{"id":648554,"date":"2026-01-20T16:01:07","date_gmt":"2026-01-20T15:01:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/?p=648554"},"modified":"2026-01-20T16:09:17","modified_gmt":"2026-01-20T15:09:17","slug":"tennis-alex-de-minaur-vs-hamad-medjedovic-prediction-odds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/tennis-alex-de-minaur-vs-hamad-medjedovic-prediction-odds\/","title":{"rendered":"Alex de Minaur vs. Hamad Medjedovic Prediction, Odds &#038; Best Bets (Australian Open 2026, Round of 64, January 21)\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Sixth seed Alex de Minaur meets Hamad Medjedovic in the second round of the 2026 Australian Open in Melbourne, and the market has this priced as a clear favorite spot for the Aussie. De Minaur comes in as world No. 6 after a straight-sets win over lucky loser Mackenzie McDonald, while Medjedovic advanced with a four-set win over Mariano Navone.<\/p><p>This matchup is baseline pressure vs. power-serving variance, and de Minaur&rsquo;s 2025 run fits it cleanly. He finished the year with 309 aces, won 73% of first-serve points, and posted an elite 32% first-serve return points won, while converting 43% of break points across 597 chances. Medjedovic, currently ranked No. 90, is dangerous on serve himself (256 aces, 73% first-serve points won), but his return and conversion numbers trail behind, with 28% first-serve return points won and 36% break conversion.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Just listen to that crowd &#128266;&#127462;&#127482;<br><br>Home favorite Alex de Minaur is through to the second round after taking out McDonald 6-2, 6-2, 6-3 &#129761;<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/AO26?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>#AO26<\/a>  <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Otmodm8Ekg\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/Otmodm8Ekg<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Tennis Channel (@TennisChannel) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TennisChannel\/status\/2013110849280380970?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>January 19, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>In best-of-five, the difference is likely to appear as rallies extend and return games pressure. Medjedovic can create hold streaks if his first serve stays hot, but he&rsquo;s also coming off a four-set match in Round 1. If de Minaur controls the neutral rallies and keeps forcing Medjedovic to hit through the court repeatedly, this one should tilt toward a comfortable win rather than a marathon. <\/p><p>For today&rsquo;s tennis picks, here&rsquo;s how we&rsquo;re betting on Alex de Minaur vs. Hamad Medjedovic today, including our Best Bet, supporting angles, and a set-score prop for bigger prices.<\/p><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Tournament &amp; Round: <\/strong>Australian Open, Second Round (R64)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Surface: <\/strong>Outdoor Hard Court<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Format: <\/strong>Best of Five Sets<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Date &amp; Start Time: <\/strong>January 21, Not before 7:00 PM AEDT Local Time&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Court:<\/strong> John Cain Arena, Melbourne, Australia<\/li>\n<\/ul><p><strong>Best Bet: <\/strong>Alex de Minaur -6.5 Games (-126, <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-FanDuel-sports-us-en\" rel=\"nofollow noindex noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"FanDuel (opens in a new tab)\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>FanDuel<\/a>)<\/p><p><strong>Book: <\/strong>Best price at <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-FanDuel-sports-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>FanDuel<\/a><\/p><p>Our best bet for Alex de Minaur vs. Hamad Medjedovic is Alex de Minaur -6.5 Games (-126, <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-FanDuel-sports-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>FanDuel<\/a>).<\/p><p>\n\n\n            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTable\" >\n                                                            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock\">\n                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock-item 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  <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableBonus-content-main\">\n                        <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableBonus-content-main-value\">$150<\/div>\n                        <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableBonus-content-main-text hide-on-mobile\">\n                                                            Welcome offer                                                    <\/div>\n                        <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableBonus-content-main-text MvpBookmakerTableBonus-content-main-text--leftAligned MvpBookmakerTableBonus-content-main-text--leftAligned--ltr hide-on-tablet hide-on-desktop\">\n                                                            Bet $5 & Get $150 in Bonus Bets                                                    <\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/a>\n                                <\/div>\n                                        <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock-separator 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class=\"bonus-code__content__copied-text\">\n                        COPIED                    <\/div>\n                    <div\n                        class=\"bonus-code__content__value\"\n                    >\n                                                                        <span  class=\"first-half\">\n                        F                    <\/span>\n                                    <span  class=\"first-half\">\n                        A                    <\/span>\n                                    <span  class=\"first-half\">\n                        N                    <\/span>\n                                    <span >\n                        D                    <\/span>\n                                    <span >\n                        U                    <\/span>\n                                    <span >\n                        V                    <\/span>\n                                    <span >\n                        I                    <\/span>\n                                    <span >\n                        P                    <\/span>\n                                                            <\/div>\n                                    <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                                                    <a rel=\"nofollow\"\n                        target=\"_blank\"\n                        