{"id":649026,"date":"2026-01-24T21:57:47","date_gmt":"2026-01-24T20:57:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/?p=649026"},"modified":"2026-01-24T21:57:51","modified_gmt":"2026-01-24T20:57:51","slug":"daniil-medvedev-vs-learner-tien-prediction-odds-best-bets-australian-open-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/daniil-medvedev-vs-learner-tien-prediction-odds-best-bets-australian-open-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Daniil Medvedev vs. Learner Tien Prediction, Odds and Best Bets (Australian Open 2026, Round of 16, January 25)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>With flashbacks of last year&rsquo;s upset still relatively fresh in his memory, Daniil Medvedev will square off against Learner Tien in the Australian Open 2026 Round of 16. The American southpaw has seen his graph rise exponentially over the past twelve months, and will be eyeing a maiden Grand Slam quarterfinal entry on Sunday. But with the 11th seed back to his best form in Melbourne Park, it is hard to split the two competitors apart.<\/p><p>A former US Open champion and three-time Australian Open runner-up, Daniil Medvedev suffered a major drop in level during the 2025 campaign. Having dropped out of the Top-10 for the first time in over half a decade, the Russian currently sits at No. 12 in the world. He began the ongoing season at 5-0 with a championship run in Brisbane. Medvedev defeated Jesper de Jong, Quentin Halys and Fabian Marozsan en route to the Round of 16.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">THE MEDDY SHOW LIVES ON &#128378;&#128175;<br><br>Daniil Medvedev roars back from two sets to love down to remain undefeated this season! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/A026?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>#A026<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Bo7fL05OFF\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/Bo7fL05OFF<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Tennis Channel (@TennisChannel) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TennisChannel\/status\/2014555170827382852?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>January 23, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>Learner Tien is the fourth best American as per the ATP Rankings. The 20-year-old lost the final in Beijing last year, before claiming a first tour-level title at the Moselle Open in November. Currently ranked No. 29 in the world, Tien has a career win-loss record of 42-31, including five Top-10 wins in just one year. Entering the Australian Open as the 25th seed, he beat Marcos Giron, Alexander Shevchenko and Nuno Borges to book his spot in the pre-quarterfinals.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Daniil Medvedev and Learner Tien will renew one of the best rivalries of 2025, with each man in a new place, and with something different to prove.<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/2xTsUaETa5\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>https:\/\/t.co\/2xTsUaETa5<\/a><\/p>&mdash; TENNIS (@Tennis) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Tennis\/status\/2015159423572799718?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>January 24, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>According to the tennis betting odds on <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-betmgm-sportsbetting-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>BetMGM<\/a>, Daniil Medvedev is the favorite to win this encounter at -225. Learner Tien is the underdog with pre-match odds of +175 on the <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-betmgm-sportsbetting-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>BetMGM<\/a> moneyline. Here&rsquo;s how we are betting on this Round of 16 battle at the Australian Open 2026, including our best bets, supporting odds and a set-score prop for bigger prices.<\/p><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Tournament &amp; Round: <\/strong>Australian Open 2026, Round of 16<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Surface: <\/strong>Outdoor Hard Court<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Format: <\/strong>Men&rsquo;s Singles, Best of Five Sets<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Date &amp; Start Time: <\/strong>January 25, Not Before 16:00 Local<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Court: <\/strong>Margaret Court Arena, Melbourne<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Best Bet: <\/strong>Daniil Medvedev -1.5 Sets @ -120 as per <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-betmgm-sportsbetting-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>BetMGM<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul><p>\n\n\n            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTable\" >\n                         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8.45414 4.38475H2.30834V4.38352Z\" fill=\"#002699\"\/>\n                                <path d=\"M11.6905 13.3512C11.488 13.3512 11.3246 13.1871 11.3246 12.9838C11.3246 12.7805 11.488 12.6164 11.6905 12.6164C12.5599 12.6164 13.2672 11.906 13.2672 11.0328V2.81843C13.2672 1.94519 12.5599 1.23484 11.6905 1.23484H5.54466C4.67523 1.23484 3.96797 1.94519 3.96797 2.81843C3.96797 3.02174 3.80457 3.18585 3.60215 3.18585C3.39973 3.18585 3.23633 3.02174 3.23633 2.81843C3.23633 1.5398 4.2716 0.5 5.54466 0.5H11.6905C12.9635 0.5 13.9988 1.5398 13.9988 2.81843V11.0315C13.9988 12.3102 12.9635 13.35 11.6905 13.35V13.3512Z\" fill=\"#002699\"\/>\n                            <\/g>\n                        <\/svg>\n                                    <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                                                    <a rel=\"nofollow\"\n                        target=\"_blank\"\n                        href=\"\"\n                        class=\"MvpBookmakerTableCtaAndCode-top-cta\"\n                        data-cta-trk='{\"ctaBrand\":\"BetMGM\",\"ctaType\":\"Brand block\",\"ctaActivity\":\"sports\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>\n                        <span>Claim now<\/span>\n                        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/mvp\/assets\/img\/bookmaker_table\/right-arrow-white.svg\" alt=\"arrow\" class=\"--ltr\" \/>\n                    <\/a>\n                <\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n                                                                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTable-separator\"><\/div>\n            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTANDC\">\n                21+. AZ\/CO\/IL\/IN\/IA\/KS\/LA\/MD\/MA\/MI\/NJ\/OH\/PA\/TN\/ VA\/WV\/WY only. Offer not available in DC\/MS\/NV\/NY\/PR. New customers only. Qualifying deposit (min $10) and first real money wager required. If qualifying bet settles as a loss, user is refunded 100% in non-withdrawable bonus bets up to $1,500. Full T&Cs can be found on betmgm.com.            <\/div>\n                                                    <\/div>\n            \n\n\n\n<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien Betting Odds<\/h2><p>Given below are the latest odds for Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Market<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-betmgm-sportsbetting-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>BetMGM<\/a><\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-FanDuel-sports-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>FanDuel<\/a><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Moneyline<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Medvedev (-225), Tien (+175)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Medvedev (-245), Tien (+198)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Game Handicap<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Medvedev -4.5 (+100), Tien +4.5 (-125)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Medvedev -4.5 (-110), Tien +4.5 (-120)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Total Games<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">&gt;38.5 (-106), &lt;38.5 (-121)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">&gt;37.5 (-118), &lt;37.5 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Set Betting<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Medvedev 3-0 (+210), Medvedev 3-1 (+295)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Medvedev 3-0 (+210), Medvedev 3-1 (+290)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien Predictions &amp; Picks<\/h2><p><strong>Our Pick: <\/strong>Daniil Medvedev -1.5 Sets at -120<\/p><p>Both stylistically and in terms of mental game plan, Medvedev and Tien could not be more different than one another. This is arguably why all their matches have gone the distance so far. We are predicting a three sets to one victory in favor of the Russian, purely due to his experience and ability to outthink his opponents from the back of the court.