{"id":646849,"date":"2026-01-23T13:59:46","date_gmt":"2026-01-23T12:59:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/?p=646849"},"modified":"2026-01-23T13:59:50","modified_gmt":"2026-01-23T12:59:50","slug":"ufc-324-natalia-silva-vs-rose-namajunas-predictions-odds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-324-natalia-silva-vs-rose-namajunas-predictions-odds\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC 324: Natalia Silva vs Rose Namajunas \u2013 Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch"},"content":{"rendered":"

UFC 324 features a critical women’s flyweight bout between rising contender Natalia Silva and former two-time strawweight champion Rose Namajunas. Silva looks to extend her perfect 7-0 UFC record with wins over Alexa Grasso and Jessica Andrade, while Namajunas seeks a statement victory to earn her promised title shot. This 3-round main card fight could determine the next challenger for the 125-pound belt.<\/p>

Silva brings a 19-5-1 record and has won 12 straight fights across all promotions with recent decision victories over former champion Andrade. Namajunas enters with a 14-7 record and is 3-2 in her last five, most recently defeating Miranda Maverick. Silva is around a -425<\/a> favorite with Namajunas at roughly +310<\/a> as the underdog.<\/p>

Here’s how we’re betting UFC 324: Silva vs Namajunas, including our UFC predictions<\/a>, best bet, key props and an expert final verdict.<\/p>

Mini Fight Info Strip<\/strong><\/h3>

Event:<\/strong> UFC 324 – T-Mobile Arena<\/p>

Weight class:<\/strong> Women’s Flyweight bout<\/p>

Fight length:<\/strong> 3-round main card fight<\/p>

Date & time:<\/strong> Saturday, January 24, 2026 – Main card 9:00 p.m. ET, walk time ~09:30 p.m. ET<\/p>

Venue:<\/strong> T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada<\/p>

Best Bet Card<\/strong><\/h3>

Best Bet:<\/strong> Silva by Decision (-180)<\/p>

Book:<\/strong> Best price at FanDuel<\/a><\/p>

Our best bet for UFC 324 is Silva by decision at -180<\/a>. Below, we’ll break down the matchup and key props.<\/p>

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Natalia Silva vs Rose Namajunas Odds<\/strong><\/h2>

Here are the latest odds from top sportsbooks.<\/p>

Market<\/strong><\/td>BetMGM<\/strong><\/td>FanDuel<\/strong><\/td>Best Odds<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Moneyline<\/strong><\/td>Silva -425 \/ Namajunas +310<\/td>-440 \/ +310<\/td>Silva -425 <\/a>(BetMGM)<\/td><\/tr>
Fight Goes Distance<\/strong><\/td>-400<\/td>-400<\/td>-400<\/a> (FD \/ BetMGM)<\/td><\/tr>
Fight Doesn’t Go The Distance<\/strong><\/td>+260<\/td>+280<\/td>+280<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Silva by KO\/TKO<\/strong><\/td>+450<\/td>+550<\/td>+550<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Silva by Submission<\/strong><\/td>+1200<\/td>+1500<\/td>+1500<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Silva by Decision<\/strong><\/td>-225<\/td>-180<\/td>-180<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Namajunas by KO\/TKO<\/strong><\/td>+1800<\/td>+1800<\/td>+1800<\/a> (BetMGM\/FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Namajunas by Submission<\/strong><\/td>+2000<\/td>+1800<\/td>+1800<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr>
Namajunas by Decision<\/strong><\/td>+450<\/td>+480<\/td>+480<\/a> (FD)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>

Odds updated:<\/strong> January 22, 2026 – 12:00 AM ET. Lines may move before fight night, especially after weigh-ins or late injury news.<\/p>

Tale of the Tape – Key Stats to Know<\/strong><\/h2>

Before we get into the matchup, here’s a Tale of the Tape for Silva vs Namajunas.<\/p>

Tale Of The Tape<\/strong><\/td>Natalia Silva<\/strong><\/td>Rose Namajunas<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Record<\/strong><\/td>19-5-1<\/td>15-7<\/td><\/tr>
Age<\/strong><\/td>28<\/td>33<\/td><\/tr>
Height<\/strong><\/td>5’4″<\/td>5’5″<\/td><\/tr>
Weight<\/strong><\/td>125 lbs<\/td>125 lbs<\/td><\/tr>
Reach<\/strong><\/td>65″<\/td>65″<\/td><\/tr>
Stance<\/strong><\/td>Southpaw<\/td>Orthodox<\/td><\/tr>
Significant Strikes Landed <\/strong><\/td>5.04<\/td>3.60<\/td><\/tr>
Striking Accuracy <\/strong><\/td>46%<\/td>41%<\/td><\/tr>
Takedowns<\/strong><\/td>0.34<\/td>1.49<\/td><\/tr>
Takedown Defense<\/strong><\/td>92%<\/td>62%<\/td><\/tr>
Submission Average<\/strong><\/td>0.0<\/td>0.4<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>

