{"id":642331,"date":"2025-11-15T13:02:02","date_gmt":"2025-11-15T12:02:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/?p=642331"},"modified":"2025-11-15T13:02:06","modified_gmt":"2025-11-15T12:02:06","slug":"carlos-alcaraz-vs-felix-auger-aliassime-head-to-head-prediction-and-betting-odds-for-nitto-atp-finals-2025-semifinal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/carlos-alcaraz-vs-felix-auger-aliassime-head-to-head-prediction-and-betting-odds-for-nitto-atp-finals-2025-semifinal\/","title":{"rendered":"Carlos Alcaraz vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime Head-to-Head, Prediction and Betting Odds for Nitto ATP Finals 2025 Semifinal"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Top seed and 2025&rsquo;s official year-end World No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz will take on the in-form Canadian Felix Auger-Aliassime in the semifinal of the 2025 Nitto ATP Finals in Turin. The Spanish sensation emerged unscathed with three wins in the group stage. Meanwhile, his 25-year-old opponent earned a crucial win over Alexander Zverev to enter this fixture. The winner is set to battle either Jannik Sinner or Alex de Minaur in Sunday&rsquo;s final. Continue reading to know more about the preview, prediction, stats and odds (via <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-betmgm-sportsbetting-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>BetMGM<\/a>) for this contest.<\/p><p>\n\n\n            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTable\" >\n                                                            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock\">\n                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock-item MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock-item--flex2\">\n                                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableLogo\" style=\"background-color: #000000\">\n                <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/mm-business-data\/images\/brands\/b6b0a2feb72c-500-BetMGM.jpg\" alt=\"BetMGM\">\n            <\/div>\n                                            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTitleAndRate\">\n  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                   <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n                                                                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTable-separator\"><\/div>\n            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTANDC\">\n                21+. 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This includes a win-loss record of 67-8 and a run of nine straight tournaments of reaching the final.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">This is what you could call a perfect night! &#129394; Semifinals in Turin and year-end No. 1! &#10084;&#65039;<br><br>&#128248; Getty <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/st6wxPSPYl\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/st6wxPSPYl<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Carlos Alcaraz (@carlosalcaraz) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/carlosalcaraz\/status\/1989095697552142748?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>November 13, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>At one point of time, Felix Auger-Aliassime had an outstanding 3-0 record against Alcaraz. However, the tables have turned over the past couple of years. When it comes to indoor hard courts, the World No. 8 is undefeated against Alcaraz. Auger-Aliassime has won three titles this year, and returned to form at the majors by entering his second US Open semifinal. The 25-year-old Canadian has a success rate around inching close to the 70% mark &ndash; which is why he remains an outer favorite to capture the crown this week.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">WHAT A WIN! <br><br>Felix Auger-Aliassime defeats two time champ and world #3 Alexander Zverev 6-4, 7-6(4) and play the semifinals tomorrow vs. Carlos Alcaraz. <br><br>32 tiebreaks won in 2025.<br><br>He will make his top 5 debut unless De Minaur d. Sinner tomorrow! <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/TLonHC1JU7\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/TLonHC1JU7<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Jos&eacute; Morgado (@josemorgado) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/josemorgado\/status\/1989451525190754550?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>November 14, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Head to Head Record<\/h2><p>Alcaraz leads the head-to-head against Auger-Aliassime by 4-3. Since 2023, the World No. 1 hasn&rsquo;t lost a single match against his Canadian counterpart.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | Basel 2022 Extended Highlights\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/kiSk2s_2gXU?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Event<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Round<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Winner<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Score<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2024 Paris Olympics<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Semifinal<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Carlos Alcaraz<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6-1 6-1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2024 Roland Garros<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Round of 16<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Carlos Alcaraz<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6-3 6-3 6-1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2024 Indian Wells<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Round of 32<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Carlos Alcaraz<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6-2 6-3<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2023 Indian Wells<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Quarterfinal<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Carlos Alcaraz<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6-4 6-4<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2022 Basel<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Semifinal<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Felix Auger-Aliassime<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6-3 6-2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2022 Davis Cup<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Round Robin<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Felix Auger-Aliassime<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6-7(3) 6-4 6-2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2021 US Open<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Quarterfinal<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Felix Auger-Aliassime<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6-3 3-1 RET.