{"id":648593,"date":"2026-01-20T21:07:10","date_gmt":"2026-01-20T20:07:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/?p=648593"},"modified":"2026-01-20T21:07:15","modified_gmt":"2026-01-20T20:07:15","slug":"tennis-aryna-sabalenka-vs-zhuoxuan-bai-prediction-odds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/tennis-aryna-sabalenka-vs-zhuoxuan-bai-prediction-odds\/","title":{"rendered":"Aryna Sabalenka vs. Zhuoxuan Bai Prediction, Odds &#038; Best Bets (Australian Open 2026, Round of 64, January 21)\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Top seed Aryna Sabalenka faces qualifier Zhuoxuan Bai in the second round of the 2026 Australian Open in Melbourne. Sabalenka, the world No. 1, opened with a straight-sets win over wild card Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah, while Bai earned her spot with a three-set win over Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova.<\/p><p>Sabalenka&rsquo;s form and resume explain the pricing. She began her 2026 season by successfully defending her title, beating Marta Kostyuk in straight sets. While her 2025 season was the most complete of her career, with titles in Brisbane, Miami, Madrid, and the US Open, plus a long list of finals across the events. Stat-wise (2025), she&rsquo;s built to crush mismatches quickly with 302 aces in 89 matches, 65.2% first-serve points won, 44.8% return points won, and a strong 46.5% break-point conversion.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">An error-strewn Aryna Sabalenka made a stodgy start to her Australian Open title charge in a 6-4, 6-1 win over French wildcard Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah on Sunday.<br><br>READ MORE: <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/bOOCrVXXrZ\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>https:\/\/t.co\/bOOCrVXXrZ<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/TPRQDYUcvj\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/TPRQDYUcvj<\/a><\/p>&mdash; INQUIRER Sports (@INQUIRERSports) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/INQUIRERSports\/status\/2013425127099150628?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>January 20, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>Bai comes in as world No. 702 (career-high No. 83). However, from August 2024 to October 2025, she had a long hiatus due to lower back and ankle injuries. Plus, she hasn&rsquo;t established WTA or Challenger title-winning consistency yet (though she has 12 ITF singles titles). Against Sabalenka&rsquo;s first-strike power and elite return pressure, the handicap market becomes more relevant than the moneyline.<\/p><p>For today&rsquo;s tennis picks, here&rsquo;s how we&rsquo;re betting on Aryna Sabalenka vs. Zhuoxuan Bai today, including our Best Bet, supporting angles, and a set-score prop for bigger prices.<\/p><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Tournament &amp; Round: <\/strong>Australian Open, Second Round (R64)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Surface: <\/strong>Outdoor Hard Court<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Format: <\/strong>Best of Three Sets<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Date &amp; Start Time: <\/strong>January 21, Not before 11:30 AM AEDT Local Time&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Court: <\/strong>Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne, Australia<\/li>\n<\/ul><p><strong>Best Bet: <\/strong>Aryna Sabalenka -7.5 Games (-130, <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-FanDuel-sports-us-en\" rel=\"nofollow noindex noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"FanDuel (opens in a new tab)\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>FanDuel<\/a>)<\/p><p><strong>Book: <\/strong>Best price at <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-FanDuel-sports-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>FanDuel<\/a><\/p><p>Our best bet for Aryna Sabalenka vs. Zhuoxuan Bai is Aryna Sabalenka -7.5 Games (-130, <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-FanDuel-sports-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>FanDuel<\/a>).<\/p><p>\n\n\n            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTable\" >\n                                                            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock\">\n                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock-item MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock-item--flex2\">\n                          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Must be 21+ in most jurisdictions, but 18+ in DC, KY, and WY. Offer is valid only in eligible regulated states\/jurisdictions and not available in AR; void where prohibited. First online real-money wager only; cashed-out or bonus-funded bets are excluded.            <\/div>\n                                                    <\/div>\n            \n\n\n\n<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Aryna Sabalenka vs. Zhuoxuan Bai Odds<\/h2><p>Given below are the latest odds for Aryna Sabalenka vs. Zhuoxuan Bai from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Market<\/strong><\/td><td><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-betmgm-sportsbetting-us-en\" rel=\"nofollow noindex noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"FanDuel (opens in a new tab)\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>FanDuel<\/a><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-betmgm-sportsbetting-us-en\" rel=\"nofollow noindex noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"BetMGM (opens in a new tab)\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>BetMGM<\/a><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Moneyline<\/td><td>Sabalenka -8000 \/ Bai +2200<\/td><td>Sabalenka -10000 \/ Bai +1600<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Game Handicap<\/td><td>Sabalenka -7.5 -130 \/ Bai +7.5 -104<\/td><td>Sabalenka -7.5 -125 \/ Bai +7.5 -105<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Total Games<\/td><td>Over 16.5 -118 \/ Under 16.5 -112<\/td><td>Over 16.5 -111 \/ Under 16.5 -114<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Set Betting<\/td><td>Sabalenka 2-0 -800 \/ Bai 2-0 +4500<\/td><td>Sabalenka 2-0 -1200 \/ Bai 2-0 +3300<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Total Sets<\/td><td>Over 2.5 +520 \/ Under 2.5 -1000<\/td><td>Over 2.5 +650 \/ Under 2.5 -1200<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Aryna Sabalenka vs. Zhuoxuan Bai Prediction &amp; Picks<\/h2><p><strong>Our Pick: Aryna Sabalenka -7.5 Games (-130, FanDuel).&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p><p>The moneyline is completely inefficient at -8000, and even the 2-0 set market at -800 is paying you very little for the most likely outcome. The handicap is the cleanest price-to-probability tradeoff here because Sabalenka is a top-tier power player with elite return metrics against a qualifier ranked outside the top 700, coming off a long injury hiatus.