><\/p>

    (Image Credit: Gary A. Vasquez – Imagn Images)<\/strong><\/p>\n

    \n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    UFC Vegas 113’s main card features a heavyweight clash between Jailton Almeida and Rizvan Kuniev. This three round battle pits the Brazilian submission specialist against the Russian striker in a critical matchup at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. Almeida opens as a -162 favorite, with Kuniev at +126 as the underdog. This heavyweight […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":649862,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"page-betting.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_mux_skip_reasons":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[1783,4513],"tags":[2817,7917,11145],"class_list":["post-649851","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mma","category-ufc-predictions","tag-jailton-almeida","tag-rizvan-kuniev","tag-ufc-vegas-113"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nUFC Vegas 113: Jailton Almeida vs Rizvan Kuniev – Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch - The Playoffs<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Our UFC Vegas 113 Jailton Almeida vs Rizvan Kuniev prediction breaks down the latest odds, props and expert verdict.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-vegas-113-jailton-almeida-vs-rizvan-kuniev-predictions-odds-best-bets-how-to-watch\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"UFC Vegas 113: Jailton Almeida vs Rizvan Kuniev – Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch - 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