{"id":647254,"date":"2026-01-24T07:48:46","date_gmt":"2026-01-24T06:48:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/?p=647254"},"modified":"2026-01-24T07:48:52","modified_gmt":"2026-01-24T06:48:52","slug":"ufc-324-ty-miller-vs-adam-fugitt-predictions-odds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-324-ty-miller-vs-adam-fugitt-predictions-odds\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC 324: Ty Miller vs Adam Fugitt \u2013 Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch"},"content":{"rendered":"

UFC 324’s first fight of the Paramount+ era features undefeated prospect Ty Miller making his UFC debut against veteran welterweight Adam Fugitt in a crucial early prelim clash. Miller earned his contract with a striking clinic on Dana White’s Contender Series in August 2025, while Fugitt looks to snap a brutal knockout loss and salvage his UFC career.<\/p>

Miller brings a perfect 6-0 record (1 NC) with 2 knockouts and a recent unanimous decision win on Contender Series. Fugitt enters with a 10-5 record but comes off a devastating first-round knockout loss. Miller is around a -450 <\/a>favorite with Fugitt at roughly +340<\/a> as a significant underdog.<\/p>

Here’s how we’re betting UFC 324: Miller vs Fugitt, including our UFC predictions<\/a>, best bet, key props and an expert final verdict.<\/p>

Mini Fight Info Strip<\/strong><\/h3>

Event:<\/strong> UFC 324 – T-Mobile Arena<\/p>

Weight class:<\/strong> Welterweight bout<\/p>

Fight length:<\/strong> 3-round early prelim fight<\/p>

Date & time:<\/strong> Saturday, January 24, 2026 – Early Prelims 5:30 p.m. ET, walk time ~05:45 p.m. ET<\/p>

Venue:<\/strong> T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada<\/p>

Best Bet Card<\/strong><\/h3>

Best Bet:<\/strong> Miller by KO\/TKO (-115)<\/p>

Book:<\/strong> Best price at FanDuel<\/a><\/p>

Our best bet for UFC 324 is Miller by KO\/TKO at -115.<\/a> Below, we’ll break down the matchup and key props.<\/p>

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Ty Miller vs Adam Fugitt Odds<\/strong><\/h2>

Here are the latest odds from top sportsbooks.<\/p>

Market<\/strong><\/td>BetMGM<\/strong><\/td>FanDuel<\/strong><\/td>Best Odds<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Moneyline<\/strong><\/td>Miller -450 \/ Fugitt +340<\/td>Miller -460 \/ Fugitt +360<\/td>Fugitt +360<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Fight Goes Distance<\/strong><\/td>+165<\/td>+168<\/td>+168<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Fight Doesn’t Go Distance<\/strong><\/td>-225<\/td>-215<\/td>-215 <\/a>(FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Total Rounds O\/U 2.5<\/strong><\/td>Over +100 \/ Under -135<\/td>O +124 \/ U -158<\/td>O +124<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Miller by KO\/TKO<\/strong><\/td>-125<\/td>-115<\/td>-115 <\/a>(FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Miller by Submission<\/strong><\/td>+1800<\/td>+1800<\/td>+1800 <\/a>(BetMGM\/FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Miller by Decision<\/strong><\/td>+225<\/td>+250<\/td>+250 <\/a>(FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Fugitt by KO\/TKO<\/strong><\/td>+850<\/td>+950<\/td>+950 <\/a>(FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Fugitt by Submission<\/strong><\/td>+1400<\/td>+1400<\/td>+1400<\/a> (BetMGM\/FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Fugitt by Decision<\/strong><\/td>+900<\/td>+850<\/td>+900 <\/a>(BetMGM)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>

Odds updated:<\/strong> January 23, 2026 – 12:50 PM ET. Lines may move before fight night, especially after weigh-ins or late injury news.<\/p>

Tale of the Tape – Key Stats to Know<\/strong><\/h2>

Before we get into the matchup, here’s a Tale of the Tape for Miller vs Fugitt.<\/p>

Tale Of The Tape<\/strong><\/td>Ty Miller<\/strong><\/td>Adam Fugitt<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Record<\/strong><\/td>6-0 (1 NC)<\/td>10-5<\/td><\/tr>
Age<\/strong><\/td>25<\/td>36<\/td><\/tr>
Height<\/strong><\/td>6’2″<\/td>6’1″<\/td><\/tr>
Reach<\/strong><\/td>77″<\/td>77″<\/td><\/tr>
Stance<\/strong><\/td>Orthodox<\/td>Southpaw<\/td><\/tr>
Sig. Strikes Landed<\/strong><\/td>5.60<\/td>4.59<\/td><\/tr>
Striking Accuracy<\/strong><\/td>34%<\/td>46%<\/td><\/tr>
Takedowns<\/strong><\/td>0.00<\/td>1.83<\/td><\/tr>
Takedown Defense<\/strong><\/td>50%<\/td>50%<\/td><\/tr>
Submission Avg.<\/strong><\/td>0.0<\/td>0.0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>