<\/p><p>The main reason the -7.5 games line is attractive is that Sabalenka&rsquo;s 2025 stats support fast separation in both phases. She combines first-strike serve pressure (302 aces) with a legitimately dominant return game (44.8% return points won). She also converts at a high rate when she gets chances (46.5% break conversion). Simply put, in a best-of-three, Sabalenka&rsquo;s ability to quickly stack breaks makes -7.5 a more efficient entry than chasing a massive price on the straight-set win.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Aryna Sabalenka Recent Form<\/h2><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Cincinnati &ndash; Quarterfinal&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>US Open &ndash; Title<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Wuhan &ndash; Semifinal &ndash;&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>WTA Finals &ndash; Final<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Brisbane &ndash; Title<\/li>\n<\/ul><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Aryna Sabalenka is the 2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BrisbaneInternational?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>#BrisbaneInternational<\/a> Women's Singles Champion &#127942; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/WYZIC9AH9R\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/WYZIC9AH9R<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Brisbane International (@BrisbaneTennis) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BrisbaneTennis\/status\/2010252189110001731?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>January 11, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Zhuoxuan Bai Recent Form<\/h2><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Challenger Jinan &ndash; R32<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Jiangxi &ndash; Quarterfinal<\/li>\n<\/ul><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/AustralianOpen2026?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>#AustralianOpen2026<\/a> <br><br>&#127464;&#127475; Chinese qualifier Bai Zhuoxuan pulls off a stunning upset, edging former world No.11 Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-4, 2-6, 7-6 (12-10) &#128079;&#128293;<br><br>Next challenge: World No.1 Aryna <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Sabalenka?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>#Sabalenka<\/a> on Rod Laver Arena &#127775;&#128165;<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/tennis?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>#tennis<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/V3BTO5BfMv\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/V3BTO5BfMv<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CGTN Sports Scene (@CGTNSportsScene) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CGTNSportsScene\/status\/2013039880503431470?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>January 19, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Head-to-Head History<\/h2><p>Aryna Sabalenka and Zhuoxuan Bai do not have a head-to-head record yet.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Final Score Prediction &amp; Set-Betting Prop<\/h2><p><strong>Projection:<\/strong> Aryna Sabalenka wins in straight sets.<\/p><p><strong>Higher Variance Set Prop: Under 16.5 Total Games (-112, FanDuel).<\/strong> Given that this is a higher-variance bet, it is recommended to use this as a secondary option.&nbsp;<\/p><p>\n\n\n            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTable\" >\n                                                            <div 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Must be 21+ in most jurisdictions, but 18+ in DC, KY, and WY. Offer is valid only in eligible regulated states\/jurisdictions and not available in AR; void where prohibited. First online real-money wager only; cashed-out or bonus-funded bets are excluded.            <\/div>\n                                                    <\/div>\n            \n\n\n\n<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How can I watch Aryna Sabalenka vs. Zhuoxuan Bai on TV and live stream?<\/h2><p>TV broadcasters for the 2026 Australian Open include ESPN and ESPN2 in the United States, TNT Sports in the United Kingdom, Channel 9 Network in Australia, Eurosport across Europe, beIN Sports in the Middle East and North Africa, and TSN\/RDS in Canada, with streaming on 9NOW for Australian viewers.<\/p><p>Streaming options vary by region and often require subscriptions. Viewers can access full coverage via ESPN+ (USA, all courts\/multiview), Discovery+ (UK\/Europe), Stan Sport (Australia), and global platforms like Tennis TV for select ATP matches on devices worldwide.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td>Match<\/td><td>Aryna Sabalenka vs. Zhuoxuan Bai<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Date<\/td><td>January 21, 2026<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Start Time<\/td><td>Not before 11:30 AM AEDT<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Tournament<\/td><td>Australian Open 2026<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Event Type<\/td><td>Women&rsquo;s Singles (Grand Slam)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Surface<\/td><td>Outdoor Hard Court<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Court<\/td><td>Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne Park, Melbourne, Australia<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>TV Coverage<\/td><td>ESPN, ESPN2, Tennis Channel (US), TNT Sports (UK), Channel 9 Network (Australia), Eurosport (Europe), beIN Sports (MENA), TSN\/RDS (Canada), 9NOW<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Live Streaming<\/td><td>ESPN+ (US, all courts), Discovery+ (UK\/Europe), Stan Sport (Australia), Tennis TV (global ATP select)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><p><em>Mandatory Image Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images<\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"mm-layout mm-layout-type-global mm-layout-slot4\">\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Aryna Sabalenka vs. Zhuoxuan Bai Prediction, Odds, Best Bets &#038; How to Watch<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":648594,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"page-betting.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_mux_skip_reasons":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[4770,6290],"tags":[11046,4952,4950,11069],"class_list":["post-648593","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tennis","category-tennis-predictions","tag-2026-australian-open","tag-aryna-sabalenka","tag-wta","tag-zhuoxuan-bai"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Aryna Sabalenka vs. Zhuoxuan Bai Prediction, Odds &amp; Best Bets (Australian Open 2026, Round of 64, January 21)&nbsp; - The Playoffs<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Our Aryna Sabalenka vs. Zhuoxuan Bai prediction breaks down the latest tennis odds, moneyline, game handicap and total games markets, plus our Best Bet, set-score props and how to watch the match.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/tennis-aryna-sabalenka-vs-zhuoxuan-bai-prediction-odds\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Aryna Sabalenka vs. Zhuoxuan Bai Prediction, Odds &amp; 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