Silva holds advantages in youth, and striking volume while Namajunas has superior submission average. Both fighters have identical reach and similar striking accuracy. The five-year age gap favors Silva’s pace and cardio. Neither has a significant physical edge, making technique and game planning very important.<\/p>

Fighter Breakdown – Natalia Silva Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>

Silva comes in with a 19-5-1 record including recent decision victories over Jessica Andrade and Viviane Araujo. The 28 year old Brazilian is ranked #2 in the women’s flyweight division and has been perfect in the UFC at 7-0.<\/p>

Strengths:<\/strong> Excellent speed and footwork with elite cardio for three rounds. Strong offensive wrestling (0.34 TD\/15min). Well-rounded striking with Taekwondo background. Never been stopped in 25 professional fights. Riding 12-fight winning streak.<\/p>

Weaknesses:<\/strong> Hasn’t faced a better grappler than Namajunas. Can be hit in extended exchanges. Hasn’t faced many elite strikers in UFC. First time fighting a former multi-time champion. <\/p>

Betting Angles:<\/strong> Silva’s -425 <\/a>moneyline is steep but reasonable given her form. Silva by Decision (-180<\/a>) is our primary play as Namajunas is durable. Fight goes the distance (-400<\/a>) also appeals given both fighters’ recent decision trends.<\/p>

Fighter Breakdown – Rose Namajunas Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>

Namajunas brings a 14-7 record with victories over Miranda Maverick, Tracy Cortez and Amanda Ribas in her flyweight run. The 33 year old former two-time UFC strawweight champion is one of the sport’s most technical strikers with championship experience.<\/p>

Strengths:<\/strong> Elite striking technique and fight IQ. Former two-time UFC champion with big-fight experience. Strong submission defense and grappling credentials. Excellent takedown defense. Five career submission wins show grappling threat. Mental toughness from wars with Weili Zhang and Joanna Jedrzejczyk.<\/p>

Weaknesses:<\/strong> Age 33 with significant mileage from title reigns. Moving up from strawweight means facing bigger, stronger opponents. Lost to elite flyweights like Erin Blanchfield and Manon Fiorot. Speed disadvantage against younger, quicker Silva.<\/p>

Betting Angles:<\/strong> Namajunas’ +310<\/a> moneyline offers value for her championship pedigree. Namajunas by Decision (+480<\/a>) is interesting if she can neutralize Silva’s speed with technique. Fight goes the distance is most likely outcome.<\/p>

Best Bets For Natalia Silva vs Rose Namajunas<\/strong><\/h2>

Best Bet: Silva by Decision (-180<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

Silva wins this fight, but Namajunas is far too durable and experienced to be finished. Rose has only been stopped twice in 21 UFC fights, both by slams or head kick knockouts from elite strikers. Silva’s game is built on volume, movement and cardio rather than one-punch power. We see Silva controlling range for three rounds, landing more strikes and mixing in occasional takedowns to win a clear 30-27 or 29-28 decision. At -180 (implied 64.3%), we think this hits around 70% of the time, offering solid value.<\/p>

Value Prop: Fight Goes the Distance (-400<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

Both fighters have gone to decision in their last five combined fights at a high rate. Silva has gone the distance in 4 of her last 5, while Namajunas has done so in all of her last 5 fights. Neither possesses devastating finishing power, and both have elite cardio. At -400 (implied 80%), we think this hits closer to 85%, making it a slight value play even at a steep price for parlay building.<\/p>

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Longshot Flier: Namajunas by Submission (+1800<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3>

Small stake only. While unlikely, Namajunas has five career submission wins and excellent grappling credentials. If Silva shoots reckless takedowns and Namajunas can secure position, a rear-naked choke or armbar is possible. Silva’s 63% takedown defense could create scrambles where Rose’s technique shines. At 18-1, this offers massive payout for a specific but plausible scenario. Keep stakes at 0.25 units maximum.<\/p>

Prediction – Final Verdict<\/strong><\/h2>

Official pick:<\/strong> Natalia Silva by Unanimous Decision <\/p>

We are backing Silva to win a unanimous decision. Her speed, youth and activity should overwhelm the veteran Namajunas over three rounds. Silva will most likely use her footwork to circle away from danger, land combinations, and mix in takedowns to control rounds. <\/p>

