{"id":649521,"date":"2026-01-31T20:36:52","date_gmt":"2026-01-31T19:36:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/?p=649521"},"modified":"2026-01-31T20:37:00","modified_gmt":"2026-01-31T19:37:00","slug":"carlos-alcaraz-vs-novak-djokovic-prediction-odds-best-bets-australian-open-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/carlos-alcaraz-vs-novak-djokovic-prediction-odds-best-bets-australian-open-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Carlos Alcaraz vs. Novak Djokovic Prediction, Odds and Best Bets (Australian Open 2026 Final, February 1)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>World No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz and 10-time champion Novak Djokovic return to Rod Laver Arena after their spine-tingling semifinals for a monstrous clash in the Australian Open 2026 final. The Spaniard last met the <em>Djoker <\/em>in the US Open semis, where he triumphed in straight sets. However, this is Djokovic&rsquo;s home turf and his chase for the elusive 25th Grand Slam places him in a potent position. As the two warriors take centre stage on the final night of the tournament, who will emerge as the king of Melbourne?<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">There's only one Carlos Alcaraz.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/carlosalcaraz?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>@carlosalcaraz<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/AO26?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>#AO26<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/esA6gkQghu\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/esA6gkQghu<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Tennis TV (@TennisTV) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TennisTV\/status\/2017166462692032657?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>January 30, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>Alcaraz played a near perfect set of matches until the semifinal against Zverev, where he overcame cramps to win in five sets. The 22-year-old is the top seed at the opening major of the year, and is looking to complete a Career Grand Slam. The six-time major champion had a 71-9 record in 2025. Djokovic, who reached the semifinal of all the Grand Slams, conquered the Sinner challenge in his last match. The Serbian icon has captured 101 career trophies en route to maintaining his No. 4 rankings in the world.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The oldest man ever to reach the Australian Open final (in the Open Era).<br><br>Ladies and gentlemen, Novak Djokovic &#10024;<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/AO26?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>#AO26<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/98SsYzzLo4\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/98SsYzzLo4<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Roland-Garros (@rolandgarros) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/rolandgarros\/status\/2017246690256814459?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>January 30, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>According to the tennis betting odds, Carlos Alcaraz (-335) is the favorite to win his maiden crown in Melbourne Park as per <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-betmgm-sportsbetting-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>BetMGM<\/a>. Novak Djokovic (+255) is the underdog finalist on the <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-betmgm-sportsbetting-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>BetMGM<\/a> moneyline. Here&rsquo;s how we are betting on the Australian Open 2026 championship contest between Alcaraz and Djokovic, including our best bets, supporting odds and a set-score prop for bigger prices.<\/p><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Tournament &amp; Round: <\/strong>Australian Open 2026, Final<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Surface: <\/strong>Outdoor Hard Court<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Format: <\/strong>Men&rsquo;s Singles, Best of Five Sets<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Date &amp; Start Time: <\/strong>February 1, 19:30 Local<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Court: <\/strong>Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Best Bet: <\/strong>Total Games &gt;39.5 @ +106 as per <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-betmgm-sportsbetting-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>BetMGM<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul><p>\n\n\n            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTable\" >\n                             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We are looking at the match money line, game handicap and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Market<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-betmgm-sportsbetting-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>BetMGM<\/a><\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-FanDuel-sports-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>FanDuel<\/a><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Moneyline<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Alcaraz (-335), Djokovic (+255)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Alcaraz (-320), Djokovic (+255)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Game Handicap<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Alcaraz -4.5 (-121), Djokovic +4.5 (-104)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Alcaraz -4.5 (-122), Djokovic +4.5 (-106)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Total Games<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">&gt;38.5 (-107), &lt;38.5 (-117)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">&gt;38.5 (-112), &lt;38.5 (-118)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Set Betting<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Alcaraz 3-0 (+175), Alcaraz 3-1 (+260)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Alcaraz 3-0 (+170), Alcaraz 3-1 (+260)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic Predictions &amp; Picks<\/h2><p><strong>Our Pick: <\/strong>Total Games Over 39.5 at +106<\/p><p>The Alcaraz vs Djokovic encounters have historically been filled with loads of drama. Both players like to remain steadfast from the baseline and vary the pace and bounce to dictate play. Watch out for the cross-court exchanges, as it happens to be the x-factor shot that will bring the Spanish and Serbian fighters forward. Considering their last four match-ups have featured at least a tiebreaker or split up of sets, Alcaraz and Djokovic could go the distance on Sunday.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Carlos Alcaraz v Alexander Zverev Highlights | Australian Open 2026 Semifinal\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/u8plp_Kb6Ss?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>Against Zverev, <em>Carlitos <\/em>altered his return position based on the heat and court conditions. After a change in his service motion, a high first serve percentage will be imperative to stay in control and drain out Djokovic&rsquo;s energy. On the other hand, expect the 24-time Grand Slam to flex his muscles and unleash some heavy groundstrokes to keep the rallies as short as possible. He is likely to target depth on Alcaraz&rsquo;s forehand and wide half-trackers on the backhand wing.