{"id":648729,"date":"2026-01-21T19:48:39","date_gmt":"2026-01-21T18:48:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/?p=648729"},"modified":"2026-01-21T19:48:44","modified_gmt":"2026-01-21T18:48:44","slug":"tennis-lorenzo-musetti-vs-lorenzo-sonego-prediction-odds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/tennis-lorenzo-musetti-vs-lorenzo-sonego-prediction-odds\/","title":{"rendered":"Lorenzo Musetti vs. Lorenzo Sonego Prediction, Odds &#038; Best Bets (Australian Open 2026, Round of 64, January 22)\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Fifth seed Lorenzo Musetti faces fellow Italian Lorenzo Sonego in the second round of the 2026 Australian Open in Melbourne. Apparently, this matchup is a competitive favorite and not a mismatch. Musetti advanced when Raphael Collignon retired in the fourth set due to cramps and dizziness, while Sonego came through cleanly in straight sets over Carlos Taberner.<\/p><p>Musetti enters as world No. 5 after a runner-up finish in Hong Kong (doubles). While 2025 didn&rsquo;t bring a title, it was still his best season by consistency at the top end with finals in Monte Carlo, Chengdu, and Hellenic, plus deep Masters and Slam runs. His 2025 stats reflect a solid all-court player rather than pure serve dominance. He fired 310 aces, won 72% of first serve points, won 30% of first serve return points, and had a 39% break-point conversion across 540 opportunities.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">All class Lorenzo Musetti &#129309; <br><br>After opponent Raphael Colligno was forced to retire, the Italian left this wholesome message. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/0POmITAHNP\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/0POmITAHNP<\/a><\/p>&mdash; #AusOpen (@AustralianOpen) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AustralianOpen\/status\/2013470042516791453?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>January 20, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>Sonego is world No. 40 and comes with a higher-variance, serve-driven baseline. He&rsquo;s also quietly familiar with Musetti&rsquo;s patterns from partnering with him in doubles. Stat-wise in 2025, Sonego posted 346 aces, 73% first serve points won, 26% first serve return points won, and the exact same 39% break-point conversion (320 opportunities). That symmetry is why the betting board is interesting here.<\/p><p>For today&rsquo;s tennis picks, here&rsquo;s how we&rsquo;re betting on Lorenzo Musetti vs. Lorenzo Sonego today, including our Best Bet, supporting angles, and a set-score prop for bigger prices.<\/p><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Tournament &amp; Round: <\/strong>Australian Open, Second Round (R64)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Surface: <\/strong>Outdoor Hard Court<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Format: <\/strong>Best of Five Sets<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Date &amp; Start Time: <\/strong>January 22, Not before 11:30 AM AEDT Local Time&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Court:<\/strong> Margaret Court Arena, Melbourne, Australia<\/li>\n<\/ul><p><strong>Best Bet: <\/strong>Over 3.5 Sets (-168, <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-FanDuel-sports-us-en\" rel=\"nofollow noindex noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"FanDuel (opens in a new tab)\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>FanDuel<\/a>)<\/p><p><strong>Book: <\/strong>Best price at <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-FanDuel-sports-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>FanDuel<\/a><\/p><p>Our best bet for Lorenzo Musetti vs. Lorenzo Sonego is Over 3.5 Sets (-168, <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-FanDuel-sports-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>FanDuel<\/a>).<\/p><p>\n\n\n            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTable\" >\n                                                            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock\">\n                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock-item MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock-item--flex2\">\n                                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableLogo\" 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   <\/span>\n                                    <span >\n                        P                    <\/span>\n                                                            <\/div>\n                                    <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                                                    <a rel=\"nofollow\"\n                        target=\"_blank\"\n                        href=\"\"\n                        class=\"MvpBookmakerTableCtaAndCode-top-cta\"\n                        data-cta-trk='{\"ctaBrand\":\"FanDuel\",\"ctaType\":\"Brand block\",\"ctaActivity\":\"sports\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>\n                        <span>Claim now<\/span>\n                        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/mvp\/assets\/img\/bookmaker_table\/right-arrow-white.svg\" alt=\"arrow\" class=\"--ltr\" \/>\n                    <\/a>\n                <\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n                                                                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTable-separator\"><\/div>\n            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTANDC\">\n                New customers only. Must be 21+ in most jurisdictions, but 18+ in DC, KY, and WY. Offer is valid only in eligible regulated states\/jurisdictions and not available in AR; void where prohibited. First online real-money wager only; cashed-out or bonus-funded bets are excluded.            <\/div>\n                                                    <\/div>\n            \n\n\n\n<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Lorenzo Musetti vs. Lorenzo Sonego Odds<\/h2><p>Given below are the latest odds for Lorenzo Musetti vs. Lorenzo Sonego from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap, and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Market<\/strong><\/td><td><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-FanDuel-sports-us-en\" rel=\"nofollow noindex noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"FanDuel (opens in a new tab)\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>FanDuel<\/a><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-betmgm-sportsbetting-us-en\" rel=\"nofollow noindex noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"BetMGM (opens in a new tab)\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>BetMGM<\/a><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Moneyline&nbsp;<\/td><td>Musetti -260 \/ Sonego +210<\/td><td>Musetti -250 \/ Sonego +190<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Game Handicap<\/td><td>Musetti -4.5 -112 \/ Sonego +4.5 -118<\/td><td>Musetti -4.5 -105 \/ Sonego +4.5 -120<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Total Games<\/td><td>Over 38.5 -112 \/ Under 38.5 -118<\/td><td>Over 38.5 -114 \/ Under 38.5 -110<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Set Betting<\/td><td>Musetti 3-0 +195 \/ Sonego 3-0 +750<\/td><td>Musetti 3-0 +195 \/ Sonego 3-0 +750<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Total Sets<\/td><td>Over 3.5 -168 \/ Under 3.5 +124<\/td><td>Over 3.5 -175 \/ Under 3.5 +138<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Lorenzo Musetti vs. Lorenzo Sonego Prediction &amp; Picks<\/h2><p><strong>Our Pick: Lorenzo Musetti 3-0 Sets (-145, FanDuel).<\/strong><\/p><p>This is the type of match where the moneyline price is doing a lot of heavy lifting, but the underlying matchup suggests it may not be the most efficient way to bet it. Musetti is deservedly favored at -260 based on ranking (No. 5 vs. No. 40) and his 2025 high-end results. But his statistical edge isn&rsquo;t overwhelming on hard courts, and Sonego&rsquo;s serve stats tend to make rallies extend.<\/p><p>Both players sit in a similar band on serve points won (Musetti 72%, Sonego 73%) and both converted 39% of break points in 2025. The biggest separation is on first-serve return points won (Musetti at 30% vs. Sonego at 26%), which is meaningful but not massive in a best-of-five. Add in that Musetti didn&rsquo;t get a full match in round one due to retirement (which can cut both ways), while Sonego progressed comfortably, and you get a strong case for this being at least a four-setter.<\/p><p>That&rsquo;s why Over 3.5 Sets (-168) is the cleanest price-efficient angle across the board.&nbsp;<\/p><p>\n\n\n            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTable\" >\n                                                            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock\">\n                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock-item MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock-item--flex2\">\n                                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableLogo\" style=\"background-color: #1493ff\">\n                <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/mm-business-data\/images\/brands\/9b4dabf72537-500-FanDuel.jpeg\" alt=\"FanDuel\">\n            <\/div>\n                                            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTitleAndRate\">\n        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Must be 21+ in most jurisdictions, but 18+ in DC, KY, and WY. Offer is valid only in eligible regulated states\/jurisdictions and not available in AR; void where prohibited. First online real-money wager only; cashed-out or bonus-funded bets are excluded.            <\/div>\n                                                    <\/div>\n            \n\n\n\n<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Lorenzo Musetti Recent Form<\/h2><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Vienna &ndash; Semifinal&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Paris Masters &ndash; R32<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Hellenic &ndash; Final<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>ATP Final &ndash; Group Stage<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Hong Kong &ndash; Final<\/li>\n<\/ul><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Lorenzo Musetti advances to Round 2 after Collignon retires. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/H0y0PGwEMe\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/H0y0PGwEMe<\/a><\/p>&mdash; US Open Tennis (@usopen) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/usopen\/status\/2013461491941286081?