Miller holds advantages in youth and striking volume. Fugitt counters with better accuracy and offensive wrestling. Both have identical reach and identical takedown defense at 50%. The orthodox vs southpaw dynamic creates angles for both fighters. Miller’s high-volume approach contrasts with Fugitt’s more measured, technical striking game.<\/p>

Fighter Breakdown – Ty Miller Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>

Miller comes in with a perfect 6-0 record (1 NC) including a spectacular unanimous decision victory over Jimmy Drago on Dana White’s Contender Series in August 2025 to earn his UFC contract. The 25 year old from Albuquerque trains at Fit NHB.<\/p>

Strengths:<\/strong> Elite striking volume with relentless pace. Long 6’2″ frame with rangy style creates distance problems. High school wrestling background provides takedown defense and scrambling. Undefeated professional record builds confidence. Young and physically fresh at age 25. Never been past round two in his career, showing finishing instinct. <\/p>

Weaknesses:<\/strong> Making UFC debut with only 56 minutes of total cage time in seven fights. Low striking accuracy (34%) suggests inefficiency despite volume. Untested cardio beyond two rounds. Never faced opponent with Fugitt’s experience (15 professional fights). Can be overeager hunting finishes. First time facing southpaw wrestler in UFC.<\/p>

Betting Angles:<\/strong> Miller’s -450<\/a> moneyline is quite expensive. Miller by KO\/TKO (-115 <\/a>) offers the best value given his finishing rate and Fugitt’s recent knockout loss. Fight doesn’t go the distance appeals given both men’s finishing tendencies.<\/p>

Fighter Breakdown – Adam Fugitt Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>

Fugitt brings a 10-5 record but enters on a brutal first-round knockout loss to Islam Dulatov at UFC 318 in July 2025. The 36 year old from Oregon is a former X1 World Events champion and brown belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu with an extensive Muay Thai background.<\/p>

Strengths:<\/strong> Veteran UFC experience with five octagon appearances. Dangerous Muay Thai credentials with good leg kicking game. Strong wrestling base from high school (1.83 TD\/15min). Brown belt BJJ provides submission threat. Durable when not caught clean. Southpaw stance creates awkward angles.<\/p>

Weaknesses:<\/strong> Age 36 with significant mileage from 15 professional fights. Coming off devastating first-round knockout loss that raises major chin questions. UFC record of 2-3 with losses to Dulatov, Malott, and Morales. Poor takedown defense (50%) despite wrestling background. Hasn’t finished opponent since February 2023.<\/p>

Betting Angles:<\/strong> Fugitt’s +360<\/a> moneyline offers lottery ticket value for upset potential. Fugitt by Decision (+900<\/a>) is the most realistic path if his experience and grappling frustrate the debuting Miller. His wrestling could neutralize Miller’s striking volume if he commits to takedowns.<\/p>

Best Bets For Ty Miller vs Adam Fugitt<\/strong><\/h2>

Best Bet: Miller by KO\/TKO (-115<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

Miller’s explosive striking and Fugitt’s compromised chin create a perfect knockout scenario. Fugitt was brutally knocked out by Islam Dulatov in round one at UFC 318, showing clear defensive vulnerabilities. Miller finished two of six pre-UFC opponents and displayed devastating power on Contender Series. <\/p>

His high-volume approach should overwhelm Fugitt’s technical but lower-output game. While Miller’s accuracy is low, quantity eventually finds quality against aging chins. At -115<\/a> (implied 53.5%), we think this hits closer to 65%, offering solid value as the most likely finish method.<\/p>

Value Prop: Fight Doesn’t Go the Distance (-215<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

Neither fighter specializes in decisions. Miller has never seen round three in his career, finishing or being finished in all seven professional fights. Fugitt’s last three UFC appearances produced two first-round finishes (losses to Dulatov and Morales) and one decision (win over Quinlan). The finishing rates and Fugitt’s chin deterioration suggest someone gets stopped. At -215<\/a> (implied 68.3%), we think this finishes around 75% of the time, making it slight value for parlay building.<\/p>

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Longshot Flier: Fugitt by Decision (+900<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

Small stake only. Fugitt’s veteran experience and wrestling could frustrate the debuting Miller if he survives early onslaught. Miller has never been tested past two rounds, and Fugitt’s cardio proved superior in his decision win over Quinlan. If Fugitt can weather Miller’s early storm and implement a wrestling-heavy gameplan, his experience and BJJ brown belt could steal later rounds. Keep stakes at 0.25 units maximum.<\/p>

Prediction – Final Verdict<\/strong><\/h2>

Official pick:<\/strong> Ty Miller by KO\/TKO Round 2<\/p>

We are backing Miller to stop Fugitt midway through the second round. Miller’s youth, volume and power should overwhelm Fugitt’s technical striking in round one. We see the Albuquerque fighter push pace early, landing combinations that accumulate damage on Fugitt’s compromised chin. Fugitt should survive round one using veteran movement and clinch work, but the accumulated damage takes its toll. <\/p>