Namajunas will have moments with her technical striking, but Silva’s pace and cardio should prove too much. With a win over a former champion, this should solidify Silva’s claim and earns her the promised title shot against Valentina Shevchenko.<\/p>

How to Bet UFC 324: Tips for This Card<\/strong><\/h2>

Beyond the Silva-Namajunas bout, UFC 324 offers several compelling matchups that create both opportunities and traps for bettors.<\/p>

Card Tips:<\/strong><\/p>

    \n
  • Namajunas was promised a title shot with a win, adding extra motivation. Consider whether that pressure helps or hurts her performance.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Both fighters excel in decisions over finishes. Decision props and “Fight goes the distance” offer strong value across the women’s flyweight division.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Derrick Lewis vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta <\/strong>is pure finish hunting. Consider “Fight doesn’t go the distance” props heavily.<\/li>\n<\/ul>

    UFC 324 Fight Card<\/strong><\/h2>

    Main Card (9:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)<\/strong><\/p>

    Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett – Interim Lightweight Championship, 5 rounds<\/p>

    Sean O’Malley vs Song Yadong – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs Derrick Lewis – Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Natalia Silva vs Rose Namajunas – Women’s Flyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Arnold Allen vs Jean Silva – Featherweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Prelims (7:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)<\/strong><\/p>

    Umar Nurmagomedov vs Deiveson Figueiredo – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Ateba Gautier vs Andrey Pulyaev – Middleweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Nikita Krylov vs Modestas Bukauskas – Light Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Alex Perez vs Charles Johnson – Flyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Early Prelims (5:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)<\/strong><\/p>

    Michael Johnson vs Alexander Hernandez – Lightweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Josh Hokit vs Denzel Freeman – Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Ricky Turcios vs Cameron Smotherman – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Ty Miller vs Austen Fugitt – Welterweight bout, 3 rounds<\/p>

    Odds current as of January 22, 2026.<\/em><\/p>

    (Image Credit: Ron Chenoy – Imagn Images)<\/strong><\/p>\n

    \n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    UFC 324 features a critical women’s flyweight bout between rising contender Natalia Silva and former two-time strawweight champion Rose Namajunas. Silva looks to extend her perfect 7-0 UFC record with wins over Alexa Grasso and Jessica Andrade, while Namajunas seeks a statement victory to earn her promised title shot. This 3-round main card fight could […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":646875,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"page-betting.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_mux_skip_reasons":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[1783,4513],"tags":[6491,6218,10225],"class_list":["post-646849","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mma","category-ufc-predictions","tag-natalia-silva","tag-rose-namajunas","tag-ufc-324"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nUFC 324: Natalia Silva vs Rose Namajunas – Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch - The Playoffs<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Our UFC 324 Natalia Silva vs Rose Namajunas prediction breaks down the latest odds, props, expert verdict and how to watch the fight.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-324-natalia-silva-vs-rose-namajunas-predictions-odds\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"UFC 324: Natalia Silva vs Rose Namajunas – Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch - The Playoffs\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Our UFC 324 Natalia Silva vs Rose Namajunas prediction breaks down the latest odds, props, expert verdict and how to watch the fight.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-324-natalia-silva-vs-rose-namajunas-predictions-odds\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Playoffs\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-01-23T13:59:50+01:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/USATSI_23740195_168415981_lowres-scaled.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1707\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Zaid Quraishi\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@ThePlayoffsEN\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@ThePlayoffsEN\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Zaid Quraishi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"18 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-324-natalia-silva-vs-rose-namajunas-predictions-odds\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-324-natalia-silva-vs-rose-namajunas-predictions-odds\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Zaid Quraishi\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/ccd5901be00586ad6098d47c91b67e29\"},\"headline\":\"UFC 324: Natalia Silva vs Rose Namajunas \u2013 Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-01-23T12:59:46+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-01-23T12:59:50+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-324-natalia-silva-vs-rose-namajunas-predictions-odds\/\"},\"wordCount\":1283,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-324-natalia-silva-vs-rose-namajunas-predictions-odds\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/cdn.theplayoffs.news\/en\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/USATSI_23740195_168415981_lowres-scaled.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Natalia Silva\",\"Rose Namajunas\",\"UFC 324\"],\"articleSection\":[\"MMA\",\"UFC Predictions\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"copyrightYear\":\"2026\",\"copyrightHolder\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/#organization\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-324-natalia-silva-vs-rose-namajunas-predictions-odds\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-324-natalia-silva-vs-rose-namajunas-predictions-odds\/\",\"name\":\"UFC 324: Natalia Silva vs Rose Namajunas \u2013 Predictions, Odds, Best Bets & How To Watch - 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