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Career Comparison<\/h2><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Carlos Alcaraz<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Category<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Felix Auger-Aliassime<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Current Ranking<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">276-64<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Career W-L Record<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">263-169<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">67-8<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">YTD W-L Record<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">48-22<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">24<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Career Titles<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">YTD Titles<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Grand Slams<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Nitto ATP Finals 2025 Prediction<\/h2><p>Alcaraz&rsquo;s indoor record against Auger-Aliassime may not give him a whole lot of optimism ahead of this clash. However, the two encounters were played when the Spaniard had just become World No. 1 for the first time, and he hadn&rsquo;t developed a fast-paced game yet. He will know how to trouble the Auger-Aliassime and introduce variety in order to enter the summit clash. We predict a battling win for Alcaraz.<\/p><p><strong>Prediction: <\/strong>Carlos Alcaraz in three sets.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Carlos Alcaraz | Round 4 | Extended French Open 2024 Highlights &#127467;&#127479;\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/ZPS0ca_150Y?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Nitto ATP Finals 2025 Betting Odds<\/h2><p>Alcaraz (2\/9) is the favorite and Auger-Aliassime (7\/2) is the underdog for the Nitto ATP Finals 2025 semifinal. According to the implied probability on the money line, the Spaniard has a 74% chance of entering the final. Take a look at the odds <strong>(as per <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-betmgm-sportsbetting-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>BetMGM<\/a>):<\/strong><\/p><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Carlos Alcaraz Win: <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-betmgm-sportsbetting-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>2\/9<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Felix Auger-Aliassime Win: <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-betmgm-sportsbetting-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>7\/2<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Down to the business end &#128188;<br><br>(1) Alcaraz vs Auger-Aliassime (8)<br>(2) Sinner vs De Minaur (7)<br><br>It's Semi-Finals day at the <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/NittoATPFinals?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>#NittoATPFinals<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/jU9psFNOTr\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/jU9psFNOTr<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Tennis TV (@TennisTV) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TennisTV\/status\/1989649492866650164?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>November 15, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Total Games &gt;22.5: <\/strong>Evens<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Auger-Aliassime +3.5 (Game Handicap): <\/strong>23\/20<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Total Sets &lt;2.5: <\/strong>4\/9<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Alcaraz -1.5 (Set Handicap): <\/strong>7\/10<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Alcaraz to Win 2-1: <\/strong>13\/5<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Total Number of Tiebreaks &gt;0.5: <\/strong>11\/10<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Total Games By Auger-Aliassime &gt;9.5: <\/strong>10\/13<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Total Games in Set-1 &amp; Set-2 &gt;9.5: <\/strong>4\/7<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Alcaraz to Win Set-1 By 6-4: <\/strong>27\/10<\/li>\n<\/ul><p><em>(According to <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-betmgm-sportsbetting-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>BetMGM<\/a>: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)<\/em><\/p><p><em>(Image Credits: Amber Searls, Imagn Images)<\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"mm-layout mm-layout-type-global mm-layout-slot4\">\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The ATP\u2019s headliner battles the Canadian No. 1 for a spot in the final.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":642334,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"page-betting.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_mux_skip_reasons":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[4770,6290],"tags":[4917,10504,128,4948,6167,10098,4936],"class_list":["post-642331","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tennis","category-tennis-predictions","tag-atp","tag-atp-finals-2025","tag-betting","tag-carlos-alcaraz","tag-felix-auger-aliassime","tag-nitto-atp-finals","tag-tennis"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.8 - 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