{"id":624772,"date":"2025-08-26T16:06:27","date_gmt":"2025-08-26T15:06:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/?p=624772"},"modified":"2025-08-26T16:06:36","modified_gmt":"2025-08-26T15:06:36","slug":"tommy-paul-vs-elmer-moller-h2h-preview-prediction-betting-odds-us-open-2025-round-1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/tommy-paul-vs-elmer-moller-h2h-preview-prediction-betting-odds-us-open-2025-round-1\/","title":{"rendered":"Tommy Paul vs. Elmer Moller Head-to-Head, Preview, Prediction, and Betting Odds for US Open 2025 Round &#8211; 1"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Fourteenth seed Tommy Paul will open his US Open 2025 campaign against unseeded Dane Elmer Moller. Paul has enjoyed a strong season, particularly in its early stages. The American reached the semifinals in Adelaide before pushing into the quarterfinals at the Australian Open, where he fell in four sets to Alexander Zverev. He added semifinal runs in Dallas, Houston, and Rome. But his defining moment came at Roland Garros, a quarterfinal breakthrough that made him the first American man in 23 years to reach that stage in Paris. Although Carlos Alcaraz ended that run in straight sets, Paul&rsquo;s surge lifted him to a career-high ranking of No. 8.&nbsp;<\/p><p>Since then, however, he has struggled, failing to advance past the second round of any tournament and even withdrawing from London as the defending champion, a dip that saw him slide to world No. 14. Still, his serve remains a weapon, with 226 aces, 72% first-serve points won, and a 45% break point conversion across 339 opportunities this season.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Paul beats Khachanov 6-3 3-6 7-6 3-6 6-3<br><br>Tommy reaches the Round of 16 for the first time.<br><br>Two five-set match wins back to back. <br><br>He&rsquo;s been battling his body this week&hellip; it&rsquo;s been a truly unbelievable effort.<br><br>&#9989;Won 7 of last 8<br>&#9989;24th win of the year<br><br>Man of steel.<br><br>&#127482;&#127480; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/hPHG9dNqVX\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/hPHG9dNqVX<\/a><\/p>&mdash; The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheTennisLetter\/status\/1928468509849182702?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>May 30, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>On the other side, Moller arrives with little to lose. Currently ranked No. 109, the 22-year-old has shown promise on the Challenger circuit, winning titles in Oeiras and Iasi while reaching a final in Girona. Yet on the main stage, his progress has been limited to first-round exits at Roland Garros and Wimbledon. His main-draw stats, with 13 aces, 57% first-serve points won, and 52% return points won, flatter his limited experience, but his grit makes him a dangerous underdog.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Strong start for Elmer Moller &#128170; <br><br>The Dane wins his opening match in Bonn, beating Villanueva 7-6(4), 6-2<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/ATPChallenger?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>#ATPChallenger<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/veLxtCKl0U\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/veLxtCKl0U<\/a><\/p>&mdash; ATP Challenger Tour (@ATPChallenger) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ATPChallenger\/status\/1952730616304119910?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>August 5, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tommy Paul vs. Elmer Moller Head-to-Head Record<\/h2><p>Tommy Paul carries a 1-0 head-to-head lead over Elmer Moller, having rallied past the Dane in their Roland Garros clash just a month ago.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>year<\/th><th>Event<\/th><th>Round<\/th><th>Winner<\/th><th>Score<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>2025<\/td><td>Roland Garros<\/td><td>Round of 128<\/td><td>Tommy Paul<\/td><td>6-7(5), 6-2, 6-3, 6-1<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tommy Paul vs. Elmer Moller Comparison<\/h2><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Tommy Paul<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Category<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Elmer Moller<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>14<\/td><td>Current Ranking<\/td><td>109<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>203-137<\/td><td>Career W-L<\/td><td>5-8<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>27-12<\/td><td>YTD W-L<\/td><td>1-6<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>4<\/td><td>Career Titles<\/td><td>0<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>0<\/td><td>Grand Slams<\/td><td>0<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>0<\/td><td>YTD Titles<\/td><td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tommy Paul vs. Elmer Moller Prediction<\/h2><p>Paul&rsquo;s early-season highs and Paris breakthrough suggest experience should carry him through, but Moller&rsquo;s hunger on debut makes this more than a formality.