href=\"\"\n                        class=\"MvpBookmakerTableCtaAndCode-top-cta\"\n                        data-cta-trk='{\"ctaBrand\":\"FanDuel\",\"ctaType\":\"Brand block\",\"ctaActivity\":\"sports\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>\n                        <span>Claim now<\/span>\n                        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/mvp\/assets\/img\/bookmaker_table\/right-arrow-white.svg\" alt=\"arrow\" class=\"--ltr\" \/>\n                    <\/a>\n                <\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n                                                                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTable-separator\"><\/div>\n            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTANDC\">\n                New customers only. Must be 21+ in most jurisdictions, but 18+ in DC, KY, and WY. Offer is valid only in eligible regulated states\/jurisdictions and not available in AR; void where prohibited. First online real-money wager only; cashed-out or bonus-funded bets are excluded.            <\/div>\n                                                    <\/div>\n            \n\n\n\n<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Alex de Minaur vs. Hamad Medjedovic Odds<\/h2><p>Given below are the latest odds for Alex de Minaur vs. Hamad Medjedovic from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap, and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Market<\/strong><\/td><td><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-FanDuel-sports-us-en\" rel=\"nofollow noindex noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"FanDuel (opens in a new tab)\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>FanDuel<\/a><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-betmgm-sportsbetting-us-en\" rel=\"nofollow noindex noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"BetMGM (opens in a new tab)\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>BetMGM<\/a><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Moneyline&nbsp;<\/td><td>de Minaur -630 \/ Medjedovic +450<\/td><td>de Minaur -650 \/ Medjedovic +425<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Game Handicap<\/td><td>de Minaur -6.5 -126 \/ Medjedovic +6.5 -108<\/td><td>de Minaur -6.5 -111 \/ Medjedovic +6.5 -118<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Total Games<\/td><td>Over 33.5 -120 \/ Under 33.5 -110<\/td><td>Over 34.5 -118 \/ Under 34.5 -111<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Set Betting<\/td><td>de Minaur 3-0 +100 \/ Medjedovic 3-0 +1300<\/td><td>de Minaur 3-0 +105 \/ Medjedovic 3-0 +1800<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Total Sets<\/td><td>Over 3.5 -112 \/ Under 3.5 -118<\/td><td>Over 3.5 -122 \/ Under 3.5 -110<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Alex de Minaur vs. Hamad Medjedovic Prediction &amp; Picks<\/h2><p><strong>Our Pick: Alex de Minaur -6.5 Games (-126, FanDuel)<\/strong><\/p><p>The moneyline is playable only in parlays, but from a pricing perspective, it doesn&rsquo;t offer standalone efficiency at -630. The sharper way to approach this matchup is through the handicap because the edge is more about how the Aussie can force return games.<\/p><p>De Minaur&rsquo;s return stats are the cleanest indicator in this spot. And once rallies start, he&rsquo;s far more likely to win the extra-ball exchanges that decide whether this becomes a tight four-setter or a match that quietly ends.<\/p><p>Medjedovic&rsquo;s serve is legitimate, and the reason this handicap isn&rsquo;t risk-free is that he can create pockets of hold stability. He already had multiple retirements last season, and he&rsquo;s coming off a four-set match in Round 1. Against a grinder like de Minaur, physical durability and concentration matter almost as much as raw power.<\/p><p>\n\n\n            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTable\" >\n                                                            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock\">\n                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock-item MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock-item--flex2\">\n                                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableLogo\" style=\"background-color: #1493ff\">\n                <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/mm-business-data\/images\/brands\/9b4dabf72537-500-FanDuel.jpeg\" alt=\"FanDuel\">\n            <\/div>\n                                            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTitleAndRate\">\n                <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTitleAndRate-title\">\n                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTitleAndRate-title-text\">\n                        FanDuel                    <\/div>\n          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           <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTablePros-item-text\">High total bonus ceiling<\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n                                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTablePros-item\">\n                        <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTablePros-item-check\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/mvp\/assets\/img\/bookmaker_table\/check.svg\" alt=\"check\" \/><\/div>\n                        <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTablePros-item-text\">Daily second-chance bet protection<\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n                                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTablePros-item\">\n                        <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTablePros-item-check\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/mvp\/assets\/img\/bookmaker_table\/check.svg\" alt=\"check\" \/><\/div>\n                        <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTablePros-item-text\">No promo code required<\/div>\n                    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                                <span >\n                        U                    <\/span>\n                                    <span >\n                        V                    <\/span>\n                                    <span >\n                        I                    <\/span>\n                                    <span >\n                        P                    <\/span>\n                                                            <\/div>\n                                    <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                                                    <a rel=\"nofollow\"\n                        target=\"_blank\"\n                        href=\"\"\n                        class=\"MvpBookmakerTableCtaAndCode-top-cta\"\n                        data-cta-trk='{\"ctaBrand\":\"FanDuel\",\"ctaType\":\"Brand block\",\"ctaActivity\":\"sports\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>\n                        <span>Claim now<\/span>\n                        <img decoding=\"async\" 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Must be 21+ in most jurisdictions, but 18+ in DC, KY, and WY. Offer is valid only in eligible regulated states\/jurisdictions and not available in AR; void where prohibited. First online real-money wager only; cashed-out or bonus-funded bets are excluded.            <\/div>\n                                                    <\/div>\n            \n\n\n\n<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Alex de Minaur Recent Form<\/h2><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Beijing &ndash; Semifinal&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Shanghai Masters &ndash; Quarterfinal<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Vienna &ndash; Semifinal<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Paris Masters &ndash; Quarterfinal<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>ATP Finals &ndash; Group Stage<\/li>\n<\/ul><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">de Minaur d. McDonald 6-2 6-2 6-3 at the Australian Open<br><br>Great start for Alex<br><br>The #1 Australian was showing off in front of his home crowd.<br><br>Moving lightning quick around the court and looking determined to make another deep run. <br><br>Last year&rsquo;s Quarterfinalist looks sharp.<br><br>&#127462;&#127482;&#128520; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/01cBDlSdph\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/01cBDlSdph<\/a><\/p>&mdash; The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheTennisLetter\/status\/2013109306644693001?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>January 19, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Hamad Medjedovic Recent Form<\/h2><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Shanghai Masters &ndash; R128 (Retired)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Almaty &ndash; R32<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Vienna &ndash; R32<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Paris Masters &ndash; Qualifiers&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Auckland &ndash; R16<\/li>\n<\/ul><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Hamad Scientist<br><br>I'm sticking to my guns. I've been saying Hamad Medjedovic has incredible potential and I'm not changing my story now.<br><br>Despite a cavalcade of injuries and conditioning questions, the Serbian has the weapons to challenge the top guys.<br><br>Can he do it consistently? <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/KLKsKUwoXT\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/KLKsKUwoXT<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Tick Tock Tennis (@TickTockTennis) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TickTockTennis\/status\/2013095167687803357?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>January 19, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Head-to-Head History<\/h2><p>Alex de Minaur and Hamad Medjedovic do not have a head-to-head yet.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Final Score Prediction &amp; Set-Betting Prop<\/h2><p><strong>Projection:<\/strong> Alex de Minaur wins in four sets.<\/p><p><strong>Higher Variance Set Prop: Alex de Minaur 3-0 (+100, FanDuel).<\/strong> Given that this is a higher-variance bet, it is better to use this as a secondary option and not the primary option.&nbsp;<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How can I watch Alex de Minaur vs. Hamad Medjedovic on TV and live stream?<\/h2><p>TV broadcasters for the 2026 Australian Open include ESPN and ESPN2 in the United States, TNT Sports in the United Kingdom, Channel 9 Network in Australia, Eurosport across Europe, beIN Sports in the Middle East and North Africa, and TSN\/RDS in Canada, with streaming on 9NOW for Australian viewers.<\/p><p>Streaming options vary by region and often require subscriptions. Viewers can access full coverage via ESPN+ (USA, all courts\/multiview), Discovery+ (UK\/Europe), Stan Sport (Australia), and global platforms like Tennis TV for select ATP matches on devices worldwide.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td>Match<\/td><td>Alex de Minaur vs. Hamad Medjedovic<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Date<\/td><td>January 21, 2026<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Start Time<\/td><td>Not before 7:00 PM AEDT<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Tournament<\/td><td>Australian Open 2026<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Event Type<\/td><td>Men&rsquo;s Singles (Grand Slam)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Surface<\/td><td>Outdoor Hard Court<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Court<\/td><td>John Cain Arena, Melbourne Park, Melbourne, Australia<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>TV Coverage<\/td><td>ESPN, ESPN2, Tennis Channel (US), TNT Sports (UK), Channel 9 Network (Australia), Eurosport (Europe), beIN Sports (MENA), TSN\/RDS (Canada), 9NOW<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Live Streaming<\/td><td>ESPN+ (US, all courts), Discovery+ (UK\/Europe), Stan Sport (Australia), Tennis TV (global ATP select)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><p><em>Mandatory Image Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images<\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"mm-layout mm-layout-type-global mm-layout-slot4\">\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Alex de Minaur vs. Hamad Medjedovic Prediction, Odds, Best Bets &#038; How to Watch<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":648555,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"page-betting.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_mux_skip_reasons":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[4770,6290],"tags":[11046,5688,4917,5877],"class_list":["post-648554","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tennis","category-tennis-predictions","tag-2026-australian-open","tag-alex-de-minaur","tag-atp","tag-hamad-medjedovic"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Alex de Minaur vs. Hamad Medjedovic Prediction, Odds &amp; Best Bets (Australian Open 2026, Round of 64, January 21)&nbsp; - The Playoffs<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Our Alex de Minaur vs. Hamad Medjedovic prediction breaks down the latest tennis odds, moneyline, game handicap and total games markets, plus our Best Bet, set-score props and how to watch the match.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/tennis-alex-de-minaur-vs-hamad-medjedovic-prediction-odds\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Alex de Minaur vs. Hamad Medjedovic Prediction, Odds &amp; 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