<\/p><p>Our prediction is that regardless of the victor, this duel has all the ingredients to go to the fourth or fifth set. This is why the total games potentially going over the 39.5 mark is the best bet at +106 odds on BetMGM.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Novak Djokovic Press Conference | Australian Open 2026 Semifinal\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/QFnVChRjjMc?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Carlos Alcaraz Recent Form<\/h2><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Nitto ATP Finals 2025: Final<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Paris Masters 2025: Round of 32<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Japan Open 2025: Winner<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Laver Cup 2025: Runner-Up<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>US Open 2025: Winner<\/li>\n<\/ul><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Novak Djokovic Recent Form<\/h2><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Hellenic Championship 2025: Winner<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Shanghai Masters 2025: Semifinal<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>US Open 2025: Semifinal<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Wimbledon 2025: Semifinal<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Roland Garros 2025: Semifinal<\/li>\n<\/ul><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic Head to Head Record<\/h2><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"FULL MATCH: Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz First Meeting!\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/g-yjZk5HY9o?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>Novak Djokovic has a slight edge of 5-4 in the head-to-head against Carlos Alcaraz. The rivalry began in 2022, and featured multiple classics over the years. At the Grand Slams, it is the reigning World No. 1 who has an advantageous 3-2 record. He also won their most recent encounter at the US Open in 2025.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Event<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Round<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Winner<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Score<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2025 US Open<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Semifinal<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Carlos Alcaraz<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6-4 7-6(4) 6-2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2025 Australian Open<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Quarterfinal<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Novak Djokovic<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4-6 6-4 6-3 6-4<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2024 Paris Olympics<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Final<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Novak Djokovic<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7-6(3) 7-6(2)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2024 Wimbledon<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Final<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Carlos Alcaraz<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6-2 6-2 7-6(4)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2023 Nitto ATP Finals<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Semifinal<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Novak Djokovic<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6-3 6-2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2023 Cincinnati<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Final<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Novak Djokovic<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5-7 7-6(7) 7-6(4)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2023 Wimbledon<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Final<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Carlos Alcaraz<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1-6 7-6(6) 6-1 3-6 6-4<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2023 Roland Garros<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Semifinal<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Novak Djokovic<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6-3 5-7 6-1 6-1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2022 Madrid<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Semifinal<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Carlos Alcaraz<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6-7(5) 7-5 7-6(5)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How to Watch Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic at the Australian Open 2026?<\/h2><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">On Sunday:<br><br>Novak Djokovic wins a 25th Grand Slam title <br><br>Or <br><br>Carlos Alcaraz becomes the youngest ever player to complete the Career Slam in men&rsquo;s singles <br><br>HISTORY on the line.<\/p>&mdash; Jos&eacute; Morgado (@josemorgado) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/josemorgado\/status\/2017245499657494963?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>January 30, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>The Australian Open 2026 can be viewed live on a variety of streaming platforms and TV channels across the world. This includes Tennis Channel, Stan Sport, ESPN International, TSN, beIN Sports, SuperSport, Canal+, Sony Sports, Eurosport and TNT Sports &ndash; depending on where you are watching from.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Date<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">February 1, 2026<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Time<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19:30 Local<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Tournament<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Australian Open 2026, Final<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Surface<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Outdoor Hard Court<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Court<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>TV\/Streaming<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Tennis Channel, Stan Sport, ESPN International, TSN, beIN Sports, SuperSport, Canal+, Sony Sports, Eurosport, TNT Sports<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><p><em>(Image Credits: Mike Frey, Imagn Images)<\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"mm-layout mm-layout-type-global mm-layout-slot4\">\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>All you need to know about the men\u2019s singles final at Melbourne Park.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":649524,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"page-betting.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_mux_skip_reasons":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[4770,6290],"tags":[4917,5069,10864,128,4948,4949,4936],"class_list":["post-649521","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tennis","category-tennis-predictions","tag-atp","tag-australian-open","tag-australian-open-2026","tag-betting","tag-carlos-alcaraz","tag-novak-djokovic","tag-tennis"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.8 - 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