{"id":635166,"date":"2025-10-11T18:36:37","date_gmt":"2025-10-11T17:36:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/?p=635166"},"modified":"2025-10-11T18:36:39","modified_gmt":"2025-10-11T17:36:39","slug":"ufc-rio-predictions-charles-oliveira-vs-mateusz-gamrot-preview-predictions-and-mma-betting-odds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-rio-predictions-charles-oliveira-vs-mateusz-gamrot-preview-predictions-and-mma-betting-odds\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Rio Predictions &#8211; Charles Oliveira vs Mateusz Gamrot Preview, Predictions And MMA Betting Odds"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The lightweight division has always been the UFC&rsquo;s most stacked weight class. This weekend in Rio de Janeiro, two of the division&rsquo;s elite warriors will collide with Charles Oliveira vs Mateusz Gamrot. The stakes couldn&rsquo;t be higher for both men. Oliveira needs to bounce back from a devastating loss, while Gamrot gets the chance to prove he belongs among the very best.&nbsp;<\/p><p>Oliveira knows what it&rsquo;s like to hold<a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/mma\/\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'> UFC<\/a> gold. The Brazilian submission wizard ruled the lightweight division before losing his title on the scales, then dropping a submission loss to Islam Makhachev. His last outing was brutal: a first-round knockout loss to Ilia Topuria.<\/p><p>Gamrot&rsquo;s last fight was against&nbsp; Ludovit Klein. He won the fight via decision. However, the level of opposition wasn&rsquo;t that high. Before that, he had lost a split decision to Dan Hooker. Now, he will look to announce his comeback in the top 5 of the division.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Charles Oliveira vs Mateusz Gamrot Preview<\/h2><p>Both these fighters stand at 5&rsquo;10&rdquo; tall and compete at 155 pounds. Oliveira holds a slight reach advantage with 74 inches compared to Gamrot&rsquo;s 70 inches. That extra length could matter when they&rsquo;re exchanging strikes. The Brazilian&rsquo;s record of 35-11 shows he&rsquo;s been through wars. Gamrot has a cleaner record of <a href=\"http:\/\/ufcstats.com\/fighter-details\/72db2a14ffa73ece\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>25-3 -1 NC<\/a>.<\/p><p>The striking statistics reveal closely matched fighters. Oliveira lands 3.41 significant strikes per minute with 55% accuracy. Gamrot isn&rsquo;t far behind at 3.35 strikes per minute with 51% accuracy. Where things get interesting is defense. Gamrot&rsquo;s 59% striking defense beats Oliveira&rsquo;s 48%, meaning the Polish fighter does better at avoiding damage. On the receiving end, Oliveira absorbs 3.26 strikes per minute while Gamrot takes 3.04.<\/p><p>The grappling stats paint a fascinating picture. Gamrot attempts an impressive 5.33 takedowns per fight compared to Oliveira&rsquo;s 2.23. However, Oliveira&rsquo;s real weapon isn&rsquo;t the takedown, it&rsquo;s what happens once the fight hits the mat. His submission average of 2.6 attempts per fight absolutely dwarfs Gamrot&rsquo;s 0.1. Gamrot wants top control and ground-and-pound. Oliveira hunts for necks and limbs. The takedown defense numbers also matter here. Gamrot stuffs 90% of takedown attempts while Oliveira stops just 56%. If Gamrot can put Oliveira on his back, things could get interesting.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Charles Oliveira vs Mateusz Gamrot MMA Betting Odds<\/h2><p>The bookmakers are having trouble choosing between these two fighters. According to <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-FanDuel-sports-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>FanDuel<\/a>, <strong>Mateusz Gamrot is sitting at a slight favourite of <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-FanDuel-sports-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>-120<\/a><\/strong>. Meanwhile, <strong>Charles Oliveira is a slight underdog at <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-FanDuel-sports-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>-106<\/a><\/strong>. That&rsquo;s incredibly tight pricing for a main event. The odds suggest this could genuinely go either way.&nbsp;<\/p><p>\n\n\n            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTable\" >\n                                                            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock\">\n                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock-item MvpBookmakerTableTopBlock-item--flex2\">\n                                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableLogo\" style=\"background-color: #1493ff\">\n                <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/mm-business-data\/images\/brands\/9b4dabf72537-500-FanDuel.jpeg\" alt=\"FanDuel\">\n            <\/div>\n                                            <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTitleAndRate\">\n                <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTitleAndRate-title\">\n                    <div class=\"MvpBookmakerTableTitleAndRate-title-text\">\n                        FanDuel                    <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n                <div 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Must be 21+ in most jurisdictions, but 18+ in DC, KY, and WY. Offer is valid only in eligible regulated states\/jurisdictions and not available in AR; void where prohibited. First online real-money wager only; cashed-out or bonus-funded bets are excluded.            <\/div>\n                                                    <\/div>\n            \n\n\n\n<\/p><p>The odds for the fight going the distance have also come out. The odds for the<strong>&nbsp;fight seeing the judges scorecards stand at<a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-FanDuel-sports-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>&nbsp;+182<\/a>.<\/strong>&nbsp;The probability of the&nbsp;<strong>fight ending before the final bell is higher and the odds (<a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-FanDuel-sports-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>-240<\/a>)&nbsp;<\/strong>reflect that.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Charles Oliveira vs Mateusz Gamrot Predictions And Picks<\/h2><p>This matchup comes down to one question: can Gamrot avoid Oliveira&rsquo;s submissions while implementing his wrestling? The Polish fighter&rsquo;s 90% takedown defense is elite, but he&rsquo;s never faced someone with Oliveira&rsquo;s opportunistic submission game. &lsquo;Do Bronx&rsquo; doesn&rsquo;t need to take you down, he can catch submissions from bottom position or during scrambles.<\/p><p>Fighting in Rio gives Oliveira an emotional boost that shouldn&rsquo;t be underestimated. Brazilian crowds are among the most passionate in combat sports. That energy could push Oliveira through difficult moments. But he didn&rsquo;t have enough time to recover fully from the Topuria knockout in June.<\/p><p>If we bet on the fight, we are going with<strong> Mateusz Gamrot to win via unanimous decision.<\/strong><\/p><p>(All odds taken from&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-FanDuel-sports-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>FanDuel<\/a>. Bet on the most up-to-date MMA odds, lines, and spreads with<a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-FanDuel-sports-us-en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>&nbsp;FanDuel<\/a>&nbsp;Sportsbook)<\/p><p><strong>(Image Credit: Sergei Belski &ndash; Imagn Images)<\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"mm-layout mm-layout-type-global mm-layout-slot4\">\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The lightweight division has always been the UFC&rsquo;s most stacked weight class. This weekend in Rio de Janeiro, two of the division&rsquo;s elite warriors will collide with Charles Oliveira vs Mateusz Gamrot. The stakes couldn&rsquo;t be higher for both men. Oliveira needs to bounce back from a devastating loss, while Gamrot gets the chance to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":635170,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"page-betting.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_mux_skip_reasons":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[1783,4513],"tags":[2581,3300,9113],"class_list":["post-635166","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mma","category-ufc-predictions","tag-charles-oliveira","tag-mateusz-gamrot","tag-ufc-rio"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>UFC Rio Predictions - Charles Oliveira vs Mateusz Gamrot Preview, Predictions And MMA Betting Odds - The Playoffs<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get to know the betting odds, predictions and picks for the upcoming Charles Oliveira vs Mateusz Gamrot fight at UFC Rio.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-rio-predictions-charles-oliveira-vs-mateusz-gamrot-preview-predictions-and-mma-betting-odds\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"UFC Rio Predictions - Charles Oliveira vs Mateusz Gamrot Preview, Predictions And MMA Betting Odds - The Playoffs\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Get to know the betting odds, predictions and picks for the upcoming Charles Oliveira vs Mateusz Gamrot fight at UFC Rio.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-rio-predictions-charles-oliveira-vs-mateusz-gamrot-preview-predictions-and-mma-betting-odds\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Playoffs\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-10-11T18:36:39+01:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Charles-Oliveira-vs-Mateusz-Gamrot-Preview-Predictions-And-MMA-Betting-Odds0A-scaled.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1708\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Zaid Quraishi\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@ThePlayoffsEN\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@ThePlayoffsEN\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Zaid Quraishi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-rio-predictions-charles-oliveira-vs-mateusz-gamrot-preview-predictions-and-mma-betting-odds\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/ufc-rio-predictions-charles-oliveira-vs-mateusz-gamrot-preview-predictions-and-mma-betting-odds\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Zaid Quraishi\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/ccd5901be00586ad6098d47c91b67e29\"},\"headline\":\"UFC Rio Predictions &#8211; 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Vancouver, BC, Canada; Charles Oliveira reacts following his TKO victory against Beneil Dariush during UFC 289 at Rogers Arena. 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