{"id":621247,"date":"2025-08-13T15:24:08","date_gmt":"2025-08-13T14:24:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/?p=621247"},"modified":"2025-08-13T15:24:16","modified_gmt":"2025-08-13T14:24:16","slug":"carlos-alcaraz-vs-luca-nardi-h2h-prediction-betting-odds-atp-cincinnati-open-2025-r16","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/carlos-alcaraz-vs-luca-nardi-h2h-prediction-betting-odds-atp-cincinnati-open-2025-r16\/","title":{"rendered":"Carlos Alcaraz vs. Luca Nardi Head-to-Head, Prediction, and Betting Odds for ATP Cincinnati Open 2025 Round of 16"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Second seed Carlos Alcaraz will take on lucky loser Luca Nardi in the Cincinnati Open 2025 fourth round. Alcaraz opened his campaign with a first-round bye, followed by a three-set win over Damir Dzumhur and a straight-sets victory against Hamad Medjedovic. Nardi began by sweeping past qualifier Thiago Agustin Tirante, then battled past 24th seed Denis Shapovalov in a gritty three-setter. In the third round, he took the opening set against 16th seed Jakub Mensik before the Czech retired due to illness.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"es\" dir=\"ltr\">VAMOOOOS!!! &#128170;&#127995; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/PS3xF0VBd3\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/PS3xF0VBd3<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Carlos Alcaraz (@carlosalcaraz) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/carlosalcaraz\/status\/1955378029938520159?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>August 12, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>The Spaniard&rsquo;s form this season has been electric. He&rsquo;s collected five titles in Rotterdam, Monte Carlo, Rome, Roland Garros, and London, and finished runner-up in Barcelona and Wimbledon. Despite the latter setback against Jannik Sinner, Alcaraz&rsquo;s numbers remain elite with 221 aces, 72% first-serve points won, and a 45% break-point conversion rate on 444 chances.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Get better soon, Jakub &#128591;<br><br>Luca Nardi goes through as Mensik retires due to illness, 6-1 2-1. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/CincyTennis?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>#CincyTennis<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/lniCLANAGq\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/lniCLANAGq<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Tennis TV (@TennisTV) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TennisTV\/status\/1955368802130039295?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>August 12, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>For Nardi, top-tier results have been sparse, save for a quarterfinal run in Dubai. His Challenger campaign has been stronger, with a final in Koblenz, semifinals in Perugia, and quarterfinals in Estoril. In main draws, he&rsquo;s hit 44 aces, winning 68% on first serve, just 24% on first-serve returns, and converting 39% of 75 break points.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Carlos Alcaraz vs. Luca Nardi Head-to-Head Record<\/h2><p>Carlos Alcaraz leads Luca Nardi 1-0 in their head-to-head, with their lone meeting coming earlier this year in Doha, where the Spaniard prevailed in three sets.&nbsp;<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Year<\/th><th>Event<\/th><th>Round<\/th><th>Winner<\/th><th>Score<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>2025<\/td><td>Doha<\/td><td>Round of 16<\/td><td>Carlos Alcaraz<\/td><td>6-1, 4-3, 6-3<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Entertaining Carlos Alcaraz vs Luca Nardi Highlights | Doha 2025\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/hz5OznaRrU0?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Carlos Alcaraz vs. Luca Nardi Comparison&nbsp;<\/h2><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Carlos Alcaraz<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Category<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Luca Nardi<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2<\/td><td>Current Ranking<\/td><td>98<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>257-62<\/td><td>Career W-L<\/td><td>12-34<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>48-6<\/td><td>YTD W-L<\/td><td>5-10<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>21<\/td><td>Career Titles<\/td><td>0<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>5<\/td><td>Grand Slams<\/td><td>0<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>5<\/td><td>YTD Titles<\/td><td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Carlos Alcaraz vs. Luca Nardi Prediction<\/h2><p>Alcaraz&rsquo;s all-surface dominance, coupled with his perfect 1-0 record against Nardi, makes him the overwhelming favorite. Expect Alcaraz to dictate play and close in straight sets.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">50 wins, and counting, for Carlos Alcaraz in 2025 &#128558;&zwj;&#128168; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/aoJs2xI8FV\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>pic.twitter.com\/aoJs2xI8FV<\/a><\/p>&mdash; TNT Sports (@tntsports) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/tntsports\/status\/1955538382731481318?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}'>August 13, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p><strong>Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz in straight sets<\/strong><\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Carlos Alcaraz vs. Luca Nardi ATP Cincinnati Open 2025 Betting Odds&nbsp;<\/h2><p>At 1\/20, Alcaraz is heavily backed by bookmakers, while Nardi&rsquo;s 9\/1 odds reflect his underdog status.<\/p><p>Here are the betting odds according to <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-BetMGM\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}' rel=\"nofollow\">BetMGM<\/a>:&nbsp;<\/p><p><strong>Carlos Alcaraz: 1\/20<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>Luca Nardi: 9\/1<\/strong><\/p><p>Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-BetMGM\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}' rel=\"nofollow\">BetMGM<\/a>):&nbsp;<\/p><p><strong>Total Sets Under 2.5: 1\/5<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>Total Sets Over 2.5: 7\/2<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>Total Games Under 20.5: 21\/50<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>Total Games Over 20.5: 17\/10<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>Alcaraz Wins Set 1: 1\/9<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>Nardi Wins Set 1: 23\/4<\/strong><\/p><p>(According to <a href=\"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/en\/go-BetMGM\" class=\"trk-cta-link\" data-cta-trk='{\"ctaType\":\"Link\",\"ctaSubType\":\"main\"}' rel=\"nofollow\">BetMGM<\/a>: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)<\/p><p><em>Mandatory Image Credit: Aaron Doster-Imagn Images<\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"mm-layout mm-layout-type-post mm-layout-slot4\">\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Alcaraz is set to overpower Nardi in Cincinnati fourth-round clash at Cincinnati. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":621248,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_mux_skip_reasons":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[4770],"tags":[4948,9072,6667],"class_list":["post-621247","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tennis","tag-carlos-alcaraz","tag-cincinnati-open-2025","tag-luca-nardi"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Carlos Alcaraz vs. Luca Nardi Head-to-Head, Prediction, and Betting Odds for ATP Cincinnati Open 2025 Round of 16 - 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