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Tommy Paul is into the quarter-final for the first time! &#128588;<br><br>&#127482;&#127480; The American defeats Alexei Popyrin in straight sets to set up a last eight battle with either Carlos Alcaraz or Ben Shelton!<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/RolandGarros?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>#RolandGarros<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/KYB7UgPAB8\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/KYB7UgPAB8<\/a><\/p>&mdash; TNT Sports (@tntsports) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/tntsports\/status\/1929133618061783334?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>June 1, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p><strong>Prediction: Tommy Paul in straight sets<\/strong><\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tommy Paul vs. Elmer Moller US Open 2025 Betting Odds<\/h2><p>With the bookmakers heavily favoring him at 1\/20, Tommy Paul is expected to cruise, though Moller at 19\/2 could tempt risk-takers.<\/p><p>Here are the betting odds according to <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-BetMGM\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}' rel=\"nofollow\">BetMGM<\/a>:<\/p><p><strong>Tommy Paul: 1\/20<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>Elmer Moller: 19\/2<\/strong><\/p><p>Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-BetMGM\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}' rel=\"nofollow\">BetMGM<\/a>):&nbsp;<\/p><p><strong>Total Sets Under 4.5: 1\/14<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>Total Sets Over 4.5: 13\/2<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>Total Games Under 26.5: 29\/20<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>Total Game Over 26.5: 13\/25<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>Paul Set 1 Winner: 1\/7<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>Moller Set 1 Winner: 17\/4<\/strong><\/p><p>(According to <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-BetMGM\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}' rel=\"nofollow\">BetMGM<\/a>: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)<\/p><p><em>Mandatory Image Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images<\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"mm-layout mm-layout-type-post mm-layout-slot4\">\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tommy Paul begins his US Open campaign against Denmark\u2019s Elmer Moller.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":624773,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_mux_skip_reasons":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[4770,6290],"tags":[9438,6324,7904],"class_list":["post-624772","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tennis","category-tennis-predictions","tag-elmer-moller","tag-tommy-paul","tag-us-open-2025"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Tommy Paul vs. Elmer Moller Head-to-Head, Preview, Prediction, and Betting Odds for US Open 2025 Round - 1 - The Playoffs<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Head-to-Head, Preview, Prediction and Betting Odds for Tommy Paul vs. Elmer Moller at the US Open 2025 First Round and more!!\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/tommy-paul-vs-elmer-moller-h2h-preview-prediction-betting-odds-us-open-2025-round-1\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Tommy Paul vs. Elmer Moller Head-to-Head, Preview, Prediction, and Betting Odds for US Open 2025 Round - 1 - The Playoffs\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Head-to-Head, Preview, Prediction and Betting Odds for Tommy Paul vs. Elmer Moller at the US Open 2025 First Round and more!!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/tommy-paul-vs-elmer-moller-h2h-preview-prediction-betting-odds-us-open-2025-round-1\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Playoffs\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-08-26T16:06:36+01:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Tommy-Paul-vs.-Elmer-Moller-Head-to-Head-Preview-Prediction-and-Betting-Odds-for-US-Open-2025-Round-1-scaled.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1760\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Rudra Dubey\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@Rudradubey1997\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@ThePlayoffsEN\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Rudra Dubey\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/tommy-paul-vs-elmer-moller-h2h-preview-prediction-betting-odds-us-open-2025-round-1\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/tommy-paul-vs-elmer-moller-h2h-preview-prediction-betting-odds-us-open-2025-round-1\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Rudra Dubey\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/15c91db82a62cd89d8f4f7e5c13e123b\"},\"headline\":\"Tommy Paul vs. Elmer Moller Head-to-Head, Preview, Prediction, and Betting Odds for US Open 2025 Round &#8211; 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