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>January 20, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Lorenzo Sonego Recent Form<\/h2><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Stockholm &ndash; Quarterfinal<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Basel &ndash; R32<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Paris Masters &ndash; R16<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Moselle &ndash; Semifinal<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Hong Kong &ndash; R16<\/li>\n<\/ul><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">New year, new trophy &#127942;<br><br>Lorenzo Musetti and Lorenzo Sonego defeat Rublev\/Khachanov 6-4, 2-6, [10-1] to take out the doubles title in Hong Kong.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Hkto_mens?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>@Hkto_mens<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BOCHKTO2026?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>#BOCHKTO2026<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/KdWG6ZXJVr\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/KdWG6ZXJVr<\/a><\/p>&mdash; ATP Tour (@atptour) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/atptour\/status\/2010510828437733396?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>January 12, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Head-to-Head History<\/h2><p>Lorenzo Musetti and Sonego are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head.&nbsp;<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Year<\/th><th>Winner<\/th><th>Event<\/th><th>Round<\/th><th>Score<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>2025<\/td><td>Lorenzo Sonego<\/td><td>Paris<\/td><td>Round of 32<\/td><td>3-6, 6-3, 6-1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2024<\/td><td>Lorenzo Musetti<\/td><td>Vienna<\/td><td>Round of 32<\/td><td>6-3, 6-2<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Final Score Prediction &amp; Set-Betting Prop<\/h2><p><strong>Projection:<\/strong> Lorenzo Musetti wins in four sets.<\/p><p><strong>Higher Variance Set Bet: Musetti 3-0 (+195, FanDuel). <\/strong>Given that this is a higher variance bet, it is recommended to use this as a secondary option rather than a primary one.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How can I watch Lorenzo Musetti vs. Lorenzo Sonego on TV and live stream?<\/h2><p>TV broadcasters for the 2026 Australian Open include ESPN and ESPN2 in the United States, TNT Sports in the United Kingdom, Channel 9 Network in Australia, Eurosport across Europe, beIN Sports in the Middle East and North Africa, and TSN\/RDS in Canada, with streaming on 9NOW for Australian viewers.<\/p><p>Streaming options vary by region and often require subscriptions. Viewers can access full coverage via ESPN+ (USA, all courts\/multiview), Discovery+ (UK\/Europe), Stan Sport (Australia), and global platforms like Tennis TV for select ATP matches on devices worldwide.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td>Match<\/td><td>Lorenzo Musetti vs. Lorenzo Sonego<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Date<\/td><td>January 22, 2026<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Start Time<\/td><td>Not before 11:30 AM AEDT<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Tournament<\/td><td>Australian Open 2026<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Event Type<\/td><td>Men&rsquo;s Singles (Grand Slam)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Surface<\/td><td>Outdoor Hard Court<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Court<\/td><td>Margaret Court Arena, Melbourne Park, Melbourne, Australia<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>TV Coverage<\/td><td>ESPN, ESPN2, Tennis Channel (US), TNT Sports (UK), Channel 9 Network (Australia), Eurosport (Europe), beIN Sports (MENA), TSN\/RDS (Canada), 9NOW<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Live Streaming<\/td><td>ESPN+ (US, all courts), Discovery+ (UK\/Europe), Stan Sport (Australia), Tennis TV (global ATP select)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><p><em>Mandatory Image Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images<\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"mm-layout mm-layout-type-global mm-layout-slot4\">\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Lorenzo Musetti vs. Lorenzo Sonego Prediction, Odds, Best Bets &#038; How to Watch<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":648730,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"page-betting.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_mux_skip_reasons":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[4770,6290],"tags":[11046,4917,5053,7918],"class_list":["post-648729","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tennis","category-tennis-predictions","tag-2026-australian-open","tag-atp","tag-lorenzo-musetti","tag-lorenzo-sonego"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Lorenzo Musetti vs. Lorenzo Sonego Prediction, Odds &amp; Best Bets (Australian Open 2026, Round of 64, January 22)&nbsp; - The Playoffs<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Our Lorenzo Musetti vs. Lorenzo Sonego prediction breaks down the latest tennis odds, moneyline, game handicap and total games markets, plus our Best Bet, set-score props and how to watch the match.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/tennis-lorenzo-musetti-vs-lorenzo-sonego-prediction-odds\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Lorenzo Musetti vs. Lorenzo Sonego Prediction, Odds &amp; 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