<\/p><p>\n\n\n            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTable\" >\n                                                            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock\">\n                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock-item MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock-item--flex2\">\n                                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableLogo\" style=\"background-color: #1493ff\">\n                <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/mm-business-data\/images\/brands\/9b4dabf72537-500-FanDuel.jpeg\" alt=\"FanDuel\">\n            <\/div>\n                                            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTitleAndRate\">\n                <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTitleAndRate-title\">\n                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTitleAndRate-title-text\">\n            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Must be 21+ in most jurisdictions, but 18+ in DC, KY, and WY. Offer is valid only in eligible regulated states\/jurisdictions and not available in AR; void where prohibited. First online real-money wager only; cashed-out or bonus-funded bets are excluded.            <\/div>\n                                                    <\/div>\n            \n\n\n\n<\/p><p>Medvedev will need to start well and impose himself on this duel in the early stages. Yet, he has also got a great record at winning the longer rallies and painting the lines when it matters most. Placing a bet on the match result or the handicaps will be unfavorable, as this rivalry has given us some unexpected scorelines in 2025. But a key piece of prediction that we have is a possible 3-0 or 3-1 win for the former World No. 1. This is why Medvedev with -1.5 set handicap at -120 is the best bet.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Daniil Medvedev Recent Form<\/h2><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Brisbane International 2026: Winner<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Paris Masters 2025: Quarterfinal<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Erste Bank Open Vienna 2025: Round of 16<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Almaty Open 2025: Winner<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Shanghai Masters 2025: Semifinal<\/li>\n<\/ul><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Medvedev on facing Learner Tien next at Australian Open:<br><br>&ldquo;I know you have some history with Learner Tien. When you come off the court after a 5-set match like that and know that that's your reward. How do you feel about it?\"<br><br>Daniil: \"During the match they showed the score and&hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/R8eHJ55f81\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/R8eHJ55f81<\/a><\/p>&mdash; The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheTennisLetter\/status\/2014694497834402225?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>January 23, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Learner Tien Recent Form<\/h2><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Brisbane International 2026: Round of 16<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Next Gen ATP Finals 2025: Winner<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Moselle Open 2025: Winner<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Paris Masters 2025: Round of 32<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Shanghai Masters 2025: Round of 16<\/li>\n<\/ul><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien Head to Head Record<\/h2><p>Daniil Medvedev leads the head-to-head against Learner Tien by 2-1.<\/p><p>Medvedev and Tien had three top notch face-offs in 2025. They are yet to play out a straight sets encounter, as every single match in the rivalry has gone the distance. The Australian Open 2026 pre-quarterfinal is set to be their second meeting at this event. It will also be the fourth time they face one another on an outdoor hard court.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Learner Tien v Daniil Medvedev Extended Highlights | Australian Open 2025 Second Round\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/rigeUlWRlzo?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Event<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Round<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Winner<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Score<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2025 Shanghai<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Round of 16<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Daniil Medvedev<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7-6(6) 6-7(1) 6-4<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2025 Beijing<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Semifinal<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Learner Tien<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5-7 7-5 4-0 RET.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2025 Australian Open<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Round of 64<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Learner Tien<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6-3 7-6(4) 6-7(8) 1-6 7-6(7)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How to Watch Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien at the Australian Open 2026?<\/h2><p>The Australian Open 2026 can be viewed live on a variety of streaming platforms and TV channels across the world. This includes Tennis Channel, Stan Sport, ESPN International, TSN, beIN Sports, SuperSport, Canal+, Sony Sports, Eurosport and TNT Sports &ndash; depending on where you are watching from.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Date<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">January 25, 2026<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Time<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Not Before 16:00 Local<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Tournament<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Australian Open 2026, Round of 16<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Surface<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Outdoor Hard Court<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Court<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Margaret Court Arena, Melbourne<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>TV\/Streaming<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Tennis Channel, Stan Sport, ESPN International, TSN, beIN Sports, SuperSport, Canal+, Sony Sports, Eurosport, TNT Sports<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><p><em>(Image Credits: Mike Frey, Imagn Images)<\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"mm-layout mm-layout-type-global mm-layout-slot4\">\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Russian Grand Slam champion takes on the prodigious American talent.  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":649030,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"page-betting.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_mux_skip_reasons":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[4770,6290],"tags":[4917,5069,10864,128,5475,7227,4936],"class_list":["post-649026","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tennis","category-tennis-predictions","tag-atp","tag-australian-open","tag-australian-open-2026","tag-betting","tag-daniil-medvedev","tag-learner-tien","tag-tennis"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.8 - 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