{"id":641463,"date":"2025-11-10T07:00:25","date_gmt":"2025-11-10T06:00:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/?p=641463"},"modified":"2025-11-10T07:00:30","modified_gmt":"2025-11-10T06:00:30","slug":"ufc-analyst-dismisses-islam-makhachev-hype-picks-jack-della-maddalena-to-pull-off-major-upset-at-ufc-322","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-analyst-dismisses-islam-makhachev-hype-picks-jack-della-maddalena-to-pull-off-major-upset-at-ufc-322\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Analyst Dismisses Islam Makhachev Hype, Picks Jack Della Maddalena To Pull Off Major Upset At UFC 322"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Picking against Islam Makhachev has become a losing bet in recent years. The Dagestani fighter has steamrolled through the lightweight division with his suffocating grappling and improved striking skills. He has defended his title multiple times and made elite fighters look average in the process. Most analysts and fans have learned to simply accept that Islam wins fights, no matter who stands across from him. But one respected voice in MMA isn&rsquo;t buying the hype for UFC 322, and his reasoning might actually make sense.<\/p><p>Kenny Florian has seen it all during his time in the sport as both a fighter and analyst. The former <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/mma\/\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>UFC<\/a> and PFL commentator knows what it takes to compete at the highest level. He&rsquo;s also experienced moving between four weight classes firsthand, starting his career at middleweight before eventually dropping down to featherweight. That unique perspective gives his analysis extra weight when discussing Islam Makhachev&rsquo;s jump up to welterweight to challenge Jack Della Maddalena for the belt at UFC 322.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kenny Florian Reveals The Size, Strength And Pressure Factor Against Islam Makhachev<\/h2><p>Florian isn&rsquo;t dismissing Makhachev&rsquo;s skills or accomplishments at lightweight. He acknowledges Islam could potentially smash JDM against the cage and rack up takedowns round after round. But he&rsquo;s puzzled by the odds makers treating this like another routine Makhachev victory. The 15-pound jump from lightweight to welterweight represents a massive difference that people seem to be overlooking completely.&nbsp;<\/p><p>Florian points out something interesting about the psychology of this matchup. Everyone has jumped on the Islam Makhachev train, which means the pressure sits squarely on his shoulders. JDM holds the belt and has nothing to lose. He can fight loose and free while Makhachev (<a href=\"http:\/\/ufcstats.com\/fighter-details\/275aca31f61ba28c\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>27-1<\/a>) carries expectations of continuing his dominance. That dynamic flip could play a major role when things get tough. Florian explained on his<strong> Anik &amp; Florian Podcast.<\/strong><\/p><p><strong><em>&ldquo;Moving around a 170-pound body in practice is way different than moving around a 170-pound body in a fight&hellip; The crazy thing about this is, everyone is on the Islam Makhachev train right now, but I feel like there&rsquo;s more pressure on Islam than there is JDM, and JDM is the guy who has the belt.&rdquo;&nbsp;<\/em><\/strong><\/p><blockquote class=\"instagram-media\" data-instgrm-captioned data-instgrm-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/p\/DQ2UHbQEn-g\/?utm_source=ig_embed&amp;utm_campaign=loading\" data-instgrm-version=\"14\" style=\" background:#FFF; border:0; border-radius:3px; box-shadow:0 0 1px 0 rgba(0,0,0,0.5),0 1px 10px 0 rgba(0,0,0,0.15); margin: 1px; max-width:540px; min-width:326px; padding:0; width:99.375%; width:-webkit-calc(100% - 2px); width:calc(100% - 2px);\"><div style=\"padding:16px;\"> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/p\/DQ2UHbQEn-g\/?utm_source=ig_embed&amp;utm_campaign=loading\" style=\" background:#FFFFFF; line-height:0; padding:0 0; text-align:center; text-decoration:none; width:100%;\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'> <div style=\" display: flex; flex-direction: row; align-items: center;\"> <div