{"id":647929,"date":"2026-01-14T20:11:10","date_gmt":"2026-01-14T19:11:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/?p=647929"},"modified":"2026-01-14T20:11:21","modified_gmt":"2026-01-14T19:11:21","slug":"ben-shelton-vs-sebastian-baez-prediction-odds-best-bets-asb-classic-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ben-shelton-vs-sebastian-baez-prediction-odds-best-bets-asb-classic-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Ben Shelton vs. Sebastian Baez Prediction, Odds and Best Bets (ASB Classic 2026, January 15)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Two of the top eight seeds will go to war in the 2026 ASB Classic quarterfinals in Auckland. American powerhouse Ben Shelton aims to dismantle the steely resolve of World No. 39 Sebastian Baez in his attempt to win a third career hard court trophy. Can the top seed carry some much needed momentum into the upcoming Australian Open in Melbourne Park?<\/p><p>Ben Shelton hit 75% first serves and slammed 12 aces in his opening victory against Francisco Comesana on Wednesday. The World No. 8 is a reigning Australian Open semifinalist, and has crucial points to defend later this month. At 23, Shelton is already a holder of three ATP championships &ndash; including a Masters-1000 at the National Bank Open. He is the leader of the pack from his nation on the men&rsquo;s side, and will be eyeing a return to the Top-5 in 2026.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Ben Shelton&rsquo;s decision to play in the first match of the day paid off, but he said his performance wasn&rsquo;t perfect.<br><br>&#128073; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/mN8i6TZSd4\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>https:\/\/t.co\/mN8i6TZSd4<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/4q9LxXUnZy\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/4q9LxXUnZy<\/a><\/p>&mdash; ASB Classic (@ASB_Classic) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ASB_Classic\/status\/2011260940793381252?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>January 14, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>Sebastian Baez is a former Top-20 sensation. Primarily a clay court enthusiast, the Argentine has carefully crafted an all-surface game over the years. Yet, he will be hoping to build on his current ranking of World No. 39 in the early months of the season. Baez turned pro in 2018 and went on to capture seven career titles &ndash; six of these have come on clay. The 25-year-old beat two Americans in Emilio Nava and Jenson Brooksby en route to this stage of the competition.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">How Sebastian Baez started the 2026 season<br><br>&#9989;6-4 6-4 vs. Munar<br>&#9989;4-6 7-5 6-4 vs. Fritz<br>&#9989;7-5 6-4 vs. Wawrinka<br>&#9989;4-6 7-5 6-3 vs. Nava<br>&#9989;7-5 6-0 vs. Brooksby <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/eybP5EY5j6\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/eybP5EY5j6<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Mario Boccardi (@boccardi_marioo) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/boccardi_marioo\/status\/2011334961861644415?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>January 14, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>According to the tennis betting odds, Ben Shelton is the <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-betmgm-sportsbetting-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>BetMGM<\/a> favorite to advance to the semifinals with pre-match odds of -360. Meanwhile, Sebastian Baez trails him on the money line at +280 via <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-betmgm-sportsbetting-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>BetMGM<\/a>. Here&rsquo;s how we are betting on the Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baez encounter in New Zealand, including our best bets, supporting odds and a set-score prop for bigger prices.<\/p><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Tournament &amp; Round: <\/strong>ASB Classic 2026, Quarterfinal<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Surface: <\/strong>Outdoor Hard Court<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Format: <\/strong>Men&rsquo;s Singles, Best of Three Sets<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Date &amp; Start Time: <\/strong>January 15, 13:00 Local (Approx.)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Court: <\/strong>Centre Court, ASB Tennis Centre<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Best Bet: <\/strong>Total Games &lt;21.5 @ +112 as per <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-betmgm-sportsbetting-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>BetMGM<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul><p>\n\n\n            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTable\" >\n                          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class=\"bonus-code__content__copied-text\">\n                        COPIED                    <\/div>\n                    <div\n                        class=\"bonus-code__content__value\"\n                    >\n                                                    TPOVIP                                            <\/div>\n                                            <svg viewBox=\"0 0 14 17\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\">\n                            <g clip-path=\"url(#clip0_402_5124)\">\n                                <path d=\"M8.45414 16.4999H2.30834C1.03528 16.4999 0 15.4601 0 14.1814V5.96833C0 4.68971 1.03528 3.6499 2.30834 3.6499H8.45414C9.7272 3.6499 10.7625 4.68971 10.7625 5.96833V14.1814C10.7625 15.4601 9.7272 16.4999 8.45414 16.4999ZM2.30834 4.38352C1.4389 4.38352 0.731644 5.09387 0.731644 5.96711V14.1802C0.731644 15.0535 1.4389 15.7638 2.30834 15.7638H8.45414C9.32358 15.7638 10.0308 15.0535 10.0308 14.1802V5.96833C10.0308 5.0951 9.32358 4.38475 8.45414 4.38475H2.30834V4.38352Z\" fill=\"#002699\"\/>\n                                <path d=\"M11.6905 13.3512C11.488 13.3512 11.3246 13.1871 11.3246 12.9838C11.3246 12.7805 11.488 12.6164 11.6905 12.6164C12.5599 12.6164 13.2672 11.906 13.2672 11.0328V2.81843C13.2672 1.94519 12.5599 1.23484 11.6905 1.23484H5.54466C4.67523 1.23484 3.96797 1.94519 3.96797 2.81843C3.96797 3.02174 3.80457 3.18585 3.60215 3.18585C3.39973 3.18585 3.23633 3.02174 3.23633 2.81843C3.23633 1.5398 4.2716 0.5 5.54466 0.5H11.6905C12.9635 0.5 13.9988 1.5398 13.9988 2.81843V11.0315C13.9988 12.3102 12.9635 13.35 11.6905 13.35V13.3512Z\" fill=\"#002699\"\/>\n                            <\/g>\n                        <\/svg>\n                                    <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                                                    <a rel=\"nofollow\"\n                        target=\"_blank\"\n                        href=\"\"\n                        class=\"MvpBookmakerTableCtaAndCode-top-cta\"\n                        data-cta-trk='{\"ctaBrand\":\"BetMGM\",\"ctaType\":\"Brand block\",\"ctaActivity\":\"sports\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>\n                        <span>Claim now<\/span>\n                        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/mvp\/assets\/img\/bookmaker_table\/right-arrow-white.svg\" alt=\"arrow\" class=\"--ltr\" \/>\n                    <\/a>\n                <\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n                                                                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTable-separator\"><\/div>\n            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTANDC\">\n                21+. 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We are looking at the match money line, game handicap and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.<\/p><p>\n\n\n            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTable\" >\n                                                            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock\">\n                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock-item MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock-item--flex2\">\n                                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableLogo\" style=\"background-color: #1493ff\">\n                <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/mm-business-data\/images\/brands\/9b4dabf72537-500-FanDuel.jpeg\" alt=\"FanDuel\">\n            <\/div>\n                                            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTitleAndRate\">\n                <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTitleAndRate-title\">\n                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTitleAndRate-title-text\">\n                        FanDuel                    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               <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTablePros-item-text\">High total bonus ceiling<\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n                                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTablePros-item\">\n                        <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTablePros-item-check\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/mvp\/assets\/img\/bookmaker_table\/check.svg\" alt=\"check\" \/><\/div>\n                        <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTablePros-item-text\">Daily second-chance bet protection<\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n                                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTablePros-item\">\n                        <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTablePros-item-check\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/mvp\/assets\/img\/bookmaker_table\/check.svg\" alt=\"check\" \/><\/div>\n                        <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTablePros-item-text\">No promo code required<\/div>\n                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Must be 21+ in most jurisdictions, but 18+ in DC, KY, and WY. Offer is valid only in eligible regulated states\/jurisdictions and not available in AR; void where prohibited. First online real-money wager only; cashed-out or bonus-funded bets are excluded.            <\/div>\n                                                    <\/div>\n            \n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Market<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>BetMGM<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>FanDuel<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Moneyline<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Shelton (-360), Baez (+280)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Shelton (-440), Baez (+340)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Game Handicap<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Shelton -3.5 (-130), Baez +3.5 (+102)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Shelton -3.5 (-144), Baez +3.5 (+108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Total Games<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">&gt;21.5 (-141), &lt;21.5 (+112)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">&gt;22.5 (-102), &lt;22.5 (-132)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Set Betting<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Shelton 2-0 (-130), Shelton 2-1 (+270)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Shelton 2-0 (-140), Shelton 2-1 (+250)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baez Predictions &amp; Picks<\/h2><p><strong>Our Pick: <\/strong>Total Games &lt;21.5 at +112<\/p><p>Considering his fierce first serve and powerful forehand, Ben Shelton is likely to win this duel in straight sets. The past record of these players at Auckland suggests that the American has the upper hand. When they stood across the net two years ago, Shelton needed a total of 20 games to conquer the Baez challenge.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"The Best Week Of Ben Shelton's Career So Far &#127942; | Toronto 2025 Highlights\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/de5Zf0ZeJMg?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>Unfortunately, the Argentine lacks the ability to gain free points from his service. This means that instead of capitalizing on Shelton&rsquo;s weak return, Baez is forced to engage in extended rallies that drain his energy over the course of three sets. In 2025, the World No. 39 served a mere 23 aces and won just 58% service points on hard courts. With a tour-level winning ratio of just 50%, the total games going under 21.5 automatically becomes a best bet.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ben Shelton Recent Form<\/h2><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Nitto ATP Finals 2025: Round Robin<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Paris Masters 2025: Quarterfinal<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Swiss Indoors 2025: Round of 16<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Shanghai Masters 2025: Round of 64<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>US Open 2025: Round of 32<\/li>\n<\/ul><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sebastian Baez Recent Form<\/h2><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Thrilling Taylor Fritz vs Sebastian Baez Highlights | United Cup 2026\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/zqY9v9v-dAc?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>United Cup 2026: Quarterfinal<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Paris Masters 2025: Round of 64<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Swiss Indoors 2025: Round of 32<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>European Open Brussels 2025: Round of 32<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Shanghai Masters 2025: Round of 64<\/li>\n<\/ul><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baez Head to Head Record<\/h2><p>Ben Shelton leads the head-to-head against Sebastian Baez by 1-0. They faced one another at the same event three years ago, when the American eased through in straight sets.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Shelton Faces Baez; Humbert, Isner &amp; More In Action | Auckland 2023 Day 2 Highlights\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/QqvSS4p1pks?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Event<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Round<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Winner<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Score<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2023 Auckland<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Round of 32&nbsp;<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Ben Shelton<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7-6(1) 6-1<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How to Watch Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baez at the ASB Classic 2026?<\/h2><p>The ASB Classic 2026 can be streamed live on various platforms and channels, depending on which part of the world you are watching from. This includes Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, DAZN, ESPN International, Canal+, SportKlub, Setanta Sports and SuperSport.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Date<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">January 15, 2026<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Time<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13:00 Local (Approx., Subject to Change)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Tournament<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">ASB Classic Auckland 2026, Quarterfinal<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Surface<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Outdoor Hard Court<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Court<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Centre Court, ASB Tennis Centre<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>TV\/Streaming<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, DAZN, ESPN International, Canal+, SportKlub, Setanta Sports and SuperSport.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><p><em>(Image Credits: Susan Mullane, Imagn Images)<\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"mm-layout mm-layout-type-global mm-layout-slot4\">\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Breaking down the odds market ahead of Shelton v Baez.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":647935,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"page-betting.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_mux_skip_reasons":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[4770,6290],"tags":[10952,4917,5069,5238,128,8273,4936],"class_list":["post-647929","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tennis","category-tennis-predictions","tag-asb-classic","tag-atp","tag-australian-open","tag-ben-shelton","tag-betting","tag-sebastian-baez","tag-tennis"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.8 - 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