In round 2, Miller lands a body kick followed by punches that drop Fugitt, forcing a referee stoppage. This performance announces Miller as a legitimate welterweight prospect. For Fugitt, the loss likely marks the end of his UFC run at age 36 with a 2-4 octagon record.<\/p>

How to Bet UFC 324: Tips for This Card<\/strong><\/h2>

Beyond the Miller-Fugitt welterweight opener, UFC 324 offers several compelling matchups that create both opportunities and traps for bettors.<\/p>

Card Tips:<\/strong><\/h3>
    \n
  • This is the first fight of the Paramount+ era, adding extra pressure and spotlight. Expect both fighters to push for finishes to make history.<\/li>\n<\/ul>
      \n
    • Arnold Allen’s 18-month layoff is the longest of his UFC career. Ring rust could be a factor against an explosive finisher like Jean Silva.<\/li>\n<\/ul>
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      • Waldo Cortes-Acosta’s recent form (3 first-round finishes in last 4) indicates he’s peaking at the right time. His method-of-victory props offer better value than straight moneyline.<\/li>\n<\/ul>

        UFC 324 Fight Card<\/strong><\/h2>

        Main Card (9:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)<\/strong><\/p>

        Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett – Interim Lightweight Championship, 5 rounds<\/p>

        Sean O’Malley vs Song Yadong – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs Derrick Lewis – Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Natalia Silva vs Rose Namajunas – Women’s Flyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Arnold Allen vs Jean Silva – Featherweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Prelims (7:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)<\/strong><\/p>

        Umar Nurmagomedov vs Deiveson Figueiredo – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Ateba Gautier vs Andrey Pulyaev – Middleweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Nikita Krylov vs Modestas Bukauskas – Light Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Alex Perez vs Charles Johnson – Flyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Early Prelims (5:30 p.m. ET – Paramount+)<\/strong><\/p>

        Michael Johnson vs Alexander Hernandez – Lightweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Josh Hokit vs Denzel Freeman – Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Ty Miller vs Adam Fugitt – Welterweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

        Odds current as of January 23, 2026.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>

        (Image Credit: Stephen Lew – Imagn Images)<\/strong><\/p>

        <\/p>\n

        \n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        UFC 324’s first fight of the Paramount+ era features undefeated prospect Ty Miller making his UFC debut against veteran welterweight Adam Fugitt in a crucial early prelim clash. Miller earned his contract with a striking clinic on Dana White’s Contender Series in August 2025, while Fugitt looks to snap a brutal knockout loss and salvage […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":647266,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"page-betting.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_mux_skip_reasons":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[1783,4513],"tags":[8660,10989,10225],"class_list":["post-647254","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mma","category-ufc-predictions","tag-adam-fugitt","tag-ty-miller","tag-ufc-324"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nUFC 324: Ty Miller vs Adam Fugitt – Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch - The Playoffs<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Our UFC 324 Ty Miller vs Adam Fugitt prediction breaks down the latest odds, props, expert verdict and how to watch the fight.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-324-ty-miller-vs-adam-fugitt-predictions-odds\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"UFC 324: Ty Miller vs Adam Fugitt – Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch - The Playoffs\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Our UFC 324 Ty Miller vs Adam Fugitt prediction breaks down the latest odds, props, expert verdict and how to watch the fight.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-324-ty-miller-vs-adam-fugitt-predictions-odds\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Playoffs\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-01-24T07:48:52+01:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/USATSI_26670442_168415981_lowres-scaled.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1706\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Zaid Quraishi\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@ThePlayoffsEN\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@ThePlayoffsEN\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Zaid Quraishi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"7 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-324-ty-miller-vs-adam-fugitt-predictions-odds\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-324-ty-miller-vs-adam-fugitt-predictions-odds\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Zaid Quraishi\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/ccd5901be00586ad6098d47c91b67e29\"},\"headline\":\"UFC 324: Ty Miller vs Adam Fugitt \u2013 Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-01-24T06:48:46+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-01-24T06:48:52+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-324-ty-miller-vs-adam-fugitt-predictions-odds\/\"},\"wordCount\":1387,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-324-ty-miller-vs-adam-fugitt-predictions-odds\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/cdn.theplayoffs.news\/en\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/USATSI_26670442_168415981_lowres-scaled.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Adam Fugitt\",\"Ty Miller\",\"UFC 324\"],\"articleSection\":[\"MMA\",\"UFC Predictions\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"copyrightYear\":\"2026\",\"copyrightHolder\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/#organization\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-324-ty-miller-vs-adam-fugitt-predictions-odds\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-324-ty-miller-vs-adam-fugitt-predictions-odds\/\",\"name\":\"UFC 324: Ty Miller vs Adam Fugitt \u2013 Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch - 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