style=\"background-color: #F4F4F4; border-radius: 50%; flex-grow: 0; height: 40px; margin-right: 14px; width: 40px;\"><\/div> <div style=\"display: flex; flex-direction: column; flex-grow: 1; justify-content: center;\"> <div style=\" background-color: #F4F4F4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; margin-bottom: 6px; width: 100px;\"><\/div> <div style=\" background-color: #F4F4F4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; width: 60px;\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><div style=\"padding: 19% 0;\"><\/div> <div style=\"display:block; height:50px; margin:0 auto 12px; width:50px;\"><svg width=\"50px\" height=\"50px\" viewbox=\"0 0 60 60\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"https:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" xmlns:xlink=\"https:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\"><g stroke=\"none\" stroke-width=\"1\" fill=\"none\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\"><g transform=\"translate(-511.000000, -20.000000)\" fill=\"#000000\"><g><path d=\"M556.869,30.41 C554.814,30.41 553.148,32.076 553.148,34.131 C553.148,36.186 554.814,37.852 556.869,37.852 C558.924,37.852 560.59,36.186 560.59,34.131 C560.59,32.076 558.924,30.41 556.869,30.41 M541,60.657 C535.114,60.657 530.342,55.887 530.342,50 C530.342,44.114 535.114,39.342 541,39.342 C546.887,39.342 551.658,44.114 551.658,50 C551.658,55.887 546.887,60.657 541,60.657 M541,33.886 C532.1,33.886 524.886,41.1 524.886,50 C524.886,58.899 532.1,66.113 541,66.113 C549.9,66.113 557.115,58.899 557.115,50 C557.115,41.1 549.9,33.886 541,33.886 M565.378,62.101 C565.244,65.022 564.756,66.606 564.346,67.663 C563.803,69.06 563.154,70.057 562.106,71.106 C561.058,72.155 560.06,72.803 558.662,73.347 C557.607,73.757 556.021,74.244 553.102,74.378 C549.944,74.521 548.997,74.552 541,74.552 C533.003,74.552 532.056,74.521 528.898,74.378 C525.979,74.244 524.393,73.757 523.338,73.347 C521.94,72.803 520.942,72.155 519.894,71.106 C518.846,70.057 518.197,69.06 517.654,67.663 C517.244,66.606 516.755,65.022 516.623,62.101 C516.479,58.943 516.448,57.996 516.448,50 C516.448,42.003 516.479,41.056 516.623,37.899 C516.755,34.978 517.244,33.391 517.654,32.338 C518.197,30.938 518.846,29.942 519.894,28.894 C520.942,27.846 521.94,27.196 523.338,26.654 C524.393,26.244 525.979,25.756 528.898,25.623 C532.057,25.479 533.004,25.448 541,25.448 C548.997,25.448 549.943,25.479 553.102,25.623 C556.021,25.756 557.607,26.244 558.662,26.654 C560.06,27.196 561.058,27.846 562.106,28.894 C563.154,29.942 563.803,30.938 564.346,32.338 C564.756,33.391 565.244,34.978 565.378,37.899 C565.522,41.056 565.552,42.003 565.552,50 C565.552,57.996 565.522,58.943 565.378,62.101 M570.82,37.631 C570.674,34.438 570.167,32.258 569.425,30.349 C568.659,28.377 567.633,26.702 565.965,25.035 C564.297,23.368 562.623,22.342 560.652,21.575 C558.743,20.834 556.562,20.326 553.369,20.18 C550.169,20.033 549.148,20 541,20 C532.853,20 531.831,20.033 528.631,20.18 C525.438,20.326 523.257,20.834 521.349,21.575 C519.376,22.342 517.703,23.368 516.035,25.035 C514.368,26.702 513.342,28.377 512.574,30.349 C511.834,32.258 511.326,34.438 511.181,37.631 C511.035,40.831 511,41.851 511,50 C511,58.147 511.035,59.17 511.181,62.369 C511.326,65.562 511.834,67.743 512.574,69.651 C513.342,71.625 514.368,73.296 516.035,74.965 C517.703,76.634 519.376,77.658 521.349,78.425 C523.257,79.167 525.438,79.673 528.631,79.82 C531.831,79.965 532.853,80.001 541,80.001 C549.148,80.001 550.169,79.965 553.369,79.82 C556.562,79.673 558.743,79.167 560.652,78.425 C562.623,77.658 564.297,76.634 565.965,74.965 C567.633,73.296 568.659,71.625 569.425,69.651 C570.167,67.743 570.674,65.562 570.82,62.369 C570.966,59.17 571,58.147 571,50 C571,41.851 570.966,40.831 570.82,37.631\"><\/path><\/g><\/g><\/g><\/svg><\/div><div style=\"padding-top: 8px;\"> <div style=\" color:#3897f0; font-family:Arial,sans-serif; font-size:14px; font-style:normal; font-weight:550; line-height:18px;\">View this post on Instagram<\/div><\/div><div style=\"padding: 12.5% 0;\"><\/div> <div style=\"display: flex; flex-direction: row; margin-bottom: 14px; align-items: center;\"><div> <div style=\"background-color: #F4F4F4; border-radius: 50%; height: 12.5px; width: 12.5px; transform: translateX(0px) translateY(7px);\"><\/div> <div style=\"background-color: #F4F4F4; height: 12.5px; transform: rotate(-45deg) translateX(3px) translateY(1px); width: 12.5px; flex-grow: 0; margin-right: 14px; margin-left: 2px;\"><\/div> <div style=\"background-color: #F4F4F4; border-radius: 50%; height: 12.5px; width: 12.5px; transform: translateX(9px) translateY(-18px);\"><\/div><\/div><div style=\"margin-left: 8px;\"> <div style=\" background-color: #F4F4F4; border-radius: 50%; flex-grow: 0; height: 20px; width: 20px;\"><\/div> <div style=\" width: 0; height: 0; border-top: 2px solid transparent; border-left: 6px solid #f4f4f4; border-bottom: 2px solid transparent; transform: translateX(16px) translateY(-4px) rotate(30deg)\"><\/div><\/div><div style=\"margin-left: auto;\"> <div style=\" width: 0px; border-top: 8px solid #F4F4F4; border-right: 8px solid transparent; transform: translateY(16px);\"><\/div> <div style=\" background-color: #F4F4F4; flex-grow: 0; height: 12px; width: 16px; transform: translateY(-4px);\"><\/div> <div style=\" width: 0; height: 0; border-top: 8px solid #F4F4F4; border-left: 8px solid transparent; transform: translateY(-4px) translateX(8px);\"><\/div><\/div><\/div> <div style=\"display: flex; flex-direction: column; flex-grow: 1; justify-content: center; margin-bottom: 24px;\"> <div style=\" background-color: #F4F4F4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; margin-bottom: 6px; width: 224px;\"><\/div> <div style=\" background-color: #F4F4F4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; width: 144px;\"><\/div><\/div><\/a><p style=\" color:#c9c8cd; font-family:Arial,sans-serif; font-size:14px; line-height:17px; margin-bottom:0; margin-top:8px; overflow:hidden; padding:8px 0 7px; text-align:center; text-overflow:ellipsis; white-space:nowrap;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/p\/DQ2UHbQEn-g\/?utm_source=ig_embed&amp;utm_campaign=loading\" style=\" color:#c9c8cd; font-family:Arial,sans-serif; font-size:14px; font-style:normal; font-weight:normal; line-height:17px; text-decoration:none;\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>A post shared by MMA Junkie (@mmajunkie)<\/a><\/p><\/div><\/blockquote><script async src=\"\/\/www.instagram.com\/embed.js\"><\/script><p>That&rsquo;s the crux of his argument. Islam might feel strong in training against welterweights, but the cage brings different energy entirely. Dealing with that size disadvantage for the first time in a title fight adds layers of doubt and pressure. Moreover, the pressure that he is going in the fight with might hamper his performance.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why Jack Della Maddalena Has Real Advantages<\/h2><p>The analyst likes JDM&rsquo;s chances specifically because of the value in this spot. Della Maddalena brings natural welterweight size and strength that Islam has never dealt with before. His striking remains sharp and dangerous. If he can stuff enough takedowns and force Islam to stand with him, the Australian has serious knockout power to end the fight.<\/p><p>Florian&rsquo;s background gives him credibility on this subject. He fought at four different weight classes during his UFC career. He knows how much harder everything becomes when facing naturally bigger, stronger opponents. The strength difference isn&rsquo;t something you can simply overcome with technique alone when both fighters possess elite skills.<\/p><p>The fight happens this weekend at Madison Square Garden, and Florian is sticking with his upset pick. He believes JDM will stifle Makhachev enough to land significant damage and either finish the fight or win on the scorecards. It&rsquo;s a bold prediction that goes against popular opinion, but sometimes the best analysis comes from questioning what everyone else assumes is inevitable.<\/p><p><strong>(Image Credit: Gary A. Vasquez &ndash; Imagn Images)<\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"mm-layout mm-layout-type-post mm-layout-slot4\">\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Picking against Islam Makhachev has become a losing bet in recent years. The Dagestani fighter has steamrolled through the lightweight division with his suffocating grappling and improved striking skills. He has defended his title multiple times and made elite fighters look average in the process. Most analysts and fans have learned to simply accept that [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":641469,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_mux_skip_reasons":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[1783],"tags":[1821,2565,6807,8980],"class_list":["post-641463","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mma","tag-islam-makhachev","tag-jack-della-maddalena","tag-kenny-florian","tag-ufc-322"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>UFC Analyst Dismisses Islam Makhachev Hype, Picks Jack Della Maddalena To Pull Off Major Upset At UFC 322 - The Playoffs<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"While most experts are siding with Islam Makhachev, one analyst boldly predicts a stunning upset for Jack Della Maddalena.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-analyst-dismisses-islam-makhachev-hype-picks-jack-della-maddalena-to-pull-off-major-upset-at-ufc-322\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"UFC Analyst Dismisses Islam Makhachev Hype, Picks Jack Della Maddalena To Pull Off Major Upset At UFC 322 - The Playoffs\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"While most experts are siding with Islam Makhachev, one analyst boldly predicts a stunning upset for Jack Della Maddalena.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-analyst-dismisses-islam-makhachev-hype-picks-jack-della-maddalena-to-pull-off-major-upset-at-ufc-322\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Playoffs\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-11-10T07:00:30+01:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/UFC-Analyst-Dismisses-Islam-Makhachev-Hype-Picks-Jack-Della-Maddalena-To-Pull-Off-Major-Upset-At-UFC-322.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1607\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1081\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Zaid Quraishi\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@ThePlayoffsEN\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@ThePlayoffsEN\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Zaid Quraishi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-analyst-dismisses-islam-makhachev-hype-picks-jack-della-maddalena-to-pull-off-major-upset-at-ufc-322\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-analyst-dismisses-islam-makhachev-hype-picks-jack-della-maddalena-to-pull-off-major-upset-at-ufc-322\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Zaid Quraishi\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/ccd5901be00586ad6098d47c91b67e29\"},\"headline\":\"UFC Analyst Dismisses Islam Makhachev Hype, Picks Jack Della Maddalena To Pull Off Major Upset At UFC 322\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-11-10T06:00:25+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-11-10T06:00:30+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-analyst-dismisses-islam-makhachev-hype-picks-jack-della-maddalena-to-pull-off-major-upset-at-ufc-322\/\"},\"wordCount\":642,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-analyst-dismisses-islam-makhachev-hype-picks-jack-della-maddalena-to-pull-off-major-upset-at-ufc-322\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/cdn.theplayoffs.news\/en\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/UFC-Analyst-Dismisses-Islam-Makhachev-Hype-Picks-Jack-Della-Maddalena-To-Pull-Off-Major-Upset-At-UFC-322.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Islam Makhachev\",\"Jack Della Maddalena\",\"Kenny Florian\",\"UFC 322\"],\"articleSection\":[\"MMA\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"copyrightYear\":\"2025\",\"copyrightHolder\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/#organization\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-analyst-dismisses-islam-makhachev-hype-picks-jack-della-maddalena-to-pull-off-major-upset-at-ufc-322\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-analyst-dismisses-islam-makhachev-hype-picks-jack-della-maddalena-to-pull-off-major-upset-at-ufc-322\/\",\"name\":\"UFC Analyst Dismisses Islam Makhachev Hype, Picks Jack Della Maddalena To Pull Off Major Upset At UFC 322 - 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