{"id":642050,"date":"2025-11-13T10:04:12","date_gmt":"2025-11-13T09:04:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/?p=642050"},"modified":"2025-11-13T12:26:36","modified_gmt":"2025-11-13T11:26:36","slug":"nfl-2025-26-week-11-afc-playoff-chances-colts-broncos-patriots-remain-top-contenders-in-afc-which-sees-very-little-shakeup","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/nfl-2025-26-week-11-afc-playoff-chances-colts-broncos-patriots-remain-top-contenders-in-afc-which-sees-very-little-shakeup\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL 2025\u201326 Week 11 AFC Playoff Chances \u2013 Colts, Broncos, and Patriots Remain Top Contenders in the AFC, Which Sees Very Little Shakeup"},"content":{"rendered":"

We have now reached that point of the NFL season where the upcoming games will carry a lot of importance as teams fight for the right to make the postseason. For some teams, the playoffs are nothing but a dream as they stand a next to nothing chance at progressing beyond the regular season. <\/p>

For several others, however, each game going forward will be crucial, not only in terms of their standings in the division but also in the conference, with wild-card spots up for grabs. <\/p>

Week 10<\/a> saw important wins by the Broncos, Colts, and Patriots, all teams that are currently at the top of their respective divisions. Meanwhile, the Bills, Jaguars, and Steelers suffered losses that could have huge ramifications ahead. <\/p>

So, without further ado, here are the playoff chances for the AFC teams ahead of Week 11 as per the official NFL website<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>

AFC Teams to Make the Playoffs As per Current Standings<\/h2>

Despite three teams having an 8-2 record, the New England Patriots are the only team with a 97% chance of making the playoffs, while the Broncos and Colts have a 92% chance each. <\/p>

The 6-3 Buffalo Bills are also in with an 89% chance, while the 7-3 Chargers are next with a 79% chance. To round off the 7 teams that could make the postseason if the season ended today, we have the 5-4 Jaguars (38%) and the 5-4 Steelers (36%). <\/p>

The Jaguars are holding on to the final spot for the playoffs as they are second in the AFC South, but have a better record or hold a tiebreaker over the teams still in contention. As for the Steelers, despite being atop the AFC North, they are being chased by the 4-5 Baltimore Ravens. <\/p>

The table below represents the AFC playoff picture if the season ended today. <\/strong><\/p>

Seed<\/th>Team<\/th>Record<\/th>Playoff Probability (Current)<\/th>Playoff Probability (Win)<\/th>Playoff Probability (Loss)<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
1<\/td>Indianapolis Colts<\/td>8-2<\/td>92%<\/td>Bye Week<\/td>Bye Week<\/td><\/tr>
2<\/td>Denver Broncos<\/td>8-2<\/td>92%<\/td>98%<\/td>88%<\/td><\/tr>
3<\/td>New England Patriots<\/td>8-2<\/td>97%<\/td>98%<\/td>90%<\/td><\/tr>
4<\/td>Pittsburgh Steelers <\/td>5-4<\/td>36%<\/td>43%<\/td>23%<\/td><\/tr>
5<\/td>Los Angeles Chargers<\/td>7-3<\/td>79%<\/td>90%<\/td>65%<\/td><\/tr>
6<\/td>Buffalo Bills<\/td>6-3<\/td>89%<\/td>92%<\/td>82%<\/td><\/tr>
7<\/td>Jacksonville Jaguars<\/td>5-4<\/td>38%<\/td>57%<\/td>26%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>
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A look at the playoff picture heading into Week 11 👀🏆 pic.twitter.com\/AdOA4k3Qux<\/a><\/p>